迷因唯一解?ApeChain 真能救 ApeCoin?

链捕手Published on 2024-10-23Last updated on 2024-10-23

作者:WOO X Research

 

背景:Apecoin 打造 Apechain 加入迷因战场

Apecoin 于 10 月 20 日单日爆涨近 100%,原因是 ApeCoin 宣布近日正式上线 ApeChain,为使用 Arbitrum Orbit 所打造的以太坊 Layer 2。

当中特色为用户只要将特定币种如 APE、ETH、USDC 等稳定币,转移至 ApeChain 上,便可以获得原生收益以及自动复利。

上述可以视为 ApeChain 利用此模式吸引流动性进驻,而官方推出 ApeChain 上的 Pump Fun - Ape Express,则是点燃链上 FOMO 情绪。

Pump Fun 自今年 5 月以来爆红,为链上数一数二的赚钱项目,当中出现各式各样的仿盘,但没有一个能够复制 Pump Fun 的成功模式,为什么这次 Ape Express 如此受到市场关注?跟先前的仿盘关键性的差异在哪?当中又有哪些币种值得关注?最后要观察哪些数据来判断是否进场或是撤离 ApeChain?

就让 WOO X Research 带大家一起看看。

为什么 ApeChain 能火?

  • APE 代币上涨:流动性的传导必然是从较容易取得的地方传至困难之处,就像是公链币种的上涨能外溢至生态项目,因生态项目市值较小,也能达成较可观涨幅。套用到 APE 与 ApeChain 也是类似逻辑,ApeChain 能红的第一步骤便是要创造需求,APE 必须先拉盘上涨,叙事才能得以延续。 
  • 生态大户多:与其他Pump Fun 仿盘不同的地方在于,Yuga Labs 系列NFT 持有者本身多为链上巨鲸,财力雄厚,且NFT 市场本周期表现低迷,亟需新叙事刺激原先持有者投入相关产品市场。
  • 官方明牌支持:若迷因由公链明牌支持,在Building 角度上会遭受市场质疑,容易被冠上只想投机不真正做事等标签,在政治正确的情形下,公链项目扶持迷因发射平台机率极低(BeraChain 除外)。大多数 Pump Fun 仿盘由小团队建造,多为冷启动,对于使用者而言,无论是在行销、品牌以及熟悉度上取得信任成本极高。 Yuga Labs 为老项目拥抱新叙事,市场较能接受稍有改变的仿盘,而非无脑在其他链上复制。

ApeChain 迷因生态项目

CURTIS:龙头项目,概念为 OTHERSIDE 中的导览NPC,名称叫做 CURTIS,特色是身穿夏威夷衬衫以及头戴船长帽。

当前价格 0.01318,当前市值 1318 万美元,历史市值新高 2800 万美元,24 小时交易量 1800 万美元,24 小时跌幅 6%

CIF:APE Exporess 上的第一个迷因币。

当前价格 0.001909,当前市值 190 万,历史市值新高 850 万,24 小时交易量 170 万美元,24 小时跌幅 65%

BORED:概念为 BAYC 中的 Bored 意思。

当前价格 0.01292,当前市值 1292 万美元,24 小时交易量 130 万美元,24 小时涨幅 2.4%

ApeChain 行不行,观察这些数据

  • 龙头代币涨幅:迷因币的特色便是利用财富效应,吸引用户持续投入资金购买,若龙头币种涨幅延续性差,那么其他迷因币项目则更加岌岌可危。龙头项目 CURTIS 从历史高点回落超过 50%,若整体迷因生态要持续发展,该币种则先要站回历史高点。
  • APE 交易量:交易量代表了投资者对于 ApeChain 的兴趣,若交易量骤减,也意味着对于 Ape 的需求减少。目前24 小时主网链上交易量达1300 万美元,打开15 分钟时框交易量图,APE 于10/20 21:00 UTC+8 达到高峰,15 分钟达1 百万美元,目前每15分钟交易量仅为5 ~10 万美元。

  • ApeChain 资金流入程度:链上迷因币涨幅取决于资金进入情形,若流入情形减缓甚至是流出,也能宣告打造迷因生态计画失败。当前 ApeChain 链上为净流出情形,于 10/20 21:00 UTC+8 为转折点,与上述交易量时间节点同步。若想参与 ApeChain 迷因生态的玩家,等待链上资金为净流入是较好的选择。

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