四年,比特币赌注击败了巴菲特的警告 股神长期策略完全过时?上市公司购买比特币赚多少?

币界网Published on 2024-08-19Last updated on 2024-08-19

币界网报道:

自首次购买比特币以来,微策略(MicroStrategy)的股价上涨了1000%,而股神巴菲特(Warren Buffett)却错过了机会。

2020年8月10日,微策略购买了第一笔比特币储备,成为首家将加密货币作为主要财务储备资产的上市公司。四年后,这一大胆举措已演变为该公司的决定性关键战略,其回报率甚至超过了巴菲特操作的伯克希尔哈撒韦公司(Berkshire Hathaway)。

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截至2024年8月10日,正好四年时间,微策略持有约226500个比特币,价值约137.71亿美元,平均购买成本约为每个37000美元。目前比特币交易价格约为60500美元,微策略大概拥有约53.9亿美元的未实现利润。

不过尽管收益颇丰,该公司仍然坚持持有比特币,并未出售任何累积资产。同时微策略还表达了继续增持比特币的意图,其最近一次于8月1日购买比特币进一步证明了这一点。

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自2020年8月以来,微策略的股票(MSTR)对其比特币购买行为反应积极,股价已上涨约1000%。相比之下,这一增幅是比特币投报率的1.5倍,也是同期标普500指数(SPX)投报率的16.25倍。

值得注意的是,自微策略首次购买比特币以来,股神巴菲特的伯克希尔哈撒韦A类股票(BRK.A)的表现明显逊于MSTR。在此期间,BRK.A仅增长了104.75%。巴菲特对比特币一直持有负面态度,这使得伯克希尔哈撒韦公司始终未能涉足加密货币投资。

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早在2018年,巴菲特就将比特币称为“老鼠药”。而他的亲密伙伴,已故的查理·芒格,则在2021年公开预测比特币价格将崩盘至零,并称其为“令人厌恶的产品”。不过貌似打脸的是,近年来,比特币和MSTR股票的表现仍然优于巴菲特的主要持股,包括苹果、美国运通和美国银行。

然而,今年有许多机构与投资人都表示他们打算做空MSTR股票,因为他们认为微策略软件业务的价值可能在10亿到15亿美元之间,并不值很多钱。比特币价格必须上涨,该公司的价值才能增加。如果价格下跌,该公司的价值也会下降。

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对此,投资公司Kerrisdale Capital明确指出MSTR股价相较于比特币而言存在不合理的溢价,也就是“溢价过高”。他们会按照比特币的价值进行交易,打算“做空微策略,做多比特币”。这种看法反映了市场上对微策略未来发展的不同预期,尤其是在当前加密货币市场波动加剧的背景下。

尽管面临市场不确定性和外界的质疑,微策略依然坚定地看好比特币的未来。该公司曾表示,加密货币作为一种新兴资产类别,蕴含着巨大的增长潜力。加密策略不仅是为了追求短期收益,而是着眼于比特币对全球金融体系可能产生的长远影响。

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微策略在比特币投资中的成功,挑战了传统投资理念,并为整个投资界带来了新的视角。微策略以实际收益向市场证明了其投资的合理性和必要性,验证了比特币作为一种资产可以在某些情况下实现显著的回报。随着比特币逐渐被认可为一种重要的投资资产,其未来的发展值得我们持续关注。

同时,巴菲特的长期策略也许并不完全过时。他对保守投资的坚持在一些情况下仍具有很大的吸引力。在快速变化的市场环境中,巴菲特的价值投资理念依然有其存在的理由,尽管它与比特币等新兴资产的投资方式截然不同。

总的来说,微策略的成功不仅影响了自身业绩,也对整个市场产生了深远的影响。作为第一家将比特币纳入资产负债表的上市公司,微策略树立了一个重要的标杆,促使其他机构投资者关注比特币。随着时间的推移,越来越多的企业开始认识到比特币作为数字资产的价值,纷纷加入到比特币投资的行列中。

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363 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

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