Solana ETF将迎来突破时刻,但这不是你所期望的

币界网Published on 2024-08-16Last updated on 2024-08-16

币界网报道:
    Sygnum的高管表示,Solana ETF可能不会吸引美国投资者的需求。然而,Syncracy Capital的联合创始人声称,Solana可以通过DePIN突破。

加密货币银行Sygnum的一位高管表示,如果获得批准,美国现货Solana[SOL]ETF可能不会有大量资金流入。

Sygnum的研究主管Katalin Tischhauser最近告诉Cointelegraph,这些流量将是“微不足道的”,理由是SOL信托GSOL的Grayscale资产管理规模较低。

她补充说,

“较小的资产管理规模反映了Solana与比特币的相对知名度。”

Solana ETF流量展望

在撰写本文时,GSOL的资产管理规模为6700万美元,与1月份ETF转换前GBTC的近300亿美元相比,这太小了。

根据Tischhauser的说法,这表明美国投资者对未来SOL ETF的需求可能疲软。

几周前,VanEck、Franklin Templeton和21Shares等资产管理公司向美国证券交易委员会(SEC)提交了美国现货SOL ETF申请。

然而,贝莱德最近表示,由于短期内客户需求不足,不会申请SOL ETF。

有趣的是,Tishchauser的流量预测反映了彭博ETF分析师Eric Balchunas在7月23日上线之前对ETH ETF的展望。

Balchunas估计,根据市值,这些资金流可能会追随该资产的主导地位。

因此,他预计第1天的BTC ETF流量将达到15%-20%。当时ETH的主导地位约为15%。然而,ETH ETF在首次亮相当天的表现略高于预期。

根据CoinGecko的数据,在撰写本文时,SOL的市场主导地位为3.12%。

这意味着,正如Tischhauser所说,如果趋势遵循市场主导地位和资产管理规模,其ETF产品的流量可能会减少。

索拉纳的德平会改变这种可能性吗?

然而,加密对冲基金Syncracy Capital的联合创始人、前Messari crypto分析师Ryan Watkins认为,SOL可能会从DePIN(去中心化物理基础设施网络)中看到突破时刻。

“开始相信Solana将在DePIN上有一个突破时刻,就像2020年以太坊在DeFi上一样。”

Watkins指出,DePIN可能是继稳定币之后在现实世界中采用的下一个细分市场。

凭借Helium[HNT]等DePIN项目的显著吸引力,Solana在该领域的主导地位可能会提升该网络的地位。

然而,这是否会改变美国投资者对SOL的情绪还有待观察。

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