比特币主导地位图表下降 山寨币季节即将到来？

币界网Published on 2024-08-16Last updated on 2024-08-16

币界网报道：

由于市场购买力增强，投资者有充分的理由预期加密货币价格将呈上升趋势。

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  • 图表显示现在仍是比特币的季节。

  • 经济因素将对市场情绪和山寨币季节的机会产生重大影响。

一位加密货币分析师在 X（以前的 Twitter）的一篇文章中指出，比特币 [BTC]主导地位图表即将大幅下跌。

较高时间框架的 MACD 看跌交叉可能会让加密货币交易者和山寨币投资者兴奋。

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比特币主导地位衡量的是 BTC 市值占加密货币总市值的百分比。当它下降时，意味着 BTC 正在失去市场份额，这是山寨币季节的一个关键发展。

我们距离这一天还有多远？又有哪些信号预示着山寨币季节即将到来？

证据表明，现在仍是 BTC 季节

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比特币主导地位的周线图显示，自 2023 年初以来一直呈现持续上升趋势。这一趋势在今年 4 月至 7 月期间有所停止，但随后又恢复走高。

向上突破增强了 BTC 对加密货币市场资本流入的牢牢控制。

60% 和 70% 的阻力带（尤其是后者）可能引发 BTC.D 的拒绝。这可能会迎来一个山寨币季节。

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山寨币季节指数同意读数为 22。交易者和投资者必须等待时机，然后庆祝活动才能真正开始。

宏观市场前景激发了山寨币旺季的预期

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交易所稳定币比率衡量的是交易所的货币储备除以稳定币储备。该指标下降表示稳定币储备增加，这反过来又凸显了购买力的增加。

过去六周，该指标一直呈下降趋势，并跌破 2024 年 3 月的低点。随着需求再次涌入，投资者有充分的理由预期加密货币价格将呈上升趋势。

加密货币交易所 BitMEX 联合创始人兼前首席执行官 Arthur Hayes 从宏观经济角度询问山寨币季节何时开始。

它研究了 RRP（逆回购计划）与流动性流入黄金或比特币等金融资产之间的联系。

他补充说，美元流动性、7 万美元以上的 BTC 和 4 千美元以上的以太坊将成为山寨币季节的先决条件。

只有时间才能证明他是否正确，但在过去，需要大规模的 BTC 反弹才能为加密货币市场注入资金，然后在不同的山寨币领域流通。

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