比特币、以太坊下跌,市场消化CPI数据

币界网Published on 2024-08-15Last updated on 2024-08-15

币界网报道:

周四上午,随着投资者避险情绪的普遍趋势,比特币价格与更广泛的加密货币市场一起下跌了4%以上。

根据CoinGecko的数据,比特币下跌4%,至约58500美元,而以太坊下跌3.8%,至约2630美元。所有加密货币的总市值同步下降,收缩4.4%至2.1万亿美元。

市场低迷之前,劳工部周三发布的消费者价格指数(CPI)报告显示,7月份价格上涨0.2%,使年通货膨胀率达到2.9%。

这些数字符合经济学家的预期,表明通胀压力趋于稳定。

核心CPI(不包括波动的食品和能源价格)也达到了预期,月增长0.2%,年增长3.2%。

Bitwise Invest的首席信息官Matt Hougan告诉Decrypt:“我们需要的CPI是一个无聊的数字,而这正是我们得到的。”。

他补充道,“我们需要一些不会让美联储在9月降息或动摇即将举行的杰克逊霍尔峰会对话的东西。这就是这份报告:一个无聊而美丽的哈欠。”

然而,尽管CPI数据可能已经冷却了最初的热情,但市场分析师对加密货币的长期影响存在分歧,最近的一份报告预测,比特币在今年最后一个季度之前不太可能出现重大突破。

比特币的负面价格行动也是在美国政府将近6亿美元的缴获比特币从丝绸之路暗网市场转移到Coinbase之后发生的。

此类转账通常预示着被扣押的比特币的出售,这可能会引发或加剧加密货币的价格波动,因为投资者会猜测可能的结果。

比特币ETF出现资金外流

更广泛的加密货币市场的低迷伴随着美国比特币现货ETF的外流。

根据Farside Investors的数据,8月14日,美国现货比特币ETF的净流出总额为8140万美元,结束了连续两天的流入。

灰度比特币信托基金(GBTC)继续出现资金外流,减少了5690万美元,Bitwise的BITB和Ark Invest的ARKB也出现了资金外流。

美国现货以太坊ETF表现较好,净流入总额为1080万美元,尽管Grayscale的以太坊信托基金(ETHE)继续保持近乎连续的流出,减少了1690万美元。

链上分析公司CryptoQuant观察到比特币的价格与德国投资基金ETC集团实物比特币(BTCE)的持有量之间存在脱钩。

从历史上看,这两者密切相关,BTCE储备的增加往往先于比特币价格的波动。

然而,该公司指出,最近的数据表明这种模式发生了转变。“BTCE储备的持续减少并没有像预期的那样转化为比特币价格的重大变化,”它指出,并补充说,这种差异“可能表明市场动态或其他影响的变化,需要进行更深入的分析。”

尽管最近价格下跌,但EmpowerEdge Ventures的创始人Sharat Chandra仍保持谨慎乐观。钱德拉在接受Decrypt采访时警告称,随着市场参与者对美联储未来利率变化的猜测,价格波动将继续。

他指出看涨的技术指标,日线图上的RSI指标保持在50以上,关键支撑位在58800美元、57000美元和59000美元,阻力位可能出现在60250美元附近。

Chandra补充说,市场预计9月份将降息50个基点,这可能会促使加密货币价格反弹。

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