分析师表示,比特币价格在第四季度之前不太可能出现突破

币界网Published on 2024-08-14Last updated on 2024-08-14

币界网报道:

随着加密货币市场在经历了一段动荡时期后趋于稳定,一项新的分析警告说,在今年最后一个季度之前,比特币价格不会出现大幅突破。

总部位于新加坡的数字资产公司QCP Capital表示,尽管出现了一些令人鼓舞的迹象,但在可预见的未来,市场可能仍将保持持有模式。

比特币一夜之间恢复到6万美元大关,表明比特币在上周的抛售之后已经稳定下来。即使BitGo在周一晚上转移了价值20亿美元的Mt.Gox比特币,比特币的价格也在上涨,这暗示市场可能开始对这些交易的潜在供应影响不屑一顾。

以太坊(ETH)也出现了积极的走势,现货ETF标志着连续两天的上涨,周二吸引了2430万美元的净流入。

这是因为市场预期在美国生产者价格指数(PPI)报告疲软的推动下,美联储将于9月降息50个基点。

然而,QCP Capital指出,虽然当前的环境似乎是有利的,但缺乏突破所需的主要催化剂。

该公司指出:“随着ETF的持续流入和贝莱德上周的下跌,加密货币似乎得到了相对较好的支持。”。“然而,由于没有主要的催化剂,我们预计在第四季度之前会出现有限的重大突破。”

在另一份报告中,10x Research强调了稳定币流入对维持任何重大反弹的重要性,并指出Tether最近发行了10亿美元的USDT,尽管主要用于库存建设,以及Tether和Circle上周发行的28亿美元。

这表明机构资本正在逐渐重新进入市场,但这一势头已经显示出减弱的迹象。

10x Research还强调,比特币要大幅突破60000美元至61000美元的阻力区,需要更多的支撑。

他们指出:“稳定币的强劲流入对于保持突破的可持续性至关重要。”并指出,今年早些时候推动反弹的期货和衍生品杠杆扩张等其他因素现在影响较小。

由Ryan Ozawa编辑。

Trending Cryptos

Related Reads

Bitcoin Falls Below $60,000 Again; After 20 Months, We've Reached a New Low

Bitcoin Drops Below $60,000, Hitting a 20-Month Low Bitcoin fell below the key $60,000 psychological level again, reaching a low of $59,023—its lowest point in approximately 20 months, dating back to October 2024. While it later recovered slightly to around $60,600, this marks its third significant breach of $60,000 this year. The downturn is attributed to two primary factors. First, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs are experiencing their longest streak of net outflows since launch, with nearly $5.94 billion withdrawn over 30 days. This creates sustained selling pressure as Authorized Participants sell Bitcoin to meet redemptions. Second, shifting macroeconomic expectations are adding pressure. Strong U.S. job data and hawkish remarks from Fed officials have increased market pricing for potential rate hikes, reversing the earlier liquidity-driven bullish sentiment and prompting a shift away from risk assets like Bitcoin. Analyst views are mixed. 21Shares maintains a bullish long-term outlook, expecting prices to recover towards $100,000, citing historical post-halving cycles and substantial ETF holdings as a base. In contrast, Arthur Hayes predicts a potential bottom around $40,000 within six months due to persistent Fed hawkishness. CryptoQuant suggests, based on on-chain data, that the market may not find a bottom until prices fall below the average investor cost basis around $53,000, potentially extending the bearish phase into late 2026 or early 2027. The immediate focus is on upcoming U.S. inflation data and Fed signals. Lower-than-expected CPI could offer relief, but confirmation of sticky inflation or continued ETF outflows may lead to further downside pressure. Bitcoin's ability to hold above $60,000 remains a critical test for the near-term market direction.

Odaily星球日报19m ago

Bitcoin Falls Below $60,000 Again; After 20 Months, We've Reached a New Low

Odaily星球日报19m ago

When Billions Begin to Operate Everything by Voice, How Far is ‘All Assets on Chain’?

In June 2026, WeChat began a limited rollout of "Xiaowei," its native AI assistant. This move is more than an upgrade to a smarter chatbot; it signals a crucial step from "universal internet access" toward the broader vision of "full asset tokenization." Xiaowei, powered primarily by WeChat's in-house WeLM model, demonstrates four key capabilities: 1) direct voice/web chat control of app functions, 2) automated access to mini-programs for services, 3) instant comprehension and summarization of complex documents like PDFs, and 4) generating functional mini-program prototypes from simple natural language requests. This represents a fundamental shift from GUI (Graphical User Interface) to LUI (Language User Interface), eliminating friction in human-digital interaction. The rollout is pivotal because it brings AI Agents to China's massive user base with zero friction—no new app downloads or accounts needed. This "seamless access" mirrors past platform revolutions like the App Store or WeChat Mini-Programs, potentially unlocking a global AI Agent market projected to grow from $7.92 billion in 2025 to nearly $295 billion by 2035. The article argues that China's internet evolution has moved from "connecting everyone" to "putting all services online." The next phase is "tokenizing all assets"—a concept broader than just Real World Assets (RWA) like real estate. It encompasses tokenizing personal assets like social influence, attention, and credit history. RWA tokenization itself is forecast to explode from $35 billion in 2025 to over $500 billion in 2026. The convergence of ubiquitous AI Agents and rapidly tokenizing assets points to a future paradigm for wealth management. Your AI Agent could autonomously manage a globally diversified, tokenized portfolio based on your preferences. Initiatives like EXIO Group's full-stack RWA services aim to lower investment barriers, paralleling WeChat's democratization of AI access. In conclusion, the launch of Xiaowei is not merely a technical upgrade but a historic inflection point. It marks AI Agents' transition from niche tools to essential utilities and accelerates the movement toward a future where voice commands seamlessly interact with tokenized value, redefining humanity's relationship with the digital and financial worlds.

marsbit1h ago

When Billions Begin to Operate Everything by Voice, How Far is ‘All Assets on Chain’?

marsbit1h ago

SoftBank CEO Masayoshi Son's New Trillion-Dollar "Gamble"

SoftBank founder Masayoshi Son is embroiled in a new trillion-dollar "bet" on Physical AI and humanoid robotics, even as his massive wager on OpenAI faces uncertainty ahead of its potential IPO. Recent reports reveal OpenAI's steep losses—$85 billion net loss by Q1 2026 and a $38.5 billion loss in 2025—casting doubt on its path to a trillion-dollar valuation. SoftBank, OpenAI's second-largest external shareholder with a planned 13% stake, stands to gain hugely if OpenAI succeeds. Undeterred, Son is already pushing forward with his next ambitious venture: consolidating SoftBank's AI and robotics assets into a new U.S.-based company named "Roze," targeting a $100 billion IPO as early as late 2026. This move aligns with his belief that Physical AI, merging AI cognition with robotic physical execution, is the next trillion-dollar frontier. Son's confidence stems from recent AI wins; SoftBank's stock surged and he briefly regained the title of Asia's richest person, largely due to OpenAI's soaring valuation. However, his aggressive strategy has raised internal concerns about over-reliance on OpenAI and strained finances. With competitors like Anthropic advancing rapidly and OpenAI's IPO timing uncertain, Son is racing to capitalize on the AI boom. His long-term vision for Physical AI includes a decade of investments in robotics, from Boston Dynamics to recent acquisitions like ABB's robotics unit, and a planned $1 trillion investment in U.S.-based AI robotics industrial parks. Yet, challenges remain: humanoid robotics firms like Figure AI lack the clear revenue paths of AI software companies, and Roze's lofty valuation faces skepticism. For Son, these bets are also driven by an unfulfilled promise of massive returns to key investors like Saudi Arabia's PIF. Despite risks, he continues to double down, betting that the fusion of AI and physical machines will define the next technological era.

marsbit1h ago

SoftBank CEO Masayoshi Son's New Trillion-Dollar "Gamble"

marsbit1h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

444 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片