Brandt警告称,尽管最近比特币价格反弹,但仍有看跌趋势

币界网Published on 2024-07-18Last updated on 2024-07-18

币界网报道:

资深交易员Peter Brandt警告称,尽管发生了积极事件,但比特币持续走低的趋势掩盖了比特币最近的反弹。

Brandt最近在X上分享了他对比特币当前市场趋势的分析,尽管加密货币最近价格飙升,但他表示谨慎。他指出,比特币的低高点和低低点模式仍在继续,掩盖了比特币减半和比特币ETF获批等积极发展。

比特币当前的反弹和技术分析

比特币最近经历了反弹,价格在触及低点后每周上涨10%以上。尽管有这种上升趋势,勃兰特强调,较低的高点和较低的低点序列仍然保持不变。

这种模式的特点是每个波峰和波谷都低于之前的波峰和波谷,预示着看跌趋势。然而,当前价格高于8天和18天移动平均线,表明短期看涨情绪,但长期趋势表明谨慎。

目前的相对强弱指数(RSI)约为59.41,低于70的超买阈值,这表明在不触及超买条件的情况下,仍有一定的上升空间。

比特币减半和ETF的影响

Brandt指出了减半等事件的重要性,这些事件预计会对比特币市场产生积极影响,但并没有。比特币减半是一个降低新比特币创建速度的事件,是加密货币行业最受期待的事件之一。

它旨在减少矿工的奖励,这在历史上导致了价格的大幅上涨。Thomas Lee等市场观察人士和渣打银行等机构此前预测,比特币在减半后可能达到15万美元。

此外,比特币ETF的批准吸引了机构投资者,增强了市场流动性和稳定性。ETF作为一种监管背书,增强投资者信心,降低长期波动性。

市场情绪和媒体炒作

市场情绪和媒体炒作在加密货币价格走势中也起着至关重要的作用。积极情绪会推动价格上涨,而消极情绪会导致价格下跌。Santiment的最新数据突显了比特币鲸鱼和鲨鱼钱包的增长,表明尽管市场下跌,但人们的兴趣仍在增长。

本月早些时候,有报道证实,持有至少10个BTC的钱包增加了261个,总数达到15.2万个,为2021年5月以来的最高水平。

然而,尽管有这种积极的情绪,勃兰特还是质疑比特币的未来。他指出,持续的低高点和低低点模式可能会阻碍持续增长。这种看跌前景与勃兰特早些时候对比比特币的分析形成鲜明对比,他在分析中预测比特币将在熊市陷阱中飙升至92579美元。

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