# SMA Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "SMA", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Bitcoin Following The 2022 Cycle? What To Expect If It Plays Out The Same Way

The current Bitcoin market structure is showing similarities to the transition into the 2022 bear market, according to technical analysis. Following a cycle peak, Bitcoin has fallen below the 50-week Simple Moving Average (SMA), a key indicator that historically signals a shift from bullish momentum to a broader downtrend. After this breakdown, a brief consolidation and relief rally occurred, but it failed to reclaim the lost level, mirroring the pattern from the previous cycle. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped below the 45 level, indicating weakening underlying market strength and echoing the momentum breakdown that preceded the prolonged 2022 decline. A descending trendline on the RSI has also capped multiple failed breakout attempts. If this pattern continues, Bitcoin could experience another significant downward leg before forming a definitive market bottom.

bitcoinist03/12 23:01

Bitcoin Following The 2022 Cycle? What To Expect If It Plays Out The Same Way

bitcoinist03/12 23:01

Bitcoin Approaches Its 4-Year SMA On This Key Market Metric – Here’s What To Know

Bitcoin's price remains below $70,000, with analysts warning of a potential bear market as key metrics signal a continued correction. A critical indicator, the Bitcoin Daily Price Analysis with SMA Multiplier, shows BTC approaching its 4-year Simple Moving Average (SMA) near $57,500. Historically, this level has marked the final stage of bear markets, where Bitcoin becomes undervalued. Analysts note that the closer the price gets to this SMA, the more likely a structural bottom may form. However, current market behavior shows persistent selling pressure, keeping the cryptocurrency at a decisive point between long-term support and further downside.

bitcoinist02/17 02:02

Bitcoin Approaches Its 4-Year SMA On This Key Market Metric – Here’s What To Know

bitcoinist02/17 02:02

Monero Gains Momentum After Recent Sell-Off, Faces Resistance at $363

Monero (XMR) is showing signs of stabilization around $340.26 after a sharp sell-off from its January highs near $790. The cryptocurrency is currently consolidating within a range of $320 to $350. Despite the recent rebound from intra-week lows, the overall trend remains bearish, with XMR trading below key moving averages including the 200-day SMA at $363.14, which now acts as a major resistance level. Immediate support is found near the 7-day SMA at $326.43. The RSI indicates oversold conditions but suggests a potential short-term recovery. If support fails, XMR could retest the $270 level.

TheNewsCrypto02/11 16:12

Monero Gains Momentum After Recent Sell-Off, Faces Resistance at $363

TheNewsCrypto02/11 16:12

Why This Bitcoin Bear Market Is Among The Worst Ever: CryptoQuant Researcher

A CryptoQuant researcher, Julio Moreno, indicates the current Bitcoin bear market is one of the worst in recent history based on the 365-day simple moving average (SMA). Bitcoin's price is currently 30% below this key metric, a deeper decline than in the 2014 and 2018 bear markets at a similar stage, though not as severe as the 60% drop witnessed in 2022. This highlights the asset's continued high volatility. For a market turnaround, improved demand is necessary, but capital outflows from US Bitcoin ETFs signal ongoing challenges. Despite a recent 2% rise, Bitcoin's price remains around $70,500, nearly 45% below its all-time high.

bitcoinist02/09 07:01

Why This Bitcoin Bear Market Is Among The Worst Ever: CryptoQuant Researcher

bitcoinist02/09 07:01

Bitcoin Price May Slide Toward $50,000 By March-April, Top Analyst Warns

Bitcoin's price has fallen below $67,000, extending a decline that began in October 2025 and retracing nearly 50% from its all-time high. Analyst Ali Martinez warns that a weekly close below the 100-week simple moving average (SMA) historically leads to further declines toward the 200-week SMA, typically resulting in corrections of 45% to 58% over 30-50 days. Based on this pattern, Martinez suggests Bitcoin could drop to between $50,000 and $56,000 by March or April. The downturn is also driven by significant outflows from institutional ETFs, with US spot Bitcoin ETFs alone recording over $3 billion in outflows in January, reflecting waning investor interest and growing pessimism.

bitcoinist02/06 12:05

Bitcoin Price May Slide Toward $50,000 By March-April, Top Analyst Warns

bitcoinist02/06 12:05

Bitcoin nears THIS rare setup as super-cycle talk surfaces – BTC can rally IF…

Bitcoin is trading near a critical juncture at approximately $92,231, with its one-year performance change at -4.5%, a pattern reminiscent of the pre-rally phase in 2021. This rare historical setup suggests a potential rebound toward new all-time highs if the metric turns positive. However, failure to do so could signal a deeper downtrend. Key technical support lies at the two-year simple moving average around $84,500; losing it may trigger a decline toward $81,000. Despite uncertainty, market sentiment remains strongly bullish, with 80% of traders optimistic. Industry figures like Binance’s Changpeng Zhao speculate a "super cycle" could be imminent, driven by positive regulatory developments.

ambcrypto01/12 07:47

Bitcoin nears THIS rare setup as super-cycle talk surfaces – BTC can rally IF…

ambcrypto01/12 07:47

Bitcoin Stays Aligned With Its Long-Term Trend As Underlying Signals Evolve

Despite shifting market dynamics, Bitcoin remains aligned with its long-term uptrend, though deeper signals suggest a more complex underlying narrative. Analysts note that liquidity is tightening, as indicated by the declining TOTAL/BTC ratio, while Bitcoin holds key structural levels. This setup requires patience rather than panic, with gradual market rotations expected as liquidity conditions ease. Meanwhile, meme coins are forming clean corrective structures and reacting strongly to Bitcoin bounces, acting as a leading edge of the broader rally. Bearish sentiment prevails, but analysts suggest meme coins could see significant upside by 2026. Bitcoin’s reclaim of the 200-SMA on the 4-hour chart—a first since October—is a constructive development, potentially enabling a push toward $94,500. While not confirming a bull run resurgence, it improves momentum sustainability.

bitcoinist01/11 10:36

Bitcoin Stays Aligned With Its Long-Term Trend As Underlying Signals Evolve

bitcoinist01/11 10:36

How can Bitcoin avoid a year-long bear market? Trader conviction isn’t the answer

Bitcoin's elevated long/short ratio has persisted for months, typically a bullish signal, but has failed to generate profits—a pattern broken for the first time. Analysts suggest leveraged traders may be hindering recovery. Key metrics indicate similarities to the 2022 bear market setup, with a 1.75 million BTC gap in supply in profit. To avoid a prolonged downturn, Bitcoin must hold above $75k-$80k in January, potentially leading to a bullish crossover by late February. A bounce to $101k-$103k is possible, but failure to maintain support may confirm a bearish trend shift.

ambcrypto12/31 13:03

How can Bitcoin avoid a year-long bear market? Trader conviction isn’t the answer

ambcrypto12/31 13:03

China’s Impact On Bitcoin Prices: Top Expert Reveals The Real Reasons Behind The Drop

Market expert Mr. Crypto Whale attributes Bitcoin's recent drop below $90,000 to China's intensified crackdown on mining, particularly in Xinjiang, where 400,000 miners were forced offline. This caused an 8% drop in hashrate and prompted some miners to sell BTC, increasing market pressure. While short-term volatility is expected, the analyst views this as a temporary supply shock rather than a long-term bearish signal. However, technical analyst Ali Martinez warns that if Bitcoin falls below the critical support level of $86,738 (the 50-week SMA), it could decline by 60%, potentially reaching $40,000.

bitcoinist12/25 07:04

China’s Impact On Bitcoin Prices: Top Expert Reveals The Real Reasons Behind The Drop

bitcoinist12/25 07:04

Altcoins slide deeper into fear: Only 3% stay above long-term support

The altcoin market has experienced a severe downturn since early October, losing over $580 billion in value, with total market capitalization now at $1.19 trillion. Only 3% of altcoins on Binance are trading above their 200-day Simple Moving Average, indicating extreme weakness and limited long-term holder activity. The recent downturn was exacerbated by a liquidation event on October 10 that wiped out nearly $19 billion in leveraged positions. Despite the broad decline, a few assets like AI-related tokens Aurelia and Pippin, along with privacy coins such as Zcash, Dash, and Monero, have posted gains over the past three months, reflecting concentrated investor interest in narrative-driven assets rather than the broader market. Market sentiment remains fearful, with the Fear and Greed Index at 29. Technical indicators suggest a potential rebound may be near. The Bollinger Bands show compression near the lower band, historically a support level, while the Accumulation/Distribution indicator signals ongoing buying interest. However, any recovery may be brief, with altcoin market cap potentially rising to $1.21 trillion in the near term.

ambcrypto12/23 19:03

Altcoins slide deeper into fear: Only 3% stay above long-term support

ambcrypto12/23 19:03

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