# Indicators Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Indicators", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

4 Classic Bottom-Fishing Indicators All Failed, 3 New Indicators Point to the Bottom-Fishing Opportunity?

The article analyzes the shifting effectiveness of traditional Bitcoin bottom-buying indicators and proposes new metrics to identify potential market bottoms. Four classic indicators are discussed: - **MVRV Z-Score** (currently ~1.31) is distorted by institutional holdings, making historical "extreme negative" values unlikely. - **Ahr999 Index** has remained below 0.45 for nearly 50 days, but its long-term predictive power has diminished due to macro factors. - **SOPR Metrics** show STH-SOPR consistently below 1 (bearish), while LTH-SOPR remains between 0.75–1, indicating no full capitulation. - **Mayer Multiple** (price/200-day MA) has also stayed below 0.8 for 50 days but lacks consistent predictive strength. Three alternative indicators are suggested: 1. **CVDD (Cumulative Value Days Destroyed)**: Models a historical "iron bottom" near $45,000. 2. **NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss)**: Currently at 0.2; negative values often signal market bottoms. 3. **Stablecoin Exchange Netflow**: Sustained inflows of USDT/USDC to exchanges typically precede rebounds by 2–4 weeks, but current outflows suggest no immediate bottom. The conclusion emphasizes that indicators are reference tools, not guarantees, and cautions that widespread public euphoria (e.g., mainstream adoption talks) may signal a sell opportunity rather than a buy.

Odaily星球日报03/19 13:22

4 Classic Bottom-Fishing Indicators All Failed, 3 New Indicators Point to the Bottom-Fishing Opportunity?

Odaily星球日报03/19 13:22

Ethereum bulls fight ‘conviction crisis’ – THESE 3 indicators suggest more drawdown

Ethereum is trading near the $2,000 level, a price zone not seen since its consolidation period in March-May 2025, amid a broader market lack of conviction. Analysis indicates the market is in a "cool-down phase," as measured by the Market Temperature metric hovering near zero. Historically, such phases precede potential rebounds, but a sustainable recovery requires time and stronger bullish conviction. Currently, demand remains weak, evidenced by tepid institutional inflows into spot ETH ETFs and muted spot market activity. While declining exchange supply is a theoretically bullish signal, it is insufficient to drive a rally without a significant pickup in demand and improved market sentiment. Consequently, ETH remains vulnerable to further downside or range-bound trading until these conditions align.

ambcrypto02/17 14:02

Ethereum bulls fight ‘conviction crisis’ – THESE 3 indicators suggest more drawdown

ambcrypto02/17 14:02

Bitcoin bounce steadies crypto markets after sharp sell-off

Bitcoin rebounded sharply on 6 February, climbing to approximately $70,300—a 12% daily gain—after briefly dipping to around $60,000, its lowest level in months. The recovery stabilized crypto markets and triggered broad-based gains across major digital assets, including Ethereum (up over 7%) and Solana (up 6%). Technical indicators, such as oversold RSI levels and the Puell Multiple near 0.71, suggest this was a relief rally following forced selling rather than a new bullish phase. While the rebound eased near-term downside fears, sustained upside requires further buying support or improved macro conditions.

ambcrypto02/06 20:49

Bitcoin bounce steadies crypto markets after sharp sell-off

ambcrypto02/06 20:49

Is altseason finally brewing? Only if THESE 2 indicators flip first

Hopes for an altcoin season in 2026 are building as investors look beyond Bitcoin, but conditions for a full altcoin rally are not yet firmly in place. Two key indicators need to flip first. The latest ISM Manufacturing PMI reached 52.6%, its highest in nearly 40 months, pushing U.S. manufacturing into expansion territory. Historically, altcoin rallies followed periods when ISM moved decisively higher, particularly above the 55 mark, as seen in 2017 and 2021. While current levels are below that threshold, a potential turning point may be emerging. However, Ethereum (ETH), a known harbinger of altseason, has closed in the red for 12 of the last 15 months, showing a prolonged stretch of weakness with uneven gains and frequent drawdowns. Sustained altseasons have almost always followed a clear and consistent uptrend in Ethereum. Furthermore, the Altcoin Season Index from CoinGlass was at 39, below the level that usually indicates a rotation away from Bitcoin. At the same time, Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) remained high near 60% on the daily chart. Altseasons typically begin with a clear decline in BTC dominance as investors move down the risk curve, a shift that has not yet occurred. Overall, while altseason expectations are growing, they may be premature. Early macro signals are improving, but the market lacks a trigger for a true altseason, and capital remains firmly in Bitcoin.

ambcrypto02/03 17:02

Is altseason finally brewing? Only if THESE 2 indicators flip first

ambcrypto02/03 17:02

Judging Bitcoin's Bottom Range from Indicators Rather Than Faith

Based on key metrics rather than sentiment, this analysis examines potential Bitcoin bottom ranges after its recent drop below $75,700. A market poll suggests 30% of investors see the bottom between $60,000–$75,000. Glassnode data indicates the network-wide average cost basis is $55,900, a critical support level. The ahr999 indicator, falling below 0.45 for the first time since 2023, signals a buying opportunity, recommending accumulation under $76,000. Analyst Willy Woo’s CVDD model points to a hard bottom near $45,000, while large holder "Strategy’s" average cost of $76,040 is another key level to watch. These metrics suggest cautious accumulation at current levels, though macroeconomic and ETF influences may prevent a drop to previous cycle lows.

比推02/03 04:24

Judging Bitcoin's Bottom Range from Indicators Rather Than Faith

比推02/03 04:24

Market Plunges into Extreme Panic, Five Major Data Indicators Reveal BTC Buying Signals

The cryptocurrency market is experiencing extreme fear, with Bitcoin (BTC) dropping to $75,700 and Ethereum (ETH) to $2,220, causing $435 million in liquidations. A survey of 1,189 investors revealed that 45.6% believe BTC’s 2026 bottom will be between $75,000–$85,000, while 30.2% see it at $60,000–$75,000. Nearly half of respondents (47.2%) plan to DCA and hold long-term. Key on-chain metrics from Glassnode indicate potential support levels: the short-term holder cost basis is $95,400, the active investor average is $87,300, the realized price is $80,500, and the network-wide average cost basis is $55,900. The ahr999 indicator, which recently fell below 0.45 for the first time since October 2023, suggests a buying opportunity below $76,000. Analyst Willy Woo’s CVDD model points to a hard bottom near $45,000, while the cost basis of large holder “Strategy” ($76,040) is seen as a critical support level. Overall, data suggests a potential bottom formation between $45,000–$76,000.

比推02/02 13:48

Market Plunges into Extreme Panic, Five Major Data Indicators Reveal BTC Buying Signals

比推02/02 13:48

Three signs that Bitcoin is finding its market bottom

Bitcoin (BTC) may be approaching a local bottom after falling over 35% from its recent all-time high. Key signals suggest selling pressure is fading. The weekly Stochastic RSI has turned up from oversold levels—a pattern seen near major historical bottoms. A bullish divergence on the three-day chart, where price made a lower but momentum did not, further supports this. Miners are showing signs of capitulation, with a 4% drop in hash rate over 30 days—a historically bullish signal that has preceded strong medium-term returns. Macro conditions also hint at a potential reversal. The National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI) suggests a Bitcoin rally could begin within 4–6 weeks, similar to past cycles. Despite these positive signs, some analysts still predict further downside, with targets as low as $70,000–$25,000.

cointelegraph12/24 12:17

Three signs that Bitcoin is finding its market bottom

cointelegraph12/24 12:17

Analyzing 10 Key BTC Top Indicators: Why Is the Current Bull Market Different from Previous Ones?

"Analysis of 10 Key Bitcoin Top Indicators: Why the Current Bull Run Differs from the Past" This analysis examines 10 classic on-chain and technical indicators to assess whether Bitcoin has reached its cycle top. Historically, market peaks were marked by multiple indicators flashing extreme overbought signals simultaneously. However, the current bull run (as of Q4 2025) shows notably divergent, more moderate readings. Key findings include: The Pi Cycle Top indicator has not yet triggered a crossover signal. The Puell Multiple remains in a moderate 1-2 range, indicating miner selling pressure is not extreme. The Bitcoin Rainbow Chart shows price is in the yellow-orange zone, not the red "sell" bubble territory. The MVRV Z-Score sits in a neutral 2-4 range, far from previous cycle peaks of 7-10. The Altcoin Season Index remains low (30-40), showing no major capital rotation from BTC to altcoins. Long-Term Holder (LTH) supply shows a slow distribution, but Short-Term Holder (STH) supply, while rising, did not peak concurrently with the price high on October 6th. Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) has declined to 0.34 from a high of 0.64 in March 2024. The analysis concludes that the market's structure has fundamentally changed. The explosive, retail-driven peaks of 2017 and 2021 are being replaced by a more gradual, institutional-led market, largely attributed to Bitcoin ETF inflows providing stability. This suggests Bitcoin is transitioning from a cyclical asset to a mainstream reserve, making historical indicator thresholds less reliable and requiring adjusted analysis frameworks for future cycles.

深潮12/22 08:16

Analyzing 10 Key BTC Top Indicators: Why Is the Current Bull Market Different from Previous Ones?

深潮12/22 08:16

Analyzing 10 Major BTC Top Indicators: Why Is the Current Bull Market Different from Previous Ones?

This analysis examines 10 classic Bitcoin top indicators to assess why the current bull market (as of Q4 2025) differs from previous cycles. Key metrics like the Pi Cycle Top Indicator, Puell Multiple, Bitcoin Rainbow Chart, 2-Year MA Multiplier, 4-Year Moving Average, MVRV Z-Score, Altcoin Season Index, Long-Term Holder (LTH) Supply, Short-Term Holder (STH) Supply, and Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) all show subdued or neutral readings compared to historical extremes observed at past market tops (e.g., 2017 and 2021). Unlike previous cycles, these indicators suggest a lack of typical overheating signals, such as extreme miner profitability, excessive valuation deviations, or rampant altcoin speculation. The price peak on October 6, 2025, did not align with classic top patterns, indicating structural shift in Bitcoin’s market behavior. This moderation may stem from increased institutional participation via Bitcoin ETFs, which has stabilized supply dynamics, as well as broader macroeconomic factors like global liquidity changes and geopolitical events. The declining peak values of indicators like MVRV (from 10 in 2017 to ~3 in 2025) suggest Bitcoin is maturing from a cyclical asset to a mainstream reserve, reducing volatility and extending cycles. Investors may need to adapt traditional indicators with adjusted thresholds or combined metrics for future decision-making.

marsbit12/22 07:49

Analyzing 10 Major BTC Top Indicators: Why Is the Current Bull Market Different from Previous Ones?

marsbit12/22 07:49