Data from Santiment shows that the total number of Bitcoin wallets with a balance of 10,000 $BTC has reached 90, marking the highest level in the last 6 months, while the "leanest" wallets continue to sell. At the time of publication, Bitcoin ($BTC) was trading at $63,400.
According to Santiment, this pattern is observed before significant price fluctuations in the market. They believe the likelihood of Bitcoin surpassing the $70,000 mark is higher than the probability of the $BTC price falling below $60,000.
Today, the number of $BTC wallets held by crypto whales has returned to the level seen in early February 2026. Back then, the number of such investors decreased as the Bitcoin price fell below $80,475. Since the beginning of June 2026, the number of "fat" wallets of the flagship coin has gradually increased, reaching a six-month peak.
Considering the reduction in the number of Bitcoin micro-investors (addresses containing less than 0.01 $BTC), Santiment Intelligence concluded that the probability of a bullish rebound is higher.
Small holders are losing share, while the largest wallets are increasing theirs. Supply is shifting towards stronger players ahead of the next major market surge, and this usually increases the likelihood that this surge will be bullish.
The resumption of Bitcoin demand from the wealthy coincides with a growth in the number of active addresses over the past two months. If their number continues to rise against the backdrop of increasing blockchain activity, the price of $BTC could climb above the $65,000 level and move towards the $67,000 mark.
According to the HCN AI Analyst Index, a moderately bullish forecast is forming for Bitcoin: at the current price of $63,400, the base scenario suggests an increase to $67,711 (+6.70%), while the optimistic one projects a rise to $68,981 (+8.70%). The realization of the bearish scenario is estimated at only 13%, whereas the probability of the base and bullish developments reaches 47%. The HCN AI index model, which considers technical analysis, momentum, and liquidity, indicates a high level of confidence in positive dynamics over the 30-day period.
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