Dogecoin – Analyzing the effect of profit-taking on DOGE’s latest rally attempts

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-04-10Last updated on 2026-04-10

Abstract

Dogecoin (DOGE) has struggled to sustain its mid-March rally, remaining range-bound since late February. This consolidation phase follows a downtrend from October, with further lows possible depending on Bitcoin and market conditions. On-chain data shows a decline in new address growth, similar to the 2024 downtrend, indicating potential for new price lows. Active addresses and transaction volumes spiked in mid-March as DOGE approached $0.104, reflecting profit-taking behavior. The 3-month mean coin age has been falling, indicating selling by short-term holders, while the 1-year mean coin age is rising, suggesting accumulation by long-term holders. However, this accumulation may not be sufficient for a significant rally beyond $0.104, as short-term holders are likely to sell into any price bounce.

The altcoin market sentiment has been fragile lately. The rally in mid-March brought some coins to new local highs, but they were unable to sustain the move. Dogecoin [DOGE] is one of the many altcoins unable to make new highs. It has been trading within a range since late February.

After the strong downtrend from October, this sideways price trend over the past two months seemed to represent a consolidation phase. That is not to say there won’t be new price lows, however, as this would depend on Bitcoin [BTC] and market conditions.

Source: Glassnode

The new address growth metric uses the growth and contraction in the number of non-zero DOGE wallets to map on-chain growth. A drop in non-zero Dogecoin-holding wallets hinted at a purge of wallets.

The growth tends to increase when Dogecoin goes on a strong rally. In the last eight months, the network growth has progressively slowed down.

The ongoing phase may be reminiscent of the 2024 consolidation in terms of address growth. On the price front though, there were differences, with the primary one being the two-month consolidation above the $0.088 support.

High activity warns of DOGE profit-taking

Source: Santiment

Since the February crash, active addresses and transaction volumes have seen a hike in activity from 10-19 March. During this time, Bitcoin was moving towards the $76k local high and spurred altcoins higher too.

The surge in activity when DOGE prices approached the $0.104 local highs reflected a tendency to take profits and exit the market. The limited upside and the repeated tests of the $0.09 local support zone were a worry for the bulls.

Source: Santiment

Finally, the 3-month mean coin age has been falling since January. This showed that short-term holders were selling the memecoin. Additionally, the 3-month MVRV was near the 8% drawdown mark that has sparked sell-offs in recent months.

On the other hand, the 1-year mean coin age has been rising since February. This alluded to accumulation from long-term holders after the selling from October to February.

It remains to be seen if this accumulation is enough for a rally beyond the $0.104 local highs. Short-term holders will likely sell aggressively into any such bounce and holders need to be cautious of expecting too much from any potential relief rally.


Final Summary

  • New address growth was low and similar in profile to the 2024 downtrend, suggesting that DOGE might make new lows once more.
  • Long-term holders have been accumulating the memecoin since February, but this might not result in a sizeable rally soon.

Trending Cryptos

Related Questions

QWhat does the decline in non-zero Dogecoin wallets indicate according to the article?

AA drop in non-zero Dogecoin-holding wallets hints at a purge of wallets, indicating a contraction in on-chain network growth.

QWhat was the observed behavior of short-term DOGE holders based on the 3-month mean coin age metric?

AThe 3-month mean coin age has been falling since January, showing that short-term holders were selling the memecoin.

QWhat price level did the article identify as a key local support zone for DOGE?

AThe article identified the $0.09 level as a key local support zone that was repeatedly tested.

QWhat does the rising 1-year mean coin age metric suggest about long-term holders?

AThe rising 1-year mean coin age suggests accumulation from long-term holders after the selling period from October to February.

QWhat was the primary concern for bulls regarding DOGE's price action mentioned in the article?

AThe primary concern for bulls was the limited upside and the repeated tests of the $0.09 local support zone, indicating weakness.

Related Reads

When the World Cup Collides with Agents: From Web2 to Web3, How Are Wallets Evolving into Agentic Wallets?

World Cup as a Catalyst for Agentic Wallets: From Web2 to Web3 This article explores how the World Cup provides a real-world scenario for observing the evolution of digital wallets from simple asset managers towards "Agentic Wallets"—intelligent, AI-powered interfaces. Using the example of prediction markets like Polymarket, it illustrates how AI Agents can lower the barrier to Web3 interaction. Instead of navigating complex DApps, users can express intent in natural language (e.g., "I think Portugal will win") within platforms like Discord or web pages. The Agent then interprets this intent, finds the relevant market, and seamlessly guides the user through the on-chain transaction via their wallet. The core shift is from wallets as mere "function menus" for signing transactions to "intent interpreters" that understand user goals. The article highlights parallel developments in traditional finance, such as Mastercard's "Agent Pay" and WeChat Pay's AI tests, which focus on granting AI controlled, authorized, and auditable payment capabilities. This underscores a broader trend of AI entering the financial layer. However, the article emphasizes that the primary challenge for Agentic Wallets in Web3 is not automation but establishing clear security boundaries. Unlike traditional systems with chargebacks, on-chain transactions are often irreversible. Therefore, future wallets must ensure users retain ultimate control and comprehension. They need to transparently communicate an Agent's permissions, spending limits, authorized durations, and provide easy ways to pause or revoke access. The World Cup experiments represent early steps toward wallets that are not just applications but ubiquitous, intelligent interfaces that simplify Web3 while keeping users securely in control.

marsbit1h ago

When the World Cup Collides with Agents: From Web2 to Web3, How Are Wallets Evolving into Agentic Wallets?

marsbit1h ago

Options Don't Work in DeFi? Vitalik Might Not Agree

For years, the prevailing view has been that options struggle to gain traction in DeFi due to complexity, fragmented liquidity, and lack of natural demand compared to products like perpetual futures. However, a recent algorithmic stablecoin design proposed by Vitalik Buterin presents a different perspective, using options not as a standalone trading product, but as foundational infrastructure for other financial instruments. In this design, one unit of ETH is split into two components: a "stable" side (P) that retains value up to a specified strike price, and an "upside" side (N) that captures all appreciation above that strike. Combined, they always equal one ETH, eliminating debt, margin, and liquidation risks inherent in typical collateralized debt position (CDP) stablecoins. The stable component essentially mimics the payoff of a covered call option. To function as a stablecoin, this structure requires continuously rolling deep in-the-money calls, which introduces challenges like rollover slippage, predictable transaction flow vulnerable to front-running, and persistent liquidity needs. A core hurdle is finding consistent buyers for the leveraged ETH upside exposure (N). While it offers leverage without funding rates or liquidation, it must compete with simpler alternatives like direct call options or perpetuals. The system's scalability depends on a sustained demand for this specific form of leverage. The author draws parallels to their experience with Rysk, where earlier versions of DeFi options protocols struggled. The breakthrough came with Rysk V12, which aligns incentives: asset holders generate yield by selling covered calls against their holdings, while market makers efficiently acquire the desired option exposure. This demonstrates that options can find product-market fit when embedded as a risk distribution and pricing engine within structured products, stablecoins, or yield-generating assets, rather than marketed as a complex direct trading instrument. Vitalik's proposal reinforces this architectural approach—using fully collateralized, non-custodial, and physically settled options as a fundamental building block. The real opportunity for options in DeFi may lie not in becoming the next perpetual swap, but in powering the next generation of on-chain financial products.

marsbit1h ago

Options Don't Work in DeFi? Vitalik Might Not Agree

marsbit1h ago

Conversation with Investor Zheng Di: MicroStrategy's Coin Sale Experiment, AI Economy, and Opportunities in US Stocks

Frontier tech investor Zheng "Didier" Di discusses the recent Bitcoin price drop, the financial strategy shift at MicroStrategy, the AI-driven surge in U.S. stocks, and the evolving role of crypto exchanges. Didier posits that the recent BTC decline stems less from macro factors or ETF outflows, and more from market repricing due to MicroStrategy's new financial structure. Following a wave of preferred stock and debt issuance (STRC, STRZ, etc.), MicroStrategy must now manage cash flow to pay dividends, potentially leading to a market expectation of sustained, small-scale BTC sales to maintain its "per-share bitcoin neutral" principle. Didier views this as a financial "experiment" testing market capacity for such recurring sell pressure, which, while creating near-term structural headwinds, likely avoids a true "death spiral" absent major new external shocks. Shifting to AI, Didier argues that tokens are becoming the new form of labor, with AI models and compute (tokenized inputs) increasingly replacing human roles in execution and middle-management. This drives enterprise efficiency and higher margins, fueling the sustained rally in U.S. semiconductor, data center, and infrastructure stocks. He foresees an emerging "machine economy" where automated agents transact and collaborate on-chain. Regarding crypto exchanges offering U.S. equities, Didier sees this as a natural evolution. With few crypto-native assets generating lasting value, exchanges are pivoting towards real-world assets (RWAs) like stocks and bonds. This doesn't necessarily cannibalize crypto but reflects a maturing industry focusing on blockchain's core utilities: decentralized choice and efficient settlement. He notes that trading logic for crypto natives doesn't need to drastically change, as meme-driven and fundamentalist strategies find analogs in U.S. markets. The "1011 event" (likely referring to a major market crash) severely damaged crypto market liquidity, marking a probable end to the altcoin speculative cycle, with capital flowing towards the deeper liquidity of U.S. markets. For the macro outlook, Didier is cautious about near-term market pressure from potential mega-IPOs (e.g., SpaceX) and the U.S. midterm elections, which could bring more regulatory scrutiny. Long-term, he remains bullish on AI's productivity gains and its convergence with blockchain/Web3, predicting a shift from speculative frenzy to a more institutionalized, industrial phase for the crypto sector.

marsbit2h ago

Conversation with Investor Zheng Di: MicroStrategy's Coin Sale Experiment, AI Economy, and Opportunities in US Stocks

marsbit2h ago

Playnance’s $GCOIN Lists on KoinBX Amid Rapid Growth in India

Playnance's native token, $GCOIN, has been listed on the cryptocurrency exchange KoinBX as of June 18. This move aims to enhance accessibility for its rapidly growing community, particularly in India, where the blockchain-powered Web3 iGaming ecosystem has gained significant traction. Over 130 partners in Playnance's "Be the Boss" program have built communities engaging thousands of active players in the region. The "Be the Boss" model allows participants to create and manage their own gaming communities, earning rewards tied to community activity. CEO Pini Peter noted India's high engagement, with community leaders successfully building player networks. One partner, Dr. Nicolas, reported earning over $57,000 through the program in recent months, highlighting both the financial rewards and the opportunity to grow an engaged community. $GCOIN serves as the ecosystem's core utility token, incentivizing participation and aligning the interests of players and community leaders ("Bosses"). The listing on KoinBX is part of Playnance's strategy to expand globally, increasing the token's utility and accessibility by combining community ownership, gamified engagement, and blockchain-based incentives. Founded in 2020, Playnance is a Web3 iGaming infrastructure company focused on creating live, non-custodial, on-chain products to onboard mainstream users. It currently processes approximately one million transactions daily, aiming to simplify the user experience while maintaining full on-chain transparency.

TheNewsCrypto2h ago

Playnance’s $GCOIN Lists on KoinBX Amid Rapid Growth in India

TheNewsCrypto2h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

What is DOGE M

Doge Matrix ($doge m): The New Breed of Community-Driven Cryptocurrency Introduction In the ever-evolving landscape of cryptocurrency, new projects constantly emerge, each aiming to capture the interest of investors and enthusiasts alike. One of the latest entrants to this domain is Doge Matrix, represented by the ticker symbol $doge m. This project has attracted attention thanks to its roots in the popular meme culture surrounding Dogecoin, establishing its place within the web3 space. This article aims to provide a comprehensive analysis of Doge Matrix, covering its overview, creator, investors, functionality, timeline, and notable aspects. What is Doge Matrix ($doge m)? Doge Matrix is a community-driven cryptocurrency project that seemingly builds upon the widespread appeal of Dogecoin, a digital currency known for its Shiba Inu mascot and its meme origins. While the overarching objectives of Doge Matrix are not extensively defined, it is characterized by a commitment to harnessing community involvement and support. Unlike traditional cryptocurrencies that often emphasize utility or intrinsic value through underlying technologies, Doge Matrix positions itself within a space that embraces the cultural phenomenon of cryptocurrencies, particularly appealing to those who resonate with the ethos of meme-based assets. Drawing on the strengths of the Dogecoin community, Doge Matrix operates as part of a broader ecosystem, inviting participation and engagement from users who share an interest in cryptocurrency and the digital landscape. Who is the Creator of Doge Matrix ($doge m)? The identity of the creator of Doge Matrix remains unknown. This lack of transparency is not an uncommon occurrence in the cryptocurrency space, where some projects are launched without revealing the identities of their founders. The absence of information regarding the founding team can raise questions among potential investors about the project’s accountability and direction. Who are the Investors of Doge Matrix ($doge m)? As it stands, there is no publicly available information detailing the investors or investment foundations that back Doge Matrix. The project appears to rely primarily on community support rather than institutional investment. This model aligns with the community-driven nature of the initiative, fostering an environment where the direction of the project is shaped by its participants rather than being dictated by a select few financial backers. How Does Doge Matrix ($doge m) Work? The specifics regarding the operational mechanisms of Doge Matrix are somewhat vague, reflecting a broader trend of projects in the meme coin space where innovative functionalities are not always clearly articulated. Nonetheless, Doge Matrix seems designed to tap into the existing cryptocurrency ecosystem by encouraging user participation while tapping into the familiar cultural references associated with Dogecoin. Its potentially unique characteristics derive from community interactions rather than technological advancements, emphasizing shared experiences and collaboration among token holders. While the exact innovations have not been explicitly outlined, the project appears to create a space where community members can engage, share ideas, and propel the project's potential forward. Timeline of Doge Matrix ($doge m) Reflecting on the project’s timeline reveals notable events that have defined its journey thus far: November 25, 2024: Doge Matrix reached its all-time high value, marking a significant milestone in its early history. January 1, 2025: Conversely, Doge Matrix hit its all-time low value, illustrating the volatility often associated with cryptocurrencies, especially in the early stages of a project's lifecycle. Ongoing: The project continues to be actively traded and supported by its community, although specific future milestones or objectives have yet to be disclosed. Key Points About Doge Matrix ($doge m) Community Focus At the heart of Doge Matrix is a commitment to community engagement. The project thrives on the premise of collaboration and shared objectives among its members, emphasizing the importance of collective effort. Unlike centralized projects that often have a defined leadership structure, Doge Matrix at present showcases a more fluid approach to governance, where every community member's voice matters. Volatility The cryptocurrency market is notorious for its volatility, and Doge Matrix is no exception. Its price history reflects significant fluctuations between high and low values, which is typical of many new cryptocurrencies but underscores the risks associated with investment in emerging tokens. Lack of Detailed Information One of the most striking features about Doge Matrix is the scarcity of detailed information regarding its technological underpinnings and operational mechanisms. This ambiguity necessitates that potential investors conduct thorough due diligence before engaging with the project. Conclusion In summary, Doge Matrix ($doge m) illustrates a new wave of cryptocurrency projects that lean heavily on community engagement and cultural relevance. While lacking in certain specifics—such as clear leadership, defined objectives, and detailed functionality—the project has managed to generate interest within the crypto community, leveraging the established appeal of meme culture. As with any investment in the cryptocurrency space, understanding the inherent risks and conducting comprehensive research is essential for potential participants. Doge Matrix stands as a reminder of the dynamic, sometimes unpredictable nature of the crypto industry, marked by constant evolution and enthusiasm for community-driven initiatives.

3.8k Total ViewsPublished 2025.02.03Updated 2025.02.03

What is DOGE M

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of DOGE (DOGE) are presented below.

活动图片