Charles Schwab Calculated and Revealed the Fair Value of Bitcoin (BTC)! Here's What It Should Be!

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2026-07-28Last updated on 2026-07-28

Abstract

The article discusses a recent analysis by Charles Schwab's head of crypto research, Jim Ferraroli, on Bitcoin's fair value. Despite Bitcoin's price dropping to around $63,000 due to market sell-offs and Federal Reserve interest rate concerns, Ferraroli asserts its fair value is approximately $95,000. This valuation is based on Bitcoin mining economics, specifically production costs, rather than short-term market sentiment. He notes that while efficient miners produce one BTC for about $60,000, the cost can rise to $95,000 for less efficient operations. Ferraroli compares this to traditional commodities, where production costs are a key valuation metric. He emphasizes that the $95,000 figure is an economic estimate, not a price target. Additionally, he identifies the ~$60,000 mining cost level as a crucial fundamental support zone for Bitcoin, aligning with its 200-week moving average. Ferraroli concludes that it's uncertain whether Bitcoin will reach $95,000 within the next six months. The piece includes a standard disclaimer that this is not investment advice.

The upward momentum of the leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, has once again been interrupted. Yesterday, after starting the new week above $65,000, $BTC fell to $63,000 due to a sharp sell-off on Asian markets related to memecoin trading and renewed concerns about the Fed raising interest rates.

As the $BTC price continues to fall sharply due to macroeconomic events, a prominent figure has determined Bitcoin's fair value to be $95,000.

Jim Ferraioli, Head of Crypto Research at Charles Schwab, a leading player in the cryptocurrency market, argued that the fair value of Bitcoin, regardless of its current market price, is around $95,000.

Ferraioli stated that this valuation is based on the economic indicators of Bitcoin mining, not short-term market sentiment.

In an interview with Coindesk, Ferraioli emphasized that one of the most important metrics for evaluating Bitcoin is its cost of production.

He noted that the most efficient miners produce one $BTC for around $60,000, while for less efficient miners this figure can rise to $95,000.

Comparing it to traditional commodity markets, Ferraioli noted that producers typically operate with relatively low margins, and said that for $BTC, production costs are also an important metric for assessing its fair value.

However, he added that the $95,000 level is not a target price for $BTC, but rather an estimate or forecast based on economic data.

The $60,000 Level Could Be a Strong Support Level for Bitcoin!

According to Ferraioli, the mining cost of approximately $60,000 represents an important fundamental support level for Bitcoin.

This level also coincides with Bitcoin's 200-week moving average, which has recently been in the $60,000–$62,000 range.

In conclusion, Ferraioli added that it is impossible to predict whether Bitcoin will reach the $95,000 mark within the next six months.

*This is not investment advice.

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Related Questions

QAccording to the article, what is the fair value of Bitcoin estimated by Jim Ferrall from Charles Schwab?

AJim Ferrall from Charles Schwab estimates the fair value of Bitcoin to be approximately $95,000.

QWhat does Jim Ferrall cite as the primary basis for his $95,000 Bitcoin fair value estimate?

AHe bases his estimate on the economic metrics of Bitcoin mining, specifically the production costs, and not on short-term market sentiment.

QWhat key support level for Bitcoin's price is mentioned, and what fundamental indicator does it align with?

AThe approximately $60,000 mining cost level is mentioned as a key fundamental support level for Bitcoin. It aligns with Bitcoin's 200-week moving average.

QDid Jim Ferrall present the $95,000 level as a specific price target for Bitcoin?

ANo, he clarified that the $95,000 level is not a price target but rather an assessment or forecast based on economic data.

QWhat two factors does the article state contributed to Bitcoin's price drop from above $65,000 to $63,000?

AThe drop was caused by a sharp sell-off on Asian markets related to 'token' trading and renewed concerns about the Federal Reserve raising interest rates.

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