Bitcoin whale places $31M short bet – Will BTC drop to $60K again?

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-07-08Last updated on 2026-07-08

Abstract

Bitcoin has declined for two consecutive days, trading near $62,7K. Amid this pullback, a whale opened a significant 40x short position on 493 BTC (worth $31 million), indicating strong bearish sentiment. This aligns with a broader market shift, as the overall Long/Short Ratio fell below 1, showing more traders are betting on a price drop. Furthermore, derivatives and options trading volumes have notably declined, signaling reduced speculative activity and a cautious, wait-and-see approach among traders. Technical analysis points to continued weakness, with indicators like the MACD still negative and the trend structure favoring further downside. Analysts suggest Bitcoin could retest the $60K level unless it manages to reclaim $64K to reverse the bearish pressure.

Bitcoin [BTC] has closed at lower lows for two consecutive days for the first time in ten days. At press time, Bitcoin traded at $62,714, down 1.04% on the daily charts. Amid this price pullback, traders, especially whales, have begun shorting the market.

Bitcoin whale opens a $31M short

As BTC faced rejection, falling to $62k, a whale jumped into the market and opened a short position.

According to Onchain Lens, a whale opened a 40x short position on 493 BTC worth $31 million. With BTC declining, the whale is already sitting on $220k profit after spending $2k in funding fees.

Moreover, the whale’s decision to open a short position showed strong pessimism, anticipating the market to continue declining.

Source: Coinglass

Interestingly, this was not an isolated case. After briefly spiking above 1 across all exchanges, the Long/Short Ratio fell back to 0.97 as of writing.

At this level, it indicates that most traders opened short positions over the past day, reflecting strong bearish sentiment and expectations of another decline.

BTC traders take a step back

Besides shorting the market, Bitcoin traders have turned cautious on the derivatives market. According to CoinGlass data, derivatives volume declined by 29%, while Options Volume declined by 32%.

Source: Coinglass

The decline in these two metrics indicated reduced speculative activity and weakening market participation. Thus, traders are opening or closing fewer trades, a major sign of declining market interest, as traders opted for a wait-and-see approach.

Notably, declining volume, especially amid ongoing market weakness, reduces the likelihood of major price swings.

Is BTC at risk of further slip?

After the recent slip, the market momentum has remained relatively weak. While the MACD has risen above the signal line, it remained negative at the time of writing. Thus, although the bearish trend has recently weakened, it has yet to turn bullish.

Source: TradingView

Furthermore, the positive DMI index was below both ADX and -DI, suggesting the trend remains weak. Based on these two indicators, the downtrend seems strong and positioned to continue.

If the prevailing trend continues, Bitcoin could drop to $60k again before attempting another leg up. To invalidate this downtrend, Bitcoin needs to reclaim $64k, thus flushing bears shorting the market.


Final Summary

  • A Bitcoin whale opened a 40x short position on 493 BTC worth $31 million.
  • Bitcoin’s market structure continues to weaken as derivatives traders adopt a wait-and-see approach.

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Related Questions

QWhat specific action did a Bitcoin whale take amidst the recent price pullback, according to the article?

AA Bitcoin whale opened a 40x leveraged short position on 493 BTC, worth $31 million.

QWhat does the decline in derivatives and options volume indicate about trader sentiment, as mentioned in the article?

AThe decline indicates reduced speculative activity, weakening market participation, and a cautious, wait-and-see approach among traders.

QWhat key price level does the article suggest Bitcoin needs to reclaim to potentially invalidate the current downtrend?

AThe article suggests Bitcoin needs to reclaim the $64,000 price level to invalidate the current downtrend.

QBased on the technical indicators discussed (MACD and DMI), what is the assessment of Bitcoin's market trend in the article?

AThe assessment is that the downtrend remains strong and positioned to continue, as the MACD is still negative and the +DMI is below both the ADX and -DMI, indicating weak bullish momentum.

QWhat potential price target does the article mention if the prevailing bearish trend continues for Bitcoin?

AThe article mentions that if the trend continues, Bitcoin could drop to $60,000 again.

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