According to the strategy, MSTR has outperformed Bitcoin in returns over any four-year holding period

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2026-08-04Last updated on 2026-08-04

Abstract

MicroStrategy's CEO Phong Le stated that since adopting its Bitcoin-focused strategy, the company's stock (MSTR) has outperformed Bitcoin's returns over every rolling four-year holding period. This analysis, comparing investment start dates from August 2020 to August 2022, offers a broader view than a single entry point. The company suggests its ability to raise capital effectively through equity and convertible note offerings—used to acquire more Bitcoin—creates value beyond its underlying assets, leading investors to value MSTR above its Bitcoin holdings' market value. Institutional investors, including major firms like Capital Group and BlackRock, increased their aggregate positions in MSTR by 27% in Q1. The company's Q2 report showed it held 843,775 Bitcoin as of July 27, with a year-to-date Bitcoin return of 4.5%, and raised $17.06 billion in capital programs in 2026. However, its financing model carries balance sheet and share dilution risks. The company recently completed its third Bitcoin sale of the year to meet obligations on preferred securities, reducing its holdings slightly, a move criticized by some, like economist Peter Schiff, as extracting value from shareholders. MicroStrategy maintains a significant Bitcoin reserve and has approved separate buyback programs.

On August 3, Phong Le, CEO of Strategy Inc. (Nasdaq: MSTR), stated that since adopting its Bitcoin-focused investment strategy, MSTR has outperformed Bitcoin in returns over every rolling four-year holding period. The company compared the annualized returns of investments made between August 2020 and August 2022, showing that the stock yielded higher returns than Bitcoin over each rolling four-year investment period.

Le stated:

"Since adopting the Bitcoin-focused strategy, MSTR shares have delivered higher returns than $BTC over every four-year holding period. This is by design and aligns with our long-term vision."

Rolling holding periods allow for comparing returns based on multiple investment start dates, rather than relying on a single entry point, providing a broader view of long-term performance. Bitcoin's historical four-year cycle is often linked to halving events, so Strategy's analysis using a rolling window represents an alternative approach to assessing long-term returns.

Le's comments also align with the view of Strategy's Executive Chairman Michael Saylor that institutional capital, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and corporate treasury adoption of Bitcoin are shifting the cryptocurrency's historical trading patterns. In his recent remarks, he describes a market increasingly driven by sustained demand rather than traditional four-year cycles.

Institutional Investor Share Continues to Grow

In the first quarter, institutional investors continued to build positions in MSTR stock: 13 of the 15 largest shareholders of Strategy increased their aggregate holdings by 27%. Capital Group, Vanguard, BlackRock, Fidelity, and State Street were among the largest firms to boost their investments, according to Phong Le's May 20 update on institutional investor portfolios for Q1.

Institutional investment in MSTR. Source: Strategy CEO Phong Le via X.

These holdings facilitate broader indirect exposure to the Bitcoin market through mutual funds, pension plans, retirement accounts, and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) serving millions of investors.

Investors are increasingly valuing MSTR above the market value of its Bitcoin assets, reflecting Strategy's ability to issue equity and preferred securities, effectively raise capital, and use those funds to acquire additional Bitcoin. The company asserts that these financing capabilities create value beyond the underlying assets.

Second Quarter Results Demonstrate Strategy's Capital Market Scale

In its Q2 earnings report, Strategy reported holding 843,775 bitcoins as of July 27, year-to-date $BTC returns of 4.5% as of July 26, and raising $17.06 billion under its capital-raising programs in 2026.

The company's financing model also carries balance sheet risks and share dilution risks alongside the potential to increase Bitcoin-per-share. The latest filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) notes that changes in Bitcoin prices, capital market conditions, financing costs, and future securities offerings could materially affect the company's financial results and shareholder interests.

Investors can track $BTC returns, $BTC appreciation, Bitcoin per diluted share, leverage level, and premium to net asset value to assess whether the company's financial strategy is leading to an increasing Bitcoin share over time. The latest performance metrics are updated concurrently with changes in the company's Bitcoin reserves and capital structure.

Bitcoin Sales Intensify Debate on Preferred Financing Methods

Following the Q2 report, Strategy completed its third Bitcoin sale of 2026 to fulfill obligations related to preferred securities. This transaction reduced the company's holdings from 843,775 to 842,138 bitcoins, with the majority of its accumulated assets preserved.

This use of treasury assets has intensified scrutiny of the financing model built on preferred equity, share issuance, and allocation of Bitcoin-backed capital. Economist Peter Schiff argues that selling Bitcoin to finance preferred stock dividends erodes value from MSTR shareholders, questioning management's claim that diversified financing supports long-term treasury expansion.

Current obligations demonstrate how the company's preferred securities can influence capital allocation, even as it retains a significant Bitcoin reserve. Preferred dividend payments are backed by a $3.75 billion reserve covering over 2.1 years of dividends and interest. Strategy has also authorized separate $1 billion share repurchase programs for MSTR and its digital credit securities, with the MSTR program remaining unused as of July 26.

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Related Questions

QAccording to the CEO of Strategy Inc., since the adoption of their Bitcoin investment strategy, how has MSTR's stock performance compared to Bitcoin over any rolling four-year holding period?

AAccording to CEO Phong Le, since Strategy Inc. adopted its Bitcoin investment strategy, MSTR's stock has outperformed Bitcoin in every rolling four-year holding period.

QWhat specific alternative analysis method does the article mention Strategy using, given Bitcoin's typical four-year halving cycle?

AThe article mentions that Strategy uses a 'sliding window' analysis of rolling holding periods, which allows comparison based on multiple investment start dates rather than a single entry point, providing a broader view of long-term performance.

QWhat point of view regarding Bitcoin market cycles did Phong Le's comments align with, according to the article?

AHis comments aligned with the viewpoint of Executive Chairman Michael Saylor that institutional capital, ETFs, and corporate treasury adoption are changing historical Bitcoin trading patterns toward a market driven more by sustained demand than traditional four-year cycles.

QIn Q1, what was the general trend among the 15 largest shareholders of Strategy regarding their MSTR positions?

AIn Q1, 13 of Strategy's 15 largest shareholders increased their aggregate positions in MSTR by 27%.

QFollowing the Q2 report, why did Strategy complete a Bitcoin sale, and what is a key criticism of this action mentioned in the article?

AStrategy completed a Bitcoin sale to meet obligations related to preferred securities. A key criticism, from economist Peter Schiff, is that selling Bitcoin to finance these preferred dividends removes value from MSTR shareholders, questioning management's claim that diversified financing aids long-term treasury expansion.

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