These Metrics Hint At Massive Bitcoin ‘Buying Opportunity’, Says Analyst

BitcoinistPublished on 2023-01-27Last updated on 2023-01-27

Abstract

Bitcoin usually sets the pace for other cryptocurrencies to follow. Analysts usually focus on Bitcoin to identify or predict market trends.

Bitcoin usually sets the pace for other cryptocurrencies to follow. Analysts usually focus on Bitcoin to identify or predict market trends.

The latest analysis from pseudonym analyst Game of Tradeshas revealed six on-chain metrics showing the same levels that occurred during the bottom three bear markets in the past. The analyst Game of Trades says that the on-chain data signals BTC investment as a “generational buying opportunity.”

Analyst Reveal Six Important Metrics For Bitcoin

The pseudonym analyst shared his findings on Twitter, discussing the current accumulation, reserve risk, dormancy floor, and other positive key indicators for Bitcoin.

Accumulation Trend Score

According to Game of Trades, these on-chain metrics show that there has been a significant accumulation among investors. First, the investors accumulating BTC are large entities and have been buying heavily since the crash of FTX.

Comparing this trend to the past, the analyst pointed out that the same happened in 2018 and 2020 when BTC was bottoming out. The analyst said:

Dormancy flow came down to its lowest level EVER seen Indicating that the speculative hands have been washed out And only the strong holders aka HODLers are remaining

Bitcoin Entity-Adjustment Dormancy Flow

This on-chain metric measures the ratio of the present market cap and the annualized dormancy value.

When the dormancy value is higher than the market cap, the analyst considers the market in total capitulation. Historically, this point signals a buying zone, and Glassnode revealed that it fell to the lowest level last year, 2022.

Bitcoin Reserve Risk

This is the third on-chain metrics supporting Game of Trades analysis. The Bitcoin reserve risks measure the confidence level of long-term BTC holders relative to its price. Glassnode data also shows that it fell to the lowest level last year ending indicating high conviction from BTC holders about future price appreciation.

Bitcoin’s Realized Price (RP)

Bitcoin RP is an on-chain metric showing the value of circulating coins at their last price. Simply put, it shows the estimate of what the entire crypto market paid for the BTC supply. But based on Woo Charts, BTC had fallen below the RP level since November 2022, when FTX collapsed until January 13.

According to the analyst, Bitcoin is now above its Realized Price level, suggesting potential for another buying opportunity.

Bitcoin’s MVRV Z-Score

This metric shows when Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued relative to its realized price or fair value. According to Game of Trades, when the MVRV Z-score moves away from the highly undervalued zone, it indicates a bear market end.

This metric examines mining profitability and how it would affect the market cycles. According to Game of Trades, Bitcoin PM is currently lower, indicating a potential for long-term buying opportunities.

The analyst compared the six metrics above, which marked a bottom in 2015, 2018, and 2022. As mentioned, these metrics are at similar levels. Based on these findings, Game of Trades concludes that investors should expect an unusual risk-reward setup in BTC to the upside.

Trending Cryptos

Related Reads

Ethereum's 11th Year: Why Is This Year Particularly Crucial?

Ethereum's 11th year proved pivotal, marked by a dual evolution in its technical roadmap and organizational structure. The year saw the completion of the Fusaka upgrade, introducing PeerDAS to make data availability sampling more efficient and laying groundwork for future L2 scaling. This was followed by a significant reorganization of the Ethereum Foundation (EF). The EF downsized, redefining its core mandate around user sovereignty and CROPS principles, while spinning off key functions. Independent entities like Ethlabs (non-profit R&D), Ethereum Institutional (institutional onboarding), and EthSystems (institutional privacy solutions) now operate separately. Technologically, the community debated a bold, long-term vision outlined in Justin Drake's "Lean Ethereum" proposal and the collaborative "Strawmap." These point toward a "third major iteration" for Ethereum, targeting goals like faster finality (~1 second), gigagas-scale L1 throughput, teragas-scale L2 capacity, post-quantum cryptography, and protocol-level privacy. Data underscores Ethereum's dominant position: its L1 still holds roughly half of all stablecoin value, leads in tokenized Real-World Assets (RWA), and commands over 55% of total DeFi TVL. While L2s now handle over 10x more transactions than the mainnet, high-value assets remain concentrated on L1. The launch of Robinhood Chain, an EVM-compatible L2 for stock tokens, signals growing institutional adoption. The immediate roadmap includes the Glamsterdam upgrade (featuring ePBS for in-protocol proposer-builder separation and Block Access Lists for parallelism), potentially followed by Hegotá focusing on anti-censorship via FOCIL. In summary, Ethereum's 11th year was defined by setting ambitious technical foundations for its next decade and restructuring its core development ecosystem to be more modular and sustainable, all while maintaining its role as the leading settlement layer for decentralized finance and assets.

marsbit13m ago

Ethereum's 11th Year: Why Is This Year Particularly Crucial?

marsbit13m ago

Notable Forecast from an Analytical Company Regarding Bitcoin (BTC): After This Date, a New Bull Season Could Begin!

Bitcoin continues to trade sideways around $64,000 amid ongoing uncertainty regarding U.S. monetary policy and geopolitical risks in the Middle East. As BTC struggles for direction, an analyst predicts the next major uptrend could commence after the U.S. midterm elections. João Wedson, founder and CEO of crypto analytics firm Alphractal, revisited the connection between Bitcoin's price movements and the U.S. election calendar in his latest analysis. Wedson claims that analyzing past market cycles reveals similar patterns in Bitcoin's price behavior, particularly around U.S. midterm and presidential elections. Historically, Bitcoin has faced headwinds leading up to midterms but tends to recover once election-related uncertainty subsides. Based on historical data, Bitcoin entered bear markets roughly a year before past midterm elections, only to initiate prolonged bull markets after the elections concluded. In some cycles, price bottoms formed just days before the vote, while in others, the low occurred immediately after. The analyst also noted presidential elections have a distinct impact: Bitcoin experiences strong rallies each time a president wins re-election and approaches the peak of its main cycle shortly after the presidential inauguration. As an example, Wedson pointed to XRP, which began a sharp rise on the day Donald Trump won the 2024 election and reached a local peak on January 20, 2025, his inauguration day.

cryptonews.ru28m ago

Notable Forecast from an Analytical Company Regarding Bitcoin (BTC): After This Date, a New Bull Season Could Begin!

cryptonews.ru28m ago

Lummis: The CLARITY Act mechanism "is not working" as the Senate drags its feet

U.S. Senator Cynthia Lummis has argued that the current regulatory framework for digital assets is inadequate, harming industry, investors, and regulators alike. She is urgently pushing for the Senate to pass the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (H.R. 3633/CLARITY Act) before the August recess, warning the current momentum for the bill is a unique opportunity this decade. The legislation aims to divide oversight between the SEC and CFTC. Time is running out, as the Senate must act before its August 8th recess. Delays would push the debate to September, further squeezing the legislative calendar before the midterm elections. Forecasting platforms now estimate only a 30% chance of the bill becoming law in 2026, a sharp drop from over 80% in February. Passage requires 60 votes, meaning at least seven Democrats must join Republicans, a task complicated by Democratic opposition. Key objections from figures like Senator Elizabeth Warren center on concerns the bill could weaken oversight of decentralized finance (DeFi) and consumer protection, potentially endangering the financial system. Over 200 crypto industry organizations, including Coinbase and Ripple, are lobbying for a vote, arguing continued uncertainty drives innovation and jobs overseas. Lummis contends the bill's custody and disclosure rules are precisely the consumer protections needed to close existing loopholes. The bill's fate now hinges on whether Senate Majority Leader John Thune schedules a vote this week or delays it until the fall session, where it would face an even more constrained political environment.

cryptonews.ru28m ago

Lummis: The CLARITY Act mechanism "is not working" as the Senate drags its feet

cryptonews.ru28m ago

Trading

Spot

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

1.2k Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片