Total exchange BTC inflows have been net negative since July '21

CointelegraphPublished on 2022-03-08Last updated on 2022-03-08

Abstract

Bitcoin inflows across all exchanges have been net negative since last July, but four major exchanges have been running contrary to this trend with nearly an equal amount of net positive inflows.

Bitcoin inflows across all exchanges have been net negative since last July, but four major exchanges have been running contrary to this trend with nearly an equal amount of net positive inflows.
There have been total net outflows of 46,000 BTC (worth around $1.8 billion at current prices) from all crypto exchanges since last July.
Only Binance, Bittrex, Bitfinex, and FTX have seen net positive inflows of 207,000 Bitcoin (BTC), according to data from blockchain analytics firm Glassnode’s March 7 newsletter. Over the same time period, net outflows have totaled 253,000 BTC from all other exchanges tracked.

FTX, Binance, Bittrex, and Bitfinex have seen net positive inflows of BTC since July, 2021 - GlassnodeFTX and Huobi have experienced the most dramatic shift in their BTC holdings since last July. Whereas FTX has more than tripled the amount of BTC it holds to 103,200 today, Huobi’s holdings have dwindled to just 12,300 BTC, or around 6% of what it held, from over 200,000.

Most exchanges have seen net negative inflows of BTC since July, 2021 - GlassnodeNet outflows have been consistent since last year, with a few major spikes occurring in August and most recently on Jan. 11.
However, Glassnode attributes the current relatively low inflows to “the scale of market uncertainty at present,” and suggests that the crypto trading market, in general, has shifted to derivatives trading over spot sells in order to hedge risk.
Exchange inflows are measured to help give a better understanding of whether investors are preparing to liquidate or hodl their coins. Net inflows s incoming selling pressure whereas net outflows suggests more hodling.
The coins that remain on-chain maintain a realized price of $24,100 per BTC, suggesting most hodlers enjoy a profit margin of 63%. Realized price is the average price of all coins when they were moved on-chain.
The realized price contrasts with an implied price of $39,200. The implied price is an estimated fair value price per coin and is currently just below break-even as BTC was trading at $38,346 at the time of writing according to CoinGecko.
Right now, short-term holders are underwater by about 15% as the average price of coins that have moved on-chain in the last 155 days is $46,400 according to Glassnode.
Related: Bitcoin price rejection at $39K and mounting regulatory concerns tank the market again
In addition to the low volume of inflows and outflows is the profit and loss (PnL) ratio of sellers which has been demonstrably flattening since the beginning of 2021. Glassnode suggests that long-term holders (LTH) are growing tired of selling even though “we are yet to see a major LTH capitulation event as was seen at previous cyclical bottoms.” It added:
“The historically low magnitude of both STH and LTH losses may be signaling increasing probabilities of aggregate seller exhaustion.”
The newsletter warns that there still remains the risk of a “final and complete capitulation of both STH and LTH” which has happened at the bottom of previous cycle bottoms.

Related Reads

The Crypto Scene Is Dead, Perpetual Swaps Are Eternal

The crypto industry is undergoing a fundamental shift. The era defined by minting novel, native digital assets (altcoins) is fading. These assets, lacking real-world cash flows or clear value, are losing relevance as attention and capital flow elsewhere. Two powerful external forces are reshaping the space. First, traditional assets like U.S. stocks, bonds, gold, and oil are being tokenized and traded on-chain. Second, the explosive growth of AI, with its tangible products, has overshadowed crypto's once-dominant "future narrative." This marks a critical pivot: crypto is transitioning from being a "factory for new assets" to becoming a "global conduit for existing assets." Its validated utility is not complex financial reinvention but efficient global settlement, transfer, and trading—the original promise of blockchain. Stablecoins like USDT and USDC exemplify this, offering faster dollar movement rather than replacing it. Consequently, native ecosystems like Ethereum face profound challenges. While still crucial infrastructure, ETH struggles to capture value as users interact with Layer 2s or trade traditional assets without needing to hold it. DeFi's grand narrative of rebuilding finance has narrowed to core needs like cheap transfers and deep liquidity. The true breakout innovation is the perpetual contract (Perp). It brilliantly bypasses the complexities of direct asset ownership (custody, compliance, dividends) by creating pure price exposure. Users can speculate on the price movement of *any* asset—NVIDIA, gold, oil—24/7, globally, and with leverage. This "price casino" model, while risky and ethically fraught, delivers unmatched liquidity and accessibility. Projects like Hyperliquid succeeded not by inventing new mechanics but by perfecting the timing and execution of this model. Key drivers included making on-chain Perps feel like centralized exchanges, post-FTX trust migration towards transparency, and rising demand to trade macro assets and equities round-the-clock. In conclusion, the crypto world's most enduring successes are the dollar (via stablecoins), Bitcoin, and trading. Its new frontier is not creating alternative assets but providing a seamless, perpetual trading layer—a new API—for the world's existing financial system. The age of native altcoins is over; the age of perpetual synthetic exposure has begun.

Odaily星球日报3m ago

The Crypto Scene Is Dead, Perpetual Swaps Are Eternal

Odaily星球日报3m ago

$52M Ethereum Bet Comes As Tom Lee Says ETH Isn’t Reflecting Its Potential

Bitmine, holding over 5.4 million ETH worth more than $10.5 billion, is nearing its goal to control 5% of Ethereum's circulating supply. Despite the company's recent purchase of 26,497 ETH (valued at roughly $52 million), Ethereum's price has struggled, trading around $2,000 and even declining recently. Bitmine's head, Tom Lee, argues that ETH prices are not reflecting the strengthening fundamentals of the Ethereum network, attributing the lag to being in the early stages of a "crypto spring." He cites long-term trends like AI commerce and tokenization as reasons for Ethereum's enduring importance. Bitmine's strategy treats Ether as a long-term reserve asset, not a short-term trade, explaining why the massive accumulation hasn't yet triggered a corresponding price rally.

bitcoinist23m ago

$52M Ethereum Bet Comes As Tom Lee Says ETH Isn’t Reflecting Its Potential

bitcoinist23m ago

After Marvell's 32% Surge, the Chinese Chip Family Behind It Emerges

The stock price of Marvell Technology surged 32.5% on June 2nd, driven by NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang highlighting its custom ASICs and optical interconnects as core to AI data center architecture. This event brought attention to the Chinese semiconductor family behind Marvell: the Dai siblings. The story centers on three siblings, all UC Berkeley graduates, whose three-decade entrepreneurial journey aligns with major semiconductor industry shifts. In 1995, youngest sister Dai Wei Li co-founded Marvell with her husband Sehat Sutardja and his brother, focusing on storage controllers. Eldest brother Dai Wei Min founded EDA company Ultima, later sold to Cadence, and later founded VeriSilicon (芯原) in China, becoming a leading semiconductor IP provider. Second brother Dai Wei Jin co-founded EDA firm Silicon Perspective (sold to Cadence) and GPU IP company Vivante, later acquired by VeriSilicon. The combined "Dai-Sutardja" family network extends beyond Marvell. Their ventures and investments form a comprehensive ecosystem for the post-Moore's Law, chiplet era. Key holdings include: Dream Big Semiconductor (AI SuperNICs, acquired by Arm), Alphawave (high-speed SerDes IP, acquired by Qualcomm), and Silicon Box (a chiplet advanced packaging foundry). VeriSilicon itself thrives on the AI ASIC and IP boom in China. Collectively, the family's AI infrastructure-related portfolio is estimated at over $22 billion. Their strategy represents a distinct path: building critical components for open standards and key manufacturing capacity in the chiplet era, rather than pursuing standalone AI chip dominance. While this path may not create the next NVIDIA, it has enabled repeated successful exits and sustained influence within the global semiconductor industry.

marsbit1h ago

After Marvell's 32% Surge, the Chinese Chip Family Behind It Emerges

marsbit1h ago

Microsoft is Afraid of Being Marginalized by AI Giants

Microsoft, once the defining force of the PC era, now faces a familiar challenge in the AI age: the risk of being relegated to a profitable but invisible infrastructure provider. This anxiety was laid bare at Build 2026, where CEO Satya Nadella unveiled a major strategic pivot. The catalyst was a quiet April agreement that dissolved Microsoft's exclusive licensing and cloud-hosting deal with OpenAI, its once-vital partner. This erased Microsoft's key AI moat. With OpenAI and Anthropic defining AI applications and gaining enterprise traction—even within Microsoft's own ranks—Nadella had to answer: without exclusivity, what is Microsoft's role? The answer was a suite of seven in-house AI models, a developer-focused AI workstation (Surface RTX Spark Dev Box), and, most crucially, the Agent 365 platform for enterprise AI governance. The models, notably targeting Anthropic's strengths in coding and enterprise, signal a defensive move. However, the broader strategy is to make the models themselves less decisive. Financially, Microsoft's AI revenue is strong, driven largely by Azure running others' models. Yet its user-facing products like Copilot show weak penetration and engagement. Microsoft earns infrastructure money but lacks direct user mindshare. Nadella's core fear is being "hollowed out." As OpenAI and Anthropic prepare for IPOs and gain financial independence, they may build their own infrastructure, threatening Azure's lucrative AI revenue stream. Microsoft's window is to entrench itself deeper: not as the model creator, but as the indispensable platform for securely deploying, managing, and governing all AI models within the enterprise through Agent 365. Build 2026 revealed Microsoft's bet: in the AI era, the ultimate power lies not in any single model, but in the enterprise "operating system" that controls them. Nadella is determined to ensure Microsoft is the driver of this new era, not just a passenger.

marsbit1h ago

Microsoft is Afraid of Being Marginalized by AI Giants

marsbit1h ago

US Stocks Surge 16% in Two Months: Only 4 Occurrences in History, the Most Recent Was Just Before the 1987 Crash

U.S. stocks have surged 16% over April and May, a gain seen only four times since WWII, according to Deutsche Bank strategist Henry Allen. Three prior instances followed recessions, but the sole non-recession precedent was in early 1987, months before the "Black Monday" crash. The current rally is underpinned by AI enthusiasm and strong data, but its speed without an economic recovery is historically unprecedented. Meanwhile, credit spreads remain near record lows despite growing consumer strain—the U.S. savings rate hit just 2.6% in April, a level last seen before the Global Financial Crisis, and consumer sentiment is at its lowest since 1952. Market risks are concentrated. While stocks and credit markets appear immune to geopolitical tensions, sovereign bonds tell a different story. Treasury yields have tracked oil prices and recently hit multi-year highs, creating a widening divergence with equities. Surprisingly stable oil prices, despite the prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz, have been a key pillar for risk assets. However, if the blockage persists, this support could fade, raising the risk of a stagflation shock not currently priced in.

marsbit1h ago

US Stocks Surge 16% in Two Months: Only 4 Occurrences in History, the Most Recent Was Just Before the 1987 Crash

marsbit1h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

363 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片

Top Questions