Un nouveau motif arc-en-ciel métrique dans le Bitcoin pourrait signaler un prix !

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2026-08-15Last updated on 2026-08-15

Abstract

Le Bitcoin a atteint son niveau d'évaluation le plus bas selon le modèle Rainbow Chart, basé sur les tendances de prix à long terme. Son score Z ajusté à la volatilité est également tombé à son plus bas niveau depuis dix ans. L'analyste Axel Adler Jr. de CryptoQuant indique que le Bitcoin se négocie dans une fourchette qualifiée de "prix de vente panique" sur le graphique en arc-en-ciel. Le prix actuel reflète un niveau de décote extrêmement important par rapport à la trajectoire de prix à long terme du modèle. Le graphique Rainbow mesure non seulement la baisse du prix, mais compare aussi le cours actuel à la tendance historique à long terme, révélant l'ampleur de l'écart du marché par rapport à cette tendance. Le score Z ajusté à la volatilité est descendu à -2,293, son niveau le plus bas depuis 2016. Lors du ralentissement du marché en 2022, il était de -1,979. Selon l'analyste, cet indicateur, qui tient compte des fluctuations de volatilité entre les cycles de marché, suggère que la divergence baissière actuelle du Bitcoin a dépassé le niveau observé au plus bas du précédent marché baissier. Cependant, cette évaluation extrêmement basse ne confirme pas à elle seule que le creux final est atteint. Bien que la fourchette de prix actuelle semble potentiellement attractive dans le cadre du modèle, des données provenant d'autres indicateurs sont nécessaires pour confirmer un changement de direction du marché.

Le Bitcoin est tombé à son plus bas niveau d'évaluation selon le modèle Rainbow Chart, qui est basé sur les tendances de prix à long terme. Son score Z ajusté à la volatilité a également chuté à son plus bas niveau depuis 10 ans.

L'analyste de CryptoQuant Axel Adler Jr. a déclaré que le Bitcoin se négocie dans une fourchette qui peut être décrite comme un "prix de vente panique" sur le graphique "Arc-en-ciel". Selon l'analyste, le prix actuel indique un niveau d'escompte extrêmement bas par rapport à la trajectoire de prix à long terme au sein de ce motif.

Le diagramme arc-en-ciel ne mesure pas seulement la chute du prix du Bitcoin. Le modèle compare le prix actuel à la tendance historique à long terme, montrant à quel point le marché s'est écarté de cette tendance.

Selon les données, le score Z ajusté à la volatilité a chuté à -2,293. Il s'agit du niveau le plus bas enregistré pour cet indicateur depuis 2016. Lors du ralentissement du marché en 2022, l'indicateur était à -1,979.

Selon l'analyste, cet indicateur, qui prend en compte les fluctuations de volatilité dans différents cycles de marché, indique que la divergence baissière actuelle du Bitcoin a dépassé le niveau observé au creux du précédent marché baissier.

Cependant, une évaluation extrêmement basse ne confirme pas de manière définitive qu'un creux final a été atteint. Bien que les perspectives actuelles indiquent une fourchette de prix potentiellement attractive dans le cadre du modèle, des données provenant d'autres indicateurs sont nécessaires pour confirmer que le marché a changé de direction.

*Ceci n'est pas une recommandation d'investissement.

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