Indeks Saham Reddit yang Masuk ke Indeks S&P 500, Masih 42% Lebih Rendah dari Puncaknya pada September

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2026-08-14Last updated on 2026-08-14

Abstract

Reddit (RDDT) akan dimasukkan ke dalam indeks S&P 500 mulai 18 Agustus. Keputusan ini, dikonfirmasi S&P Dow Jones Indices, mendorong sahamnya naik lebih dari 11% pada hari pengumuman. Analis JP Morgan memperkirakan keputusan ini akan memaksa dana indeks pasif untuk membeli sekitar 16,7 juta saham perusahaan. Meski demikian, sejarah menunjukkan bahwa saham yang baru dimasukkan ke S&P 500 cenderung melampaui kinerja indeks sejak pengumuman hingga hari efektif, namun dalam tiga bulan berikutnya biasanya tertinggal sekitar 2% dari patokan. Reddit menggantikan AvalonBay Communities (AVB) dalam indeks, menyusul penggabungan AVB yang direncanakan dengan Equity Residential. Reddit mencatatkan pendapatan kuartal II sebesar $805 juta, naik 61% secara tahunan, dan laba bersih $253 juta. Namun, sepanjang tahun hingga penutupan perdagangan Kamis, sahamnya telah turun lebih dari 31%, dan masih terpangkas 42% dari puncaknya pada September 2025. Perusahaan menghadapi tantangan dari fluktuasi lalu lintas pengguna AS dari mesin pencari. CEO Steve Huffman menyatakan bahwa ulasan Google berbasis AI belum menggantikan tautan pencarian organik yang penting bagi platform. Inklusi Reddit menambah daftar perusahaan di S&P 500 yang semakin didominasi oleh segelintir raksasa teknologi, di mana saham terkait AI kini menyumbang sekitar 45% kapitalisasi pasar indeks, meningkatkan kerentanannya terhadap gejolak beberapa perusahaan besar.

Saham Reddit akan dimasukkan ke dalam indeks S&P 500 sebelum perdagangan dimulai pada 18 Agustus. Menurut perkiraan JP Morgan, perubahan ini akan memaksa dana indeks membeli 16,7 juta saham perusahaan.

Saham melonjak lebih dari 11% pada hari Jumat setelah S&P Dow Jones Indices mengonfirmasi pergerakan ini.

Kenaikan Indeks S&P Tertinggal 2% dari Tolok Ukur Setelah Tiga Bulan

Sejak diluncurkan pada Maret 2024, saham Reddit (RDDT) rata-rata diperdagangkan sebanyak 5,98 juta saham per hari. Dana pasif perlu membeli 16,7 juta saham, yang setara dengan sekitar tiga sesi perdagangan penuh dalam aktivitas normal, dimampatkan ke dalam proses rebalancing.

Harga saham sekitar $175,69, dan pada pukul 9:32 pagi waktu Timur hari Jumat, transaksi senilai lebih dari $201 juta telah dilakukan. Kemudian, menurut data kutipan intraday, saham Reddit naik 14,55% dan mencapai $181,12.

Analis perusahaan Stephens, Melissa Roberts, mencatat bahwa perusahaan-perusahaan baru yang dimasukkan ke dalam indeks S&P 500 secara historis mengungguli kinerja indeks tersebut dari pengumuman hingga inklusi aktual, dengan pergerakan terbesar terjadi pada hari setelah pengumuman berita.

Menurut ahli tersebut, begitu saham sudah dibeli, keuntungan yang diperoleh cenderung menghilang, dan selama tiga bulan berikutnya, volume pertumbuhan tertinggal sekitar 2% dari tolok ukur.

Perusahaan Reddit mengambil alih posisi AvalonBay Communities (AVB). Operator pasar apartemen ini keluar dari indeks setelah merger dengan Equity Residential (EQR), yang kesepakatannya telah dicapai pada Mei dan melibatkan pertukaran saham.

Nilai kesepakatan ini diperkirakan sekitar $69 miliar, dan diharapkan selesai pada paruh kedua tahun 2026.

S&P Dow Jones Indices menyatakan bahwa perusahaan gabungan, yang akan disebut Vivmarkdent, akan mempertahankan posisi AvalonBay di indeks S&P 500 setelah kesepakatan selesai.

Reddit Mencetak Laba $253 Juta, Namun Laba Tahun Ini Turun 31%

Setelah tahun yang sulit, saham Reddit termasuk di antara yang mengalami pertumbuhan tercepat. Perdagangan pada Kamis ditutup dengan penurunan nilai lebih dari 31% pada tahun 2026, dan rekor tertinggi sejarah yang dicapai pada September 2025 turun lebih dari 42%.

Menurut Cryptopolitan, perusahaan melaporkan laba bersih kuartal kedua sebesar $253 juta dengan pendapatan $805 juta, meningkat 61% dari tahun sebelumnya, dan merupakan kuartal kedelapan berturut-turut dengan pertumbuhan lebih dari 60%.

Platform media sosial tersebut meningkatkan panduan pendapatannya, tetapi pada akhir periode pelaporan, transisi yang tidak stabil dari mesin pencari berdampak negatif pada pertumbuhan pengguna di AS.

"Transparansi lalu lintas rujukan masih rendah," kata CEO Steve Huffman kepada para analis, menambahkan bahwa ulasan Google yang dibuat AI belum menggantikan tautan pencarian tradisional yang diandalkan Reddit.

Reddit bergabung dengan daftar yang semakin didominasi hanya oleh beberapa perusahaan teknologi besar.

Seperti yang sebelumnya dilaporkan Cryptopolitan, saham perusahaan terkait kecerdasan buatan saat ini menyusun sekitar 45% kapitalisasi pasar indeks S&P 500, membuat indeks ini lebih rentan terhadap fluktuasi harga beberapa perusahaan individu.

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Related Questions

QApa yang menyebabkan harga saham Reddit naik lebih dari 11% pada hari Jumat?

AHarga saham Reddit naik lebih dari 11% pada hari Jumat setelah S&P Dow Jones Indices mengonfirmasi bahwa saham tersebut akan dimasukkan ke dalam indeks S&P 500 sebelum perdagangan dimulai pada 18 Agustus.

QBerapa banyak saham Reddit yang diprediksi JP Morgan harus dibeli oleh dana indeks pasif akibat inklusi ke S&P 500?

AJP Morgan memperkirakan inklusi ini akan memaksa dana indeks pasif untuk membeli sekitar 16,7 juta saham Reddit.

QBagaimana kinerja historis saham yang baru dimasukkan ke dalam S&P 500 setelah inklusi resmi terjadi?

AMenurut analis Melissa Roberts dari Stephens, setelah saham dibeli dan diinklusikan secara resmi, keuntungan yang diperoleh cenderung hilang. Dalam tiga bulan berikutnya, pertumbuhannya biasanya tertinggal sekitar 2% dari patokan.

QPerusahaan apa yang digantikan oleh Reddit dalam indeks S&P 500, dan mengapa?

AReddit menggantikan AvalonBay Communities (AVB) dalam indeks S&P 500. Ini karena AvalonBay keluar dari indeks setelah merger dengan Equity Residential (EQR) yang diumumkan pada Mei, dengan perusahaan gabungan baru bernama Vivmark akan mengambil tempatnya setelah kesepakatan selesai.

QBerapa laba bersih yang dilaporkan Reddit untuk kuartal kedua, dan bagaimana tren pertumbuhan pendapatannya?

AReddit melaporkan laba bersih sebesar $253 juta untuk kuartal kedua dengan pendapatan $805 juta. Ini merupakan pertumbuhan pendapatan lebih dari 60% dibandingkan tahun sebelumnya, menandai kuartal kedelapan berturut-turut dengan pertumbuhan di atas 60%.

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Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of S (S) are presented below.

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