Đánh giá xu hướng đi ngang của Bitcoin khi con cá voi ngủ yên 290 triệu USD BTC nạp thêm

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-07-19Last updated on 2026-07-19

Abstract

Bitcoin đang giao dịch đi ngang trong khoảng 63.000 đến 64.000 USD. Một "cá voi" lớn, không hoạt động suốt một năm, đã quay trở lại và mua vào 1.001 BTC (tương đương 64 triệu USD), thể hiện sự tự tin nhất định. Tuy nhiên, đây có vẻ là trường hợp cá biệt. Phần lớn các cá voi khác đang giảm đáng kể hoạt động mua bán, với tỷ lệ Exchange Whale Ratio đi ngang quanh mức 0,3. Dòng tiền ròng (Spot Netflow) liên tục âm cho thấy lượng Bitcoin rút khỏi sàn lớn hơn lượng gửi vào, làm giảm áp lực bán gần nhưng không xác nhận việc tích lũy mạnh. Các chỉ báo kỹ thuật như ADX và -DI cho thấy áp lực giảm giá đang mạnh hơn. Nhu cầu từ cá voi nói chung vẫn yếu, làm gia tăng rủi ro giảm giá. Bitcoin có khả năng kiểm tra lại vùng dưới 63.000 USD, về phía đường trung bình dài hạn ở 62.697 USD. Để tránh đà giảm, BTC cần giữ được trên 63.906 USD và vượt qua mốc 64.000 USD.

Bitcoin tiếp tục giao dịch đi ngang trong khoảng 63.000 đến 64.000 USD. Tại thời điểm báo chí, BTC giao dịch quanh mức 63.923 USD sau khi tăng 1,82% trong 24 giờ.

Tuy nhiên, Khối lượng Giao dịch giảm 46%, phản ánh sự tham gia của thị trường yếu hơn.

Tại sao con cá voi Bitcoin này quay trở lại?

Khi Bitcoin [BTC] giao dịch đi ngang, một người nắm giữ dài hạn đã quay trở lại thị trường sau một năm không hoạt động.

Theo Onchain Lens, ví cá voi này đã nhận thêm 1.001 BTC trị giá khoảng 64 triệu USD. Một năm trước đó, con cá voi này đã mua Bitcoin trị giá 290 triệu USD thông qua Galaxy Digital.

Việc nó quay trở lại trong điều kiện thị trường yếu hơn cho thấy sự tự tin mới, mặc dù chỉ riêng giao dịch chuyển khoản này không xác nhận được nhu cầu rộng rãi hơn từ cá voi.

Nguồn: Onchain Lens

Các cá voi khác có đang mua BTC không?

Thú vị là, mặc dù con cá voi này đã quay trở lại, nhưng các cá voi khác đã giảm đáng kể và hiện đang ngồi ngoài lề.

Nhìn vào Tỷ lệ Cá voi trên Sàn giao dịch, chỉ số này tiếp tục di chuyển đi ngang, duy trì quanh mức 0,3 trong ba ngày qua. Trong ngắn hạn, chỉ số này cho thấy cá voi đã giảm mua và bán.

Nguồn: CryptoQuant

Tỷ lệ này đã giảm từ 0,33 xuống 0,31. Điều này có nghĩa là các dòng tiền lớn nhất chiếm tỷ trọng nhỏ hơn một chút trong tổng số tiền gửi.

Ngược lại, Dòng tiền Ròng Giao ngay vẫn âm trong bốn ngày liên tiếp, cho thấy tổng dòng tiền rút ra khỏi sàn vượt quá dòng tiền chảy vào.

Nguồn: CoinGlass

Tại thời điểm báo chí, Dòng tiền Ròng Giao ngay đứng ở mức gần -10,86 triệu USD. Dòng tiền rút ra tiếp tục có thể làm giảm áp lực bán ngay lập tức, nhưng chúng không xác nhận việc tích lũy của cá voi.

Tiếp theo BTC sẽ thế nào?

Mặc dù một số cá voi vẫn còn hoạt động trên thị trường, nhưng nhu cầu vẫn yếu. Hoạt động mua của nhóm hiện vẫn dưới mức trung bình.

Do đó, rủi ro giảm giá vẫn ở mức cao. Nhìn vào chỉ báo ADX với SMA cho thấy chỉ số dương tiếp tục giảm. +DI giảm xuống 14, trong khi chỉ số âm tăng lên 26 và ADX tăng lên 17.

Nguồn: TradingView

ADX và -DI cùng tăng lên cho thấy áp lực giảm giá mạnh hơn. Do đó, Bitcoin rất có thể sẽ ghi nhận một số tổn thất trên biểu đồ giá.

Nếu nhu cầu từ cá voi vẫn yếu như hiện tại, BTC có khả năng giảm xuống dưới 63k USD một lần nữa, hướng về mức 62.697 USD, nơi Đường trung bình dài hiện đang nằm. Để tránh mức trượt giá thêm, BTC phải giữ trên 63.906 USD và lật ngược mức 64k USD.


Tóm tắt Cuối cùng

  • Một con cá voi ngủ yên đã nhận 1.001 BTC trị giá 64 triệu USD sau một năm không hoạt động.
  • Dòng tiền Ròng Giao ngay Âm làm giảm nguồn cung ngay lập tức, nhưng nhu cầu rộng hơn và động lực giá vẫn yếu.

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Related Questions

QBài viết mô tả tình trạng giao dịch của Bitcoin tại thời điểm viết bài như thế nào?

ABitcoin đang tiếp tục giao dịch đi ngang (sideways) trong khoảng từ $63,000 đến $64,000. Tại thời điểm viết bài, BTC giao dịch quanh mức $63,923, tăng 1,82% trong 24 giờ, nhưng khối lượng giao dịch lại giảm 46%, phản ánh sự tham gia của thị trường yếu hơn.

QCon cá voi 'ngủ đông' đã có hành động gì đáng chú ý và ý nghĩa có thể là gì?

AMột con cá voi (ví tiền lớn) dài hạn đã quay trở lại thị trường sau một năm không hoạt động. Ví này đã nhận thêm 1.001 BTC, trị giá khoảng 64 triệu USD. Một năm trước, con cá voi này đã mua Bitcoin trị giá 290 triệu USD thông qua Galaxy Digital. Việc nó quay lại trong điều kiện thị trường yếu có thể cho thấy sự tự tin mới được tái lập, mặc dù chỉ riêng giao dịch này không xác nhận nhu cầu mua rộng rãi từ các cá voi khác.

QCác chỉ báo On-chain cho thấy hành vi của nhóm cá voi nói chung ra sao?

ACác chỉ báo on-chain cho thấy phần lớn các cá voi khác đang giảm đáng kể hoạt động và đứng ngoài lề. Tỷ lệ Exchange Whale Ratio tiếp tục đi ngang quanh mức 0,3 trong ba ngày qua, cho thấy các cá voi đã giảm mua và bán. Trong khi đó, Dòng chảy ròng Spot (Spot Netflow) vẫn âm trong bốn ngày liên tiếp, cho thấy dòng tiền rút ra khỏi sàn giao dịch lớn hơn dòng tiền gửi vào.

QPhân tích kỹ thuật (chỉ báo ADX/DMI) đưa ra dự báo gì về xu hướng giá Bitcoin?

AChỉ báo ADX kết hợp với SMA cho thấy sức mua (+DI) đã giảm xuống 14, trong khi sức bán (-DI) tăng lên 26 và chỉ số xu hướng (ADX) tăng lên 17. Việc ADX và -DI cùng tăng lên cho thấy áp lực giảm giá mạnh hơn. Do đó, Bitcoin nhiều khả năng sẽ chứng kiến một số khoản lỗ trên biểu đồ giá.

QTheo bài viết, điều kiện nào có thể khiến Bitcoin giảm sâu hơn hoặc tránh được đợt trượt giá?

ANếu nhu cầu từ các cá voi vẫn yếu như hiện tại, Bitcoin có khả năng giảm xuống dưới mức $63.000 lần nữa, hướng về phía $62.697 - nơi đường trung bình dài hạn (Long MA) đang nằm. Để tránh bị trượt giá thêm, BTC cần phải giữ được trên mức $63.906 và vượt lên trên ngưỡng $64.000.

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