辣评｜¿Es el post "con más valor emocional"! ¿Será STRC el próximo LUNA?

Q: ¿Qué suceso en Reddit CryptoCurrency es descrito como el post 'con mayor valor emocional' del mes y por qué?

Se trata de un post que simplemente decía '¡A la mierda el miedo, la incertidumbre y la duda (FUD)!'. Se considera así porque, durante una fuerte caída del mercado de criptomonedas en junio, sirvió como punto de reunión para que los pequeños inversores (retail) desahogaran su frustración y se animaran mutuamente a mantener sus posiciones (HODL), creando un sentimiento de comunidad y resistencia.

Q: ¿Qué es STRC y por qué se menciona que podría ser el 'próximo LUNA'? ¿Cuál es la diferencia clave según el artículo?

STRC es una acción preferente perpetua emitida por la empresa MicroStrategy, con un valor nominal de 100 dólares y que paga un dividendo anual del 11.5%. Se menciona como un posible 'próximo LUNA' porque su precio ha caído alrededor de un 25%, 'desancorándose' de su valor nominal, lo que genera dudas sobre la sostenibilidad de los pagos de dividendos. La diferencia clave es que, a diferencia de LUNA/UST que colapsó por un mecanismo algorítmico, MicroStrategy es una empresa real con reservas de efectivo. Además, Michael Saylor no tiene la obligación contractual de pagar los dividendos, por lo que una suspensión de los mismos no haría que la empresa desapareciera, aunque sí podría dañar la confianza en sus acciones ordinarias (MSTR).

Q: Según el análisis de los 1828 tuits de '川沐' (Chuan Mu), ¿cuál se describe como su verdadera fortaleza o método de inversión?

Su verdadera fortaleza no es predecir qué activo subirá, sino su forma de hacer preguntas estructurales sobre las tendencias del mercado. Él se pregunta: 'En la ola de la IA, ¿quién es la aplicación final? ¿Quién es la infraestructura? ¿Dónde están los cuellos de botella de la cadena de suministro? ¿A quién le cuesta más expandir la producción? ¿Quién está mal valorado por el mercado?'. Este enfoque sistémico le permite identificar los eslabones clave de una tendencia (como los semiconductores de memoria para IA) y migrar su estrategia principal a lo largo del tiempo.

Q: ¿Qué crítica o duda se plantea sobre la figura de '川沐' (Chuan Mu) en el artículo?

Se plantean dudas sobre su transparencia y coherencia. Algunos usuarios señalan que ciertos criptoactivos que él promocionó ('shill') posteriormente tuvieron movimientos de precio que 'liquidaron' a los seguidores. Además, se critica que vendió acciones que había dicho que mantendría por un tiempo, sin informar a sus seguidores que lo 'copiaban', dejándolos en posiciones perjudiciales. Esto crea una 'personalidad contradictoria' entre su imagen de genio inversor y las prácticas cuestionables.

Q: ¿Cuáles son los tres eventos principales que resume el artículo de '辣评' (Hot Takes) de esta semana?

Los tres eventos principales son: 1) El post de ánimo mutuo en Reddit durante la caída del mercado ('el post con mayor valor emocional'). 2) La caída y preocupación en torno a la acción preferente STRC de MicroStrategy y su comparación con el colapso de LUNA. 3) El análisis y las controversias en torno a la figura del trader '川沐' (Chuan Mu) tras revisar sus 1828 tuits.

Foresight NewsPublished on 2026-06-26Last updated on 2026-06-26

Abstract

Artículo: Comentarios Picantes｜¿Será STRC el próximo LUNA? Resumen en español: En un contexto de caída del mercado cripto en junio, con BTC perdiendo más del 20%, un post en Reddit que rechazaba el FUD se convirtió en un punto de encuentro para el ánimo de los pequeños inversores, lleno de comentarios sobre "manos de diamante" y "HODL". El artículo analiza luego la situación de STRC, las acciones preferentes perpetuas de MicroStrategy. Su precio ha caído a unos 76,2 dólares, desviándose de su valor nominal de 100 dólares. La preocupación central es si MicroStrategy puede mantener el pago del dividendo anual del 11.5%, que requiere unos 1,200 millones de dólares. Aunque la empresa tiene reservas en efectivo, solo cubren aproximadamente un año de dividendos. A diferencia de LUNA, MicroStrategy no está obligada a pagar estos dividendos, por lo que un colapso total es menos probable, pero el riesgo de una mayor devaluación persiste. Finalmente, se examina la figura del trader "川沐", famoso por sus éxitos en cripto y acciones. Un análisis de sus 1,828 tweets revela su metodología: identificar cuellos de botella en cadenas de suministro y sectores infravalorados, migrando de cripto a infraestructura de IA y luego a memoria y óptica. Sin embargo, también enfrenta críticas por supuestamente "señalar" activos que luego caen y vender posiciones en acciones sin avisar a sus seguidores, creando una "personalidad contradictoria". La semana resumió la resiliencia comunitaria, los riesg...

Escrito por: Nicky, Foresight News

Bienvenido de nuevo a "辣评" (Comentarios Picantes), donde cada semana te mostramos esos escenarios espectaculares de "inspiración, desanclaje y venta furtiva" en el mundo cripto.

Tres temas esta semana: "Los viejos de Reddit se animan mutuamente en el mercado bajista, ¿Será STRC de Strategy el próximo LUNA? Se desentierran 1828 tuits de un trader".

El post "con más valor emocional" del mes

En junio, el mercado de criptomonedas sufrió una fuerte caída. BTC cayó más del 20% en el mes, rompiendo el nivel psicológico de 60,000 dólares, y el sentimiento del mercado tocó fondo.

En el subreddit CryptoCurrency, alguien publicó un post cuyo contenido era solo una frase:

"¡A la mierda el miedo, la incertidumbre y la duda!"

Los comentarios se convirtieron instantáneamente en una descarga emocional para los pequeños inversores:

"El FUD es para los novatos, las manos de diamante solo miran hacia abajo y acumulan."

Comentario picante de un usuario: "Este es el post con más valor emocional del mes."

Cuando otros temen, yo codicio. Cuando otros codician, yo temo.

Un homenaje a quienes continúan manteniendo 🫡.

¿Quién actuará como la liquidez de salida? 🤔

El "acompañante" que le dice a todos que no vendan 🤣.

Si no vendes, son solo "pérdidas no realizadas" 🥶.

¿Así que vender en el pico te permite vivir una vida de lujo? 🤪

¡Mantente firme (HODL)!

¡Vender en el pico 📈, comprar en el valle 📉!

¡Todos somos hermanos!

STRC se desancla, ¿será el próximo LUNA?

La cuenta oficial de Arkham lanzó el 25 de junio una pregunta sensible: "¿Será STRC el próximo LUNA?"

La respuesta es: No exactamente igual, pero hay problemas serios.

Primero una explicación: STRC es una acción preferente perpetua emitida por Strategy, con un valor nominal de 100 dólares y un dividendo anual del 11.5%.

Actualmente, STRC ha caído a unos 76.2 dólares, un descuento de aproximadamente el 25% sobre su valor nominal, es decir, se ha "desanclado".

¿Por qué la caída? Porque los inversores empiezan a dudar: ¿Saylor está todavía dispuesto y será capaz de seguir pagando 1.2 mil millones de dólares anuales en dividendos?

Según los datos, hay unas 105 millones de acciones de STRC en circulación, lo que supone un gasto en dividendos de unos 1.2 mil millones de dólares anuales. Strategy anunció este lunes unas reservas en dólares de unos 1.4 mil millones, suficiente para un año, pero no para el segundo.

La diferencia clave es que Saylor no tiene la obligación de pagar esos dividendos. Si decide suspenderlos, STRC podría seguir cayendo, pero Strategy en sí no colapsará a cero de la noche a la mañana como LUNA.

Pero el riesgo está más adelante: si los inversores de MSTR (acciones ordinarias de Strategy) descubren que su dinero se usa prioritariamente para pagar dividendos de las acciones preferentes, podrían reducir sus compras de MSTR.

Entonces, ¿cuál es realmente el precio de "fondo"?

</p

El gráfico de velas ya muestra el "resultado final" 📉.

Quizás la gente no quiere admitir este hecho 🫢.

¿Saylor paga para demostrar que esto no es igual al colapso de LUNA? 😜

Entonces, ¿debemos preocuparnos? 🙂↕️

Es solo que el mercado determina el precio 🧐.

El CEO de Strategy, Phong Le, dijo el 22 de junio que había comprado STRC por valor de 1 millón de dólares.

Casualmente, "estamos desplegando más capital para estabilizar", el fundador de Luna, Do Kwon, tuiteó algo similar una vez 😅.

Actualmente, han pasado exactamente 4 años y 1 mes desde el colapso de LUNA. Sin embargo, en comparación con LUNA, al menos STRC tiene una empresa real detrás.

Se desentierran 1828 tuits de Chuanshan, revelando una "personalidad contradictoria"

Un blogger hizo un análisis en profundidad, con un título directo: "He desenterrado 1828 tuits de Chuanshan".

¿Quién es Chuanshan? En el movimiento de inscripciones ORDI de 2023, convirtió 500 dólares en 1 millón de dólares.

En la caída de 2025, vendió al descubierto una canasta de altcoins, convirtiendo 10,000 dólares en 1 millón en un mes.

Tras octubre de 2025, declaró abiertamente su salida del mercado Crypto, esquivando con precisión la gran caída, y pasó a los mercados de acciones de HK/USA/A. SK Hynix, Samsung, MRVL, NOK... Acertó en muchas acciones alcistas, su cuenta de acciones superó los 100 millones.

El autor del artículo, analizando sus tuits, descubrió que lo realmente impresionante de Chuanshan es su forma de cuestionar: En la ola de la IA, ¿quién es la aplicación final? ¿Quién es la infraestructura? ¿Cuál es el cuello de botella de la cadena de suministro? ¿Quién tiene más dificultad para expandir la producción? ¿Quién está mal valorado por el mercado?

No pregunta primero "qué acción subirá", sino "dónde se atascará todo el sistema".

Siguiendo esta lógica, su línea principal también migró: en el verano de 2025 aún operaba con reflejos de Crypto en acciones estadounidenses (MSTR, SBET, CRCL); a finales de 2025 cambió a las primeras pistas de infraestructura de IA (Micron, LITE); a principios de 2026, apostó fuerte por SK Hynix y Samsung, el eslabón más crítico en el almacenamiento de IA; en mayo de 2026, se expandió aún más al almacenamiento (DRAM) con el pie izquierdo y a las comunicaciones ópticas (MRVL para interconexión óptica dentro del chip, NOK para comunicaciones ópticas de larga distancia fuera del chip) con el pie derecho.

Pero algunos usuarios también cuestionaron a Chuanshan, algunas monedas que había promocionado luego tuvieron movimientos de "cosecha". Además, acciones que dijo que mantendría por un tiempo las vendió a mitad de camino, pero los usuarios que "copiaron" su operativa no lo sabían 🥹.

Así que, tras el éxito, siempre habrá "grandes eruditos que le hagan la apología" 🫢?

Solo quienes lo han vivido tienen derecho a hablar.

"Promocionar" se convirtió en un juego de probabilidades 🎲.

Historias de sangre y lágrimas detrás 😭.

¡Hay que conocer a una persona desde todos los ángulos, no creer ciegamente y mantener la capacidad de juicio propio!

Maestro, cuando te bajaste, ¿por qué no avisaste? 🫪

Las "ganancias" que muestra son las que quiere que la gente vea 🤩, hay otra parte que no quiere que la gente vea.

Desde el "triunfo espiritual de Reddit" de BTC, hasta el "interrogatorio de 1.2 mil millones en dividendos" de STRC, y la "personalidad contradictoria" de Chuanshan. Esta semana, algunos se animaban mutuamente, otros calculaban reservas de efectivo, otros buscaban la próxima parada analizando tuits.

¡Les deseo un feliz fin de semana! ¡Nos vemos la próxima semana!

(El contenido de este número se basa en información pública y discusiones en línea, interpretación ligera, solo como referencia.)

Repaso de números anteriores: 辣评|Michael Saylor emite "declaraciones de chico malo"; Una tía de 60 años, tras liquidar sus contratos, "rompe al chico"
辣评|Tres historias te lo cuentan: En el mundo de las cripto, cuanto más te esfuerzas, más "desgraciado".
辣评|¿El "rey de los minoristas" fue hackeado por su hermano para "estafar"? La IA "excava" Bitcoin...

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At the heart of the ecosystem is its native algorithmic stablecoin, TerraUSD (UST), which is pegged to the US dollar using an innovative algorithmic mechanism. This unique approach addresses a common concern in the cryptocurrency space: the volatility that often accompanies digital assets. The Terra Ecosystem aims to enhance the usability of cryptocurrencies by creating an environment where digital currencies function similarly to traditional currencies. By being user-friendly and stable, Terra sets out to attract users outside of the crypto community, ultimately fostering mass adoption. The Creators of the Terra Ecosystem The Terra Ecosystem emerged under the guidance of its co-founders Daniel Shin and Do Kwon. Both individuals, with a wealth of experience in entrepreneurship and technology, launched Terraform Labs to spearhead this groundbreaking project. Daniel Shin, a prominent figure in the South Korean tech landscape, has co-founded multiple tech companies, while Do Kwon has an extensive background in computer science and engineering. Their partnership is pivotal in steering the development and growth trajectory of the Terra Ecosystem. Investors in the Terra Ecosystem While detailed information about specific investors remains limited, it is widely acknowledged that Terraform Labs has garnered substantial financial support from a variety of angel investors and venture capital firms. This backing provides the necessary resources for the ongoing development and expansion of the Terra Ecosystem. The emphasis on acquiring diversified investment sources reflects the strong belief in the project's potential within the cryptocurrency community. How Does the Terra Ecosystem Work? At the core of the Terra Ecosystem's functionality lies its innovative proof-of-stake (PoS) consensus mechanism. This allows holders of the LUNA token, the native currency of the ecosystem, to participate in the governance and operation of the network. The dual-token structure differentiates Terra from many other projects, with LUNA serving both as a stake for validators and as a governance token. The mechanism operates in a distinctive way, whereby the supply of LUNA backs the stablecoin UST. If the demand for UST increases, the algorithm automatically adjusts the supply of LUNA to maintain the stability of UST at its dollar peg. Users are enabled to exchange 1 UST for an equivalent value in LUNA, ensuring that fluctuations in demand do not affect the peg. This innovative approach enables the Terra Ecosystem to maintain price stability, one of its primary goals. Timeline of the Terra Ecosystem The development journey of the Terra Ecosystem has been marked by significant milestones: 2018: Establishment of Terraform Labs by Daniel Shin and Do Kwon, laying the groundwork for the Terra Ecosystem. April 2019: The initial release of the Terra blockchain, initiating its journey into the broader cryptocurrency landscape. 2021: Terra experiences remarkable growth as its total value locked (TVL) reaches new heights, positioning it as a dominant player in decentralized finance (DeFi). May 2022: A turbulent period arises as the Terra blockchain is temporarily halted following the collapse of UST and LUNA, leading to a significant impact on market perception and capitalization. January 2024: Terraform Labs files for bankruptcy, marking another critical event in the project's history, sparking discussions on the sustainability and future of the ecosystem. Key Components of the Terra Ecosystem A variety of features contribute to the unique functionality of the Terra Ecosystem: Core Functionality The Terra Ecosystem includes essential functionalities such as managing transaction fees, monitoring price fluctuations, and maintaining historical balances of transactions, all of which are crucial for ensuring user experience and operational integrity. Applications One of the flagship features of the Terra Ecosystem is its diverse array of applications. This includes: Anchor Protocol: A money market protocol that provides high stablecoin yields and tokenized stakes for users seeking to maximize returns on their investments. Mirroring Technology: Enabling users to create assets that mirror real-world assets and trades, allowing for broader use cases and applications. Chai: A payment platform designed to facilitate everyday transactions using Terra's stablecoin technology. Swaps and Exchanges The ecosystem provides functionality for seamless asset exchanges. Notable features include native swapping capabilities and platforms such as Terraswap, allowing users to exchange Terra assets efficiently while benefiting from competitive rates. Governance Governance plays a critical role in the decentralized nature of the Terra Ecosystem. Token holders use their LUNA tokens to propose changes or vote on proposals that affect the network, ensuring collective decision-making and community involvement in the ecosystem's evolution. Notable Projects in the Terra Ecosystem Beyond the core functionalities, the Terra Ecosystem is also home to notable projects that further augment its capabilities: Terraswap: This decentralized exchange (DEX) emerged to facilitate easy swapping of Terra assets, thus promoting a vibrant trading environment within the ecosystem. Astroport: Another DEX known for its high total value locked, Astroport enhances trading opportunities and liquidity provision for users. Loop Markets: This integrated exchange hub offers users a range of trading tools and services, significantly contributing to the user experience across the Terra platform. Conclusion The Terra Ecosystem stands as a significant player within the blockchain and cryptocurrency domains, aiming to create a stable and scalable financial platform designed for widespread cryptocurrency adoption. Although the ecosystem faced dramatic challenges, notably the collapse of its stablecoin UST and the LUNA token, it continues to adapt and evolve in the face of adversity. As the project navigates its future, it remains committed to its foundational vision of building practical products accessible to a broader audience, thereby reinforcing the potential of decentralized finance. The Terra Ecosystem, with its robust features and innovative approach, holds promise as it seeks to redefine the landscape of digital currency use, remaining a focal point for enthusiasts and investors alike in the ongoing evolution of blockchain technology.

1.3k Total ViewsPublished 2024.12.17Updated 2024.12.17

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