La demande de Bitcoin connaît sa plus forte baisse depuis l'effondrement de LUNA : données

bitcoinistPublished on 2026-06-05Last updated on 2026-06-05

Abstract

La demande totale pour le Bitcoin, combinant les flux sur les marchés au comptant et à terme, se contracte actuellement au rythme le plus rapide depuis l'effondrement de Terra/LUNA en mai 2022. Selon les données on-chain, le changement sur 30 jours de cette demande a chuté à -501 000 BTC, une valeur proche des -559 000 BTC enregistrés lors de la crise de 2022. Cette contraction marquée fait suite à une hausse des prix au printemps alimentée uniquement par la demande spéculative sur les marchés à terme, tandis que la demande au comptant diminuait déjà. Les analystes notent que pour être durable, une hausse nécessite généralement une croissance simultanée sur les deux marchés. Suite à ce retournement, le prix du Bitcoin est tombé autour de 63 200 $, son niveau le plus bas depuis février. L'évolution future du secteur reste à observer pour voir si cette tendence négative va persister.

Les données on-chain montrent que la demande totale pour le Bitcoin s'est considérablement contractée au cours du dernier mois, atteignant un rythme comparable à celui de l'effondrement de LUNA.

La demande spot et à terme de Bitcoin a récemment diminué

Comme l'a souligné Julio Moreno, responsable de la recherche chez CryptoQuant, dans un post sur X, la demande de Bitcoin s'est contractée à un rythme soutenu récemment. Ici, la « demande » fait référence au montant total de Bitcoin affluant vers les marchés spot et à terme.

Ci-dessous se trouve le graphique partagé par Moreno qui montre l'évolution sur 30 jours de cette demande au cours des dernières années.

La valeur de la mesure semble avoir chuté ces derniers jours | Source : @jjcmoreno sur X

Comme le montre le graphique, la demande totale pour le Bitcoin a augmenté parallèlement à la hausse des prix qui s'est produite au cours du mois d'avril et de la première quinzaine de mai. Il est intéressant de noter que, comme le suggère le code couleur de la courbe, cette augmentation était due à la demande affluant vers les marchés dérivés ; la demande spot s'est en réalité contractée pendant la hausse.

Par le passé, les mouvements haussiers du prix n'ont généralement été durables que lorsque la demande augmentait simultanément sur les marchés spot et à terme. D'après le graphique, il est évident que les hausses du marché haussier en 2024 et celle de 2025 impliquaient toutes deux cette configuration verte. Étant donné que la récente poussée de reprise n'a été alimentée que par une activité spéculative, il n'est peut-être pas surprenant qu'elle n'ait pas pu durer, et un virage brutal a suivi pour le marché.

Le changement de cap dans le secteur du Bitcoin n'a pas seulement impliqué que la demande totale passe dans le négatif, mais il a également conduit à un renversement de direction pour l'activité spéculative, qui s'est alignée sur la tendance de contraction du marché spot. Actuellement, l'évolution sur 30 jours de la demande totale se situe à une valeur négative de 501 000 BTC, ce qui est le plus bas niveau atteint par la mesure depuis mai 2022. « La demande de Bitcoin se contracte à un rythme comparable à la période suivant l'effondrement de Terra/Luna », a noté l'analyste.

L'effondrement de Terra/LUNA a été un événement violent survenu pendant le marché baissier de 2022. Pendant cet événement, l'UST, un stablecoin algorithmique, a perdu sa parité avec le dollar, provoquant la déstabilisation de l'écosystème Terra dans une spirale mortelle, déclenchant finalement un krach dans l'ensemble du secteur.

À l'époque, la contraction de la demande spot et à terme avait atteint la marque des -559 000 BTC. La valeur actuelle de l'indicateur n'y est pas encore, mais si le marché continue sur cette trajectoire, il est possible que la demande quitte le marché à un rythme similaire. Reste à voir, cependant, comment le secteur du Bitcoin évoluera dans un avenir proche.

Prix du BTC

Suite au krach des prix, le Bitcoin est tombé au niveau des 63 200 $, le plus bas niveau atteint par l'actif depuis février.

Il semble que le prix de la cryptomonnaie ait récemment décliné | Source : BTCUSDT sur TradingView

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1.3k Total ViewsPublished 2024.12.17Updated 2024.12.17

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