布林带创始人放声看多:比特币突破上轨,“过热”信号时隔18个月再现

Cointelegraph中文Published on 2026-05-08Last updated on 2026-05-08

Abstract

比特币日线图上新的布林带突破尝试引发了不同的反应,因为该指标的创建者约翰·布林格透露了新的比特币仓位。

比特币 (BTC) 正在尝试几个月来首次突破布林带,而其创始人约翰·布林格比一些交易员更看好比特币。

要点:

比特币在试图突破布林带上轨时遭遇强劲阻力。

继上个月布林带处于史上最紧缩状态之后,市场波动性也随之而来。

创始人约翰·博林格在他的投资计划中利用了积极的交易信号。

比特币测试布林带上限,市场反应不一。

TradingView 的数据显示,周三,BTC/USD 连续第二个日线收盘价高于布林带上轨,这是自 1 月中旬以来首次出现这种情况。

用于评估波动性和动量的布林带指标最近出现了比特币有史以来最窄的组成趋势线之间的间隙。

这导致人们预测市场将出现突破性走势,但走势方向尚待商榷,同时市场波动性也将加剧。

不过,交易员 SuperBro 在评论价格触及上轨时指出,目前价格处于充满潜在阻力位的区域。

他们在 X 的一篇文章中写道:“收盘价高于布林带上轨,高于收盘价趋势线,但略低于影线对数趋势线。”

SuperBro补充说,目前大多数潜在的清算都属于价格低于多头头寸的交易,空头头寸已被平仓。

他们继续说道:“与低至 74,000 的长期清算相比,剩余的短期清算数量相对较少,最高可达 85,000。”

“然而,多头仍然占据动能优势,我目前还没有看到明显的反转迹象。尽管清算失衡,但我会继续持有,看看我们能否突破这一局面。”

该指标的创建者布林格透露,他旗下的一家投资基金的专有交易模型对比特币的走势转为积极,并据此建立了相应的仓位。

布林带“过热”信号时隔18个月再次出现

周三,布林带又迎来了一个里程碑,这次是关于投机投资者的市值与已实现价值 (MVRV) 比率。

相关报道:分析显示,如果“最关键”的熊市考验失败,比特币可能暴跌至 5 万美元。

Cointelegraph最近报道的这一指标,将比特币的市值与供应量最后一次变动的价格(也称为其“已实现市值”)进行比较。

X 分析账户 Frank Fetter 指出,布林带衍生品自 2024 年底以来首次进入“过热”区域。

当时,BTC/USD 正在迈向历史上首次 10 万美元大关。

当被问及“过热”的市场状况是否意味着价格反转时,该账户表示这“不一定”是必然的结果。

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