He aquí por qué Ethena [ENA] enfrenta riesgo de venta a pesar de señales de infravaloración

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-04-03Last updated on 2026-04-03

Abstract

Resumen: Ethena (ENA) ha mostrado señales de estar infravalorada, con un precio de mercado de $0.08 muy por debajo de su precio realizado de $0.373, lo que indica que la mayoría de los holders están en pérdidas. Aunque métricas como la edad media de las monedas y el ratio de acumulación sugieren compras a largo plazo, la actividad de la red es débil y el sentimiento a corto plazo apunta a ventas. Además, la tendencia bajista de Bitcoin podría prolongarse, aumentando el riesgo de que los repuntes de precio de ENA sean vendidos de forma agresiva. Los inversores deben ser cautelosos, ya que la tendencia bajista podría no haber terminado.

Ethena [ENA] registró una caída del 12,82% el jueves 2 de abril, cuando su precio bajó de $0,0905 a $0,0789. Desde entonces, se ha recuperado por encima de $0,08. Sin embargo, al momento de redactar esta nota, su tendencia a largo plazo seguía siendo bajista.

Las bandas de valoración MVRV utilizan la relación entre el valor de mercado y el valor realizado para determinar si un activo está sobrevalorado o infravalorado. Curiosamente, ENA no alcanzó los extremos superiores de las bandas de precios durante el mercado alcista de las criptomonedas.

Además, ha estado por debajo de los extremos inferiores de las bandas de precios desde octubre de 2025. El precio de mercado al momento de redactar esta nota era de $0,08, mientras que el precio realizado estaba en $0,373. El porcentaje de oferta en ganancias era del 0,018%.

En otras palabras, la mayoría de los tenedores de ENA parecían estar, en promedio, en una situación de pérdidas significativas.

¿Es momento de comprar ENA?

Los inversionistas de valor podrían argumentar que comprar Ethena en este momento podría generar ganancias excepcionales. Sin embargo, también se debe considerar el riesgo asociado.

Especialmente porque Bitcoin [BTC] ha estado en una tendencia a la baja durante un tiempo, una que podría durar otros seis meses.

Durante el último mes, la proporción de acumulación de tenedores ha tendido a la baja. La métrica destaca la proporción de tenedores activos que han estado aumentando sus tenencias.

Si bien una lectura del 74% indicó una acumulación neta por parte de participantes activos, el sentimiento a corto plazo parecía apuntar hacia la venta.

Los datos de Santiment también subrayaron este comportamiento de acumulación. La edad media de las monedas de 365 días ha estado tendiendo al alza en 2026, aunque experimentó un reinicio considerable a principios de marzo. Durante las últimas dos semanas, la métrica ha estado subiendo para indicar acumulación.

Y, sin embargo, las métricas de actividad de la red destacaron una debilidad. Las direcciones activas diarias y el crecimiento de la red se mantenían en mínimos de seis meses. La débil actividad de la red y la baja rentabilidad de los tenedores apuntaban a un problema difícil de superar para los alcistas.

A pesar de las pistas de acumulación, es abrumadoramente probable que cualquier repunte del precio de ENA fuera vendido agresivamente. Los tenedores querrían tomar ganancias o salir en el punto de equilibrio después de la implacable tendencia a la baja desde octubre de 2025.

Resumen Final

Las métricas on-chain insinuaron una acumulación de ENA por parte de los tenedores.
Los inversionistas de valor deben tener cuidado, ya que, si bien comprar en los mínimos es una buena idea en teoría, la actual tendencia bajista podría no haber terminado aún.

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Bitcoin Decouples From Global M2 Liquidity As Money Supply Hits Record High

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732 Total ViewsPublished 2025.01.14Updated 2025.01.14

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Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of S (S) are presented below.