2026年春晚预测市场盘点：从热门关键词到机器人登台，哪些事件已上线？

marsbitPublished on 2026-02-14Last updated on 2026-02-14

Abstract

2026年央视春晚预测市场近期上线多个趣味预测事件，涵盖关键词提及、机器人表演和嘉宾登台等方向，为观众提供新型互动方式。目前主要预测包括：春晚是否会提及“通义千问”“豆包”“Kimi”“文心一言”等AI相关词汇，以及“龙马精神”“马到成功”等生肖贺岁词；是否会有宇树、智元、智普等机器人品牌登台表演节目；此外，还包括歌手李谷一是否登场——尽管已有报道称她因身体原因已明确表示无法参加。预测市场通过链上合约形式提供实时竞猜，判定条件严格，例如关键词需在直播口播环节出现才算有效。这类活动既呼应春晚热点，也为用户提供了除炒作MEME代币外更具内容参与感的链上互动体验。

作者 | Asher(@Asher_ 0210)

每年春晚直播期间,链上“土狗行情”往往会明显升温,但除了追逐热点 Meme 代币,今年多了一种更有意思的互动方式——围绕春晚相关话题参与预测市场。

目前,围绕 2026 年央视春晚上线的预测事件数量仍然不多,但已经覆盖关键词提及、机器人品牌出场、嘉宾是否登台等多个方向。本文将对春晚相关预测市场题目进行持续盘点与更新,在春晚正式播出前动态补充最新上线事件,方便读者实时跟踪。

2026 年央视春晚会提及哪些词语?

事件合约链接:https://predict.fun/market/what-will-be-mentioned-2026-spring-festival-gala
对应英文:What will be mentioned at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?
给出的词组分别为:通义千问、豆包、seedance、deepseek、kimi、文心一言、哈基米、马到成功、龙马精神、一马当先、万马奔腾、马不停蹄、快马加鞭、天马行空、一马平川。
判定条件:在 CCTV-1 春晚直播期间,问答环节、广告、产品推广、观众发言、短剧、歌曲介绍或任何口述部分提及指定词语都将计入。

哪些机器人会在 2026 年央视春晚上表演节目?

事件合约链接:https://polymarket.com/event/which-robot-dancer-brands-will-feature-at-the-2026-spring-festival-gala
对应英文:Which robot dancer brands will feature at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?
给出的词组分别为:Unitree Robotics(宇树机器人)、MagicLab(魔法原子机器人)、Noetix Robotics(松延动力机器人)、GALBOT(银河通用机器人)、Booster Robotics(博斯特机器人)、Zhipu Robotics(智普机器人)、Agibot(智元机器人)

李谷一会在 2026 年央视春晚上表演节目吗?

事件合约链接:https://predict.fun/market/will-li-guyi-perform-at-the-spring-festival-gala
对应英文:Will Li Guyi perform at the Spring Festival Gala?

个人看法:纯理财局,新浪新闻报道,李谷一在电话连线中表示,因身体原因,将缺席2026年央视春晚。她向观众表达歉意和感谢,并提前向大家拜年:“我的身体状态不大好,实在无法登上春晚,真的很对不起观众朋友们。”

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