英伟达业绩提振全球市场情绪,日经225涨超3%,纳指100期货涨1.9%,比特币升至9.2万美元,金价跌至4070美元

华尔街日报Published on 2025-11-20Last updated on 2025-11-20

英伟达强劲的营收预期缓解了人工智能行业泡沫担忧,推动全球股市在经历数周抛售后出现显著反弹,周四亚太股市全线走高,美股期货亦上涨,纳斯达克100指数期货攀升1.8%。比特币升至92000美元上方。美联储会议纪要释放的鹰派信号,再加上10月非农不公布,都打压12月降息预期,推高美元和美债收益率,黄金冲高4100美元之后回落之4070美元附近。

一方面,英伟达强劲的业绩指引证实了AI基础设施需求的韧性,极大提振了科技股及全球股市的多头情绪,扭转了此前因估值担忧引发的抛售;二是美联储会议纪要释放鹰派信号,且受数据缺失和关税不确定性影响,市场降息预期降温,推高了美元和美债收益率。

分析指出,这一关键风险事件的落地提振了市场情绪。此前数周,华尔街对科技股估值过高和AI基础设施巨额投资的担忧导致全球股市大幅下挫。亚洲股市五日来首次上涨,日本日经225指数涨3%,韩国Kospi指数涨近3%。

眼下,市场焦点同时转向利率前景。今天市场关注美国9月非农,不过美国劳工统计局宣布不发布10月就业报告,令美联储在年底最后一次会议前缺失关键经济数据,交易员几乎完全消化了12月不降息的预期。

IG Markets策略师Tony Sycamore在报告中写道:"这种信息空白被视为加剧了美联储委员会内部分歧,并推动他们在12月FOMC会议上倾向于'维持不变'的决定。"

13:27

在亚太股市反弹之际,从板块来看,英伟达供应商领涨:英伟达的日本芯片设备供应商,包括东京电子、爱德万测试和莱特科技等均显著反弹。

韩国内存芯片制造商SK海力士和三星电子均上涨,三星电子大涨6%。

对于英伟达财报,Wilson Asset Management投资组合经理Matthew Haupt表示:"'宽慰'可能是最恰当的词。我们需要一个股市抛售的断路器,因为市场情绪正在转向负面,而英伟达交出了一份出色的成绩单。"

不过,有分析师提醒反弹可能只是短期现象。Vantage Markets分析师Hebe Chen指出:"今天这波由英伟达提振的反弹看起来更像短期宽慰,而非完全消除估值担忧。市场暂时喘息,但维持这轮涨势的门槛仍然很高,投资者需要更明确的证据表明AI需求能够在2026年继续保持这种增长速度。"

13:21

道指期货涨0.7%,纳指100期货涨1.9%,标普500期货涨1.3%。

【以下为12时之前更新】

11:42

日本10年期国债收益率上行6个基点至1.825%,为2008年6月以来最高水平。

日本5年期和10年期国债收益率升至2008年以来最高水平,市场正在为首相高市早苗定于周五公布的刺激计划做准备。

此前,日本财务大臣片山皐月表示,她与日本央行行长植田和男及增长战略大臣木内稔确认了监测市场动向的必要性,三位官员重申了旨在克服通缩并实现可持续增长的联合协议。

11:10

印尼基准股指日内涨幅扩大至1%。泰国股指SET指数日内涨幅扩大至1%。

具体来看,美股三大股指期货全线上涨,标普500股指期货涨1.02%,纳指期货涨1.5%,罗素2000股指期货涨0.7%,道指期货涨0.44%。

日经225指数涨幅扩大至3.3%,东证指数涨2.1%,韩国首尔综指高开2.6%。

英伟达盘后大涨超5%,带动AMD、台积电等芯片股及Palantir等AI概念股集体上行。

具体来看,AMD涨3.99%,Palantir涨3.9%,美光科技涨3.5%,台积电涨3.3%,甲骨文涨3.1%,博通涨2.7%,谷歌A涨2.2%,C3.ai涨1.99%,英特尔涨1.88%,亚马逊涨1.54%。 纳微半导体涨12%,AMKR涨7.5%,德州仪器跌0.1%,思佳讯跌1%;

ETF中,iShares半导体ETF涨2.6%、SMH涨2.5%。

美联储鹰派带动,美债价格下跌,10年期美债收益率上行约2个基点至4.14%;美元指数站上100关口;日元兑美元跌破157关口。

现货黄金短线拉升,目前涨0.7%报4108美元/盎司。现货白银涨0.6%,报51.67美元。

美联储10月会议纪要显示整体立场偏鹰,官员们认为在2025年剩余时间维持利率不变可能是合适的。此外,由于10月就业数据缺失(将并入11月数据)以及关税政策的不确定性,交易员几乎排除了下个月降息的可能性。

持续更新中

风险提示及免责条款
市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议,也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资,责任自负。

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724 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

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