12月降息预期骤降,BTC为何频频跌破10万美元?

marsbitPublished on 2025-11-13Last updated on 2025-11-13

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  • 比特币交易价格为98,841.86 美元,在过去 24 小时内下跌超过 2%。
  • 摩根大通分析师表示,比特币的估计生产成本(历史上一直起到价格底线或支撑作用)已升至约94,000美元。

比特币周四,加密货币价格本月第三次跌破10万美元这一重要的心理关口,过去24小时内加密货币清算总额达到4.63亿美元。

截至美国东部时间下午 1 点 34 分,比特币交易价格为 98,841.86 美元。此前数小时,The Block 发布了一份报告,其中摩根大通分析师表示,他们认为比特币的支撑位在 94,000 美元左右。截至周四下午,比特币下跌超过 2%。

CoinGlass的数据显示,在所有数字资产的清算中,有3.42亿美元来自多头头寸。与此同时,比特币现货ETF周三蒸发了约2.78亿美元。

摩根大通分析师在周三发布的报告中指出,比特币的预估生产成本(历史上一直起到价格底线或支撑作用)已从近期预估的约9.2万美元升至约9.4万美元。过去几个月比特币网络难度的急剧上升推高了预估生产成本。

周四下跌的加密资产并非只有比特币。据The Block的数据显示,以太坊和Solana等其他主流加密资产也下跌了约6%,而与加密相关的股票也遭受重创。截至发稿时,科技股为主的纳斯达克指数下跌2.45%,标普500指数下跌1.56%。

降息概率下降

从宏观角度来看,The Coin Bureau 联合创始人兼分析师 Nic Puckrin 周四上午表示,政府停摆的潜在影响以及降息可能性的降低都可能对比特币价格构成压力。

“今天原本应该公布10月份的美国消费者物价指数(CPI)报告,但由于政府停摆,联邦数据发布似乎出现了断层,”他说道。“因此,12月份降息的可能性大幅下降也就不足为奇了。”

“随着今年最不确定的联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议临近,我们可能会看到资金进一步涌向避险和防御性资产,”帕克林补充道。“交易员最好在未来几周保持警惕,尤其是那些配置比特币等高风险资产的交易员。”

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What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. 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How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

363 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

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