避险资金 “抛弃” 比特币?比特币创周内新低,ETF 净流入能否成 “救命稻草”?

Cointelegraph中文Published on 2025-11-12Last updated on 2026-07-12

Abstract

随着政府关门风险逐步消退,市场似乎正在向风险谱系更为传统的一端倾斜,比特币暂时被主导治理与政策敏感型资产轮动所边缘化。

比特币跌至每周低点101,300美元,而美国股市和黄金在关键投票结束美国政府停摆之前上涨,表明投资者情绪转向传统资产。

在结束政府停摆投票前,股市与黄金齐涨,比特币(BTC)跌至 10.1 万美元

周三,美国股市大涨,投资者期待众议院就结束政府关门的法案进行投票。与此同时,比特币从盘中高点10.53万美元下跌至本周低点约10.12万美元,跌幅达3.4%。


关键要点:

  • 比特币在资金重新流入股票和贵金属的背景下下跌3.4%。
  • 道琼斯指数上涨423点,在美国众议院对政府停摆投票前创下新的日内高点。

Cryptocurrencies, Government, Gold, Bitcoin Price, Investments, Markets, United States, Stocks, Price Analysis, Price Indexes, Stock Market Indexes, Market Analysis

比特币四小时图。来源:Cointelegraph/TradingView

比特币与美国指数之间的市场动态


道琼斯工业平均指数上涨0.9%,得益于高盛集团、摩根大通和美国运通的强劲表现。标普500指数微涨0.1%,纳斯达克综合指数则小幅下滑0.3%,反映出一定程度的疲软。


与此同时,黄金升至约4180美元,白银突破53美元,在避险需求及政府关门结束后数据发布预期推动下双双走高。


比特币的大幅回落伴随着风险资产整体转向。在关门投票临近之际,投资者或许更青睐对经济政策和信贷流动有更明确敞口的资产。贵金属的上涨既反映了避险需求,也体现了在经济数据恢复正常发布后,美联储可能政策转向的预期。


与此同时,比特币的回调也可能是周三小幅反弹后的持续获利了结,以及机构资金流入加密货币相较于传统资产依然偏弱所致。


随着政府关门风险逐步消退,市场似乎正在向风险谱系更为传统的一端倾斜,比特币暂时被主导治理与政策敏感型资产轮动所边缘化。


波动性或将再次有利于比特币


尽管当前价格承压,但波动性很快可能再次偏向比特币。现货比特币ETF近期出现复苏迹象,在十月初创纪录加密市场暴跌后,风险偏好正逐步回归。现货比特币ETF周二录得5.24亿美元净流入,为10月7日以来单日最大规模。

Cryptocurrencies, Government, Gold, Bitcoin Price, Investments, Markets, United States, Stocks, Price Analysis, Price Indexes, Stock Market Indexes, Market Analysis

现货BTC ETF的每日净流入总额。来源:SoSoValue

此外,美联储本月晚些时候即将公布下一步政策指引,如释放鸽派信号,将有望提振整个加密市场风险偏好。如果美股波动性在关门结束后趋于稳定,比特币或可重拾上行动能,吸引机构寻求远离传统市场的新型多元化配置。


本文不构成投资建议或推荐。所有投资与交易行为均存在风险,请读者在决策时自行做好充分调研。

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