以太坊财库背后的风险困局

深潮Published on 2025-07-28Last updated on 2025-07-29

以太坊财库企业须在 ETH 的流动性与收益优化之间找到平衡。

撰文:James Rubin

编译:Saoirse,Foresight News

华尔街投行伯恩斯坦(Bernstein)在周一的报告中指出,以太坊财库在管理资产时与比特币财库存在显著差异:以太坊财库通过质押获取收益,但这一过程伴随着流动性受限与智能合约安全等风险,企业需在资金部署的局限性中寻找平衡。

分析师认为,这些因素是企业在平衡以太坊资产流动性与「收益优化」时的关键考量。

分析师指出:「若以太坊财库为获取收益而质押 ETH,质押合约虽通常具备流动性,但有时解锁需排队数日。因此,以太坊财库企业须在 ETH 的流动性与收益优化之间找到平衡。此外,像再质押(例如 Eigenlayer 再质押模式)和基于 DeFi 的收益生成这类更复杂的收益优化策略,还需应对智能合约的安全风险管理问题。」

伯恩斯坦补充道:「以太坊财库模式的优势在于,质押收益能为运营带来实际现金流,但流动性风险与安全问题仍需重点关注。」

质押是指将代币抵押至网络以支持其运行的过程。以太坊、Solana 等权益证明(Proof-of-Stake)网络,与比特币等工作量证明(Proof-of-Work)系统不同,后者依赖资源密集型的挖矿操作。

目前,越来越多企业开始构建以太坊财库。伯恩斯坦提到,包括 SharpLink Gaming(SBET)、Bit Digital(BTBT)和 BitMine Immersion(BMNR)在内的以太坊相关企业,在 7 月已累计持有 87.6 万枚 ETH。

上周,BMNR 的以太坊持仓价值突破 20 亿美元,该公司还表示目标是持有并质押 5% 的以太坊总供应量。SharpLink 则持有价值超 13 亿美元的 ETH。

「在数字美元与代币化资产的推动下,互联网金融经济的增长将带动以太坊生态(包括 Coinbase、Robinhood 等平台运营的 Layer2 链)的交易与用户规模扩张。以太坊作为底层原生资产,依托交易费用产生的质押收益及代币回购销毁机制,有望从这一增长中实现价值增值。」

以太坊在周一交易中一度突破 3900 美元,创 12 月初以来新高,随后回落。过去一个月,该资产涨幅超 50%,其上涨与以太坊财库的兴起、《GENIUS 法案》通过后以太坊生态环境改善,以及市场对其应用潜力的认可密切相关。

多位分析师预测,ETH 今年可能突破此前 4800 美元的历史高点,BitMEX 创始人 Arthur Hayes 近期甚至预计 ETH 年内将达 10000 美元。

BitMine Immersion 董事长 Tom Lee 在社交媒体平台 X 的报告中称,基于研究分析师提供的重置价值,ETH 可能达到当前价格的 18 倍,即约 60000 美元。当然,BitMine 作为持仓企业,其预测难免带有利益倾向。

以太坊财库模式借鉴了 Strategy(前身为 MicroStrategy)的经验。该公司在多年业绩不佳、股价低迷后,于 2020 年从软件开发转型为比特币购买,按当前价格计算,其比特币持仓价值近 720 亿美元。但分析师指出,「以太坊财库的风险管理比 Strategy 模式更复杂。

分析师称:「Michael Saylor 坚持将比特币以流动性形式保留在资产负债表上,不通过借出获取被动收益。Strategy 极度注重资产负债管理(ALM)和流动性管理。」

「且 Strategy 常根据市场情绪在债务融资与股权融资之间调整,以维持保守的债务水平。」

Related Reads

On-Chain Figures on the Eve of Kickoff: 1.6 Billion Traded Before the World Cup Even Begins

"On-Chain Numbers on the Eve of the World Cup: $1.6 Billion Traded Before Kick-off" Analysis of on-chain markets before the 2026 FIFA World Cup reveals significant crypto integration into football. The most striking figure is the approximately **$1.6 billion** in total trading volume on the single "World Cup Winner" contract on the Polymarket prediction market platform, accumulated before a single match was played. This represents explosive growth for a sector whose annual volume surged from ~$16B in 2024 to ~$64B in 2025. The ecosystem is maturing beyond speculation. Key developments include: 1) **Infrastructure upgrades** like Polymarket's migration to native, regulated USDC stablecoin for settlements; 2) **Reliable data oracles**, such as Chainlink, being used to resolve real-world match outcomes on-chain; and 3) **Official recognition**, with FIFA appointing its first-ever "Prediction Markets" partner. Over 100 contracts now cover everything from the outright winner to individual match results and even non-sporting risks like venue relocation. This evolution marks a fundamental shift. While crypto firms are absent from FIFA's top-tier sponsor list, the technology has deeply penetrated the tournament's financial and predictive infrastructure through regulated stablecoin settlements, decentralized oracles, and new official partnership categories. The regulatory landscape remains complex and varies by jurisdiction, but on-chain markets for the World Cup are already a multi-billion-dollar reality.

marsbit19m ago

On-Chain Figures on the Eve of Kickoff: 1.6 Billion Traded Before the World Cup Even Begins

marsbit19m ago

From SpaceX's IPO to the Future of Crypto: Which Crypto Sectors Will Host the Trillion-Dollar Narrative?

From the SpaceX IPO, which targets a $750 billion raise at a $1.77 trillion valuation, we can extrapolate capital flow trends relevant to crypto. The focus shifts from speculative narratives to foundational infrastructure and real-world asset (RWA) integration. Key crypto sectors poised to benefit include: 1. **AI Infrastructure**: The narrative is moving from consumer-facing AI applications to underlying, scarce resources like compute power and decentralized GPU networks (e.g., TAO, RENDER, AKT, IO). These protocols are positioning as the essential "picks and shovels" providers for the AI economy. 2. **Real-World Assets (RWA)**: Beyond tokenized treasury bonds, RWA's future lies in on-chain equity and pre-IPO assets like SpaceX. This could democratize access to high-growth assets and reshape global capital flows, benefiting infrastructure projects like ONDO, LINK, and Plume that facilitate issuance, data, and liquidity. 3. **Core Financial Infrastructure**: Stablecoins, payment networks, and DePIN (Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Networks) are critical for settling the future on-chain economy. Their role expands from internal trading tools to foundational layers for global finance, AI systems, and real-world asset networks, leading to potential value reassessment. In summary, the next cycle may prioritize long-term infrastructure value—AI compute, asset tokenization networks, and settlement layers—over short-lived application hype, mirroring the broader market's shift towards funding the foundational systems of the future.

marsbit40m ago

From SpaceX's IPO to the Future of Crypto: Which Crypto Sectors Will Host the Trillion-Dollar Narrative?

marsbit40m ago

Tech Stocks Plunge and Bitcoin Slumps, Retail Investors Face Ultimate Test Ahead of SpaceX IPO

Technology stocks suffered their biggest drop in months, and Bitcoin fell below the $60,000 mark, coinciding with the eve of SpaceX's massive IPO plans. The sell-off was triggered by strong U.S. jobs data, dashing hopes for Fed rate cuts and reviving fears of further hikes. High-valuation sectors like AI and semiconductors led the declines, with the Nasdaq plunging over 4%. Cryptocurrencies, sensitive to higher interest rates and a strong dollar, also tumbled sharply. This market stress test raises critical questions about the limits of retail investor capital and its next destination. SpaceX's upcoming IPO, which plans to allocate an unusually high 30% of shares to retail investors, now faces a more uncertain landscape. Analysts warn that to buy SpaceX,散户 may need to sell existing holdings, with Tesla seen as a potential source of funds. The market is saturated with speculative options—from crypto and meme stocks to zero-day options and AI-themed ETFs—all competing for the same pool of retail attention and capital. While SpaceX's listing could inject fresh excitement, it also enters a fiercely competitive environment where investor loyalty is fleeting. The ease of zero-commission trading and lower barriers to margin trading accelerate capital rotation between narratives, making it difficult for any single story, even a historic IPO like SpaceX's, to dominate for long.

华尔街日报1h ago

Tech Stocks Plunge and Bitcoin Slumps, Retail Investors Face Ultimate Test Ahead of SpaceX IPO

华尔街日报1h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of ETH (ETH) are presented below.

活动图片