人民币与美元——争夺2万亿美元稳定币市场的竞争

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-07-04Last updated on 2025-07-04

Abstract

这可能是中国在几年前被禁止后重返加密货币领域吗?

  • 京东和蚂蚁集团倡导人民币支持的稳定币,以挑战美元的霸主地位
  • 人民币全球支付份额急剧下降,中国正在考虑离岸人民币代币
  • 随着美国推进最近通过的《GENIUS法案》,中国科技巨头正在寻求平衡与美元挂钩的数字货币日益增长的主导地位。

中国推动稳定币

据路透社报道,京东和蚂蚁集团已敦促中国央行批准开发基于人民币的稳定币,特别是通过香港。

这些拟议的稳定币将与离岸人民币挂钩,旨在扩大人民币的全球影响力,同时挑战美元不断扩大的数字影响力。

尽管中国雄心勃勃,想要挑战美国支持的稳定币的主导地位,但追赶并非易事。 根据国际清算银行的数据,Tether 的 USDT 和 Circle 的 USDC 目前占据着市场主导地位,而市场上超过 99% 的稳定币都与美元挂钩。

尽管目前稳定币市场规模仅为 2470 亿美元,但渣打银行认为,到 2028 年,稳定币市场规模可能飙升至 2 万亿美元。

高管们权衡……

神州数码信息服务集团联席董事长、原中国银行副行长王永利对此表示:

“如果跨境人民币支付不如美元稳定币高效,那将是一种战略风险。”

加密货币交易所运营商 HashKey 董事长肖峰也表达了类似的看法,他补充道:

“中国再也无法避免采取行动。”

这一推动的背后是什么?

因此,如果中国的游说活动取得成功,这将标志着北京自 2021 年加密货币禁令以来的一次显着政策转变,并可能暗示通过数字金融提升人民币国际影响力的更广泛战略。

然而,中国将人民币提升为全球储备货币的愿望仍然面临重大障碍,特别是由于该国严格的资本管制。

尽管中国是世界第二大经济体,但人民币在全球支付体系中的影响力却有所减弱。事实上,根据SWIFT数据,人民币汇率在5月份跌至2.89%,为近两年来的最低水平。

相反,美元仍然保持着48.46%的主导地位。

还有什么?

因此,随着美元支持的稳定币在中国出口商中越来越受欢迎,其中许多出口商现在更喜欢使用 USDT 进行跨境结算,蚂蚁集团和京东等科技巨头正在加快发行自己的稳定币,以夺回货币地位。

京东计划在年底前推出与港元挂钩的稳定币,而蚂蚁集团则正在积极争取香港、新加坡和卢森堡的牌照,以扩大其基于区块链的支付基础设施。

这些举措与对抗数字美元日益增长的主导地位的更广泛举措相一致。

值得注意的是,这些更新与围绕中美贸易谈判重启的乐观情绪不谋而合。近期,这推动比特币价格短暂突破11万美元,但由于缺乏实质性进展,涨势有所减弱——这凸显了稳定币地缘政治的动荡背景。

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