【深夜收割】KOGE、ZKJ 连环清算

Odaily星球日报Published on 2025-06-16Last updated on 2026-06-26

Abstract

ZKJ、KOGE闪崩,是一场早有预谋的狩猎行动,Binance Alpha积分则是看似可口、实则危险的诱饵。

原创|Odaily星球日报(@OdailyChina
作者|Wenser(@wenser 2010 

KOGE、ZKJ一夜收网,Binance Alpha被迫成长


一夜过去,不少 Binance Alpha 玩家们发现“天塌了”——一直以来用于 Alpha 积分交互的 KOGE、ZKJ 两大代币迎来闪崩,截至撰稿时,ZKJ 价格暂报 0.32 美元, 24 小时跌幅高达 83.7% ,此前其 24 小时最高价达 1.98 美元,最低价一度跌至 0.25 美元;KOGE 价格暂报 27.75 美元, 24 小时跌幅达 55.78%  ,此前其 24 小时最高价达 62.81 美元,最低价一度跌至 8.48 美元。


最新消息,币安官方发布公告称“已关注到 ZKJ 和 KOGE 近期出现显著价格波动,初步调查显示主要由于大户撤除链上流动性以及市场连锁清算所致,将于 2025 年 6 月 17 日 00: 00 (UTC)起调整 Alpha 积分计算规则,届时 Alpha 代币之间的交易量将不再计入积分计算。”


越来越卷、轰轰烈烈的“Binance Alpha 大考”,因为 ZKJ/KOGE 交易对价格闪崩事件终于迎来转折。Odaily星球日报将于本文对该事件予以梳理,并借此探讨 Binance Alpha 的机制利弊与后续可能走向。
一场为期三周的“Alpha 狩猎”:以 KOGE、ZKJ 为网,Alpha 积分为诱饵

5 月 24 日,随着 BTC 大盘的逐步走高,市场对 Binance Alpha 刷分交互的热情也随之大涨,其交易量一度跃升至 16.9 亿美元,其中 ZKJ 交易量 10.5 亿美元,KOGE 交易量 2.51 亿美元,B2 交易量 2.059 亿美元,三者居于前列。


因 ZKJ、KOGE 代币交易磨损成本较低,且流动性充足,可以容纳数万美元以上的大额交易参与 Binance Alpha 交互,经市场交易员实测有效之后,两大代币成为了“Alpha 考生”们的最佳标的选择,其中 KOGE 单笔近 1 万美元的交易磨损可以控制在 0.5 美元左右。社区内不少用户反应,KOGE 或为 BSC 生态大户“一鱼多吃”的典范。


本来,这是一场“多方共赢”的游戏:Binance Alpha 收获用户及手续费;BSC 节点大户收获交易手续费;Binance Alpha 用户收获 Alpha 积分;KOGE、ZKJ 等项目方则收取 LP 手续费等回报收益。


但一旦利益的天平开始逐渐倾斜,那么看似均衡的局面则会瞬间瓦解,来之不易的“收获阶段”则会随之变成“收网行动”。


6 月 14 日,ZKJ、KOGE 代币迎来山雨欲来之前的“首次下探测试”——据链上分析师 AI 姨监测,一向走势稳定的 ZKJ 与 KOGE 于当晚 21: 20 至 22: 05 间出现短时双双下跌 3% 的现象,疑因地址 0x364 撤出流动性与连续抛售行为所致。


该地址于 21: 49 从 OKX 撤出 129 万枚 ZKJ 与 8667 枚 KOGE 的双边流动性,随后:


在 21: 21 与 22: 05 两个时间点累计抛售约 310 万美元的 ZKJ;在 21: 20 抛售约 55 万美元的 KOGE。


ZKJ 在 21: 21 瞬间成交量激增至 1273 万美元,引发 15 分钟内持续下跌,或因 LP 恐慌退出造成连锁反应;


22: 05 亦发生类似情形。KOGE 因与 ZKJ 绑定紧密,虽抛售金额不大,也同步受挫。
6 月 15 日,ZKJ、KOGE 迎来最终收网——三个主要地址通过“大额撤出流动性+持续抛售”的双重压力使得 ZKJ 和 KOGE 依次崩盘:


1、地址 0x1A2 于 20: 28: 21 和 20: 33: 15 分两次撤出 61130 枚 KOGE(约 376 万美元)和 273017 枚 ZKJ(约 53.2 万美元)的双边流动性


20: 28: 58 - 20: 36: 57 期间将 45470 KOGE 换仓为 ZKJ,价值 379.6 万美元,期间 KOGE 链上成交额出现明显增长;


20: 30: 57 - 20: 59: 49 期间分批抛售 157.3 万枚 ZKJ 换为 USDT 和 BNB,价值 305.2 万美元,平均卖出价格 1.94 美元。


此时 KOGE 和 ZKJ 均出现了小幅阶梯式的下跌,但并未暴跌。


2、地址 0x078 于 20: 30: 33 撤出 33651 枚 KOGE(约 207 万美元)和 709203 枚 ZKJ(约 138 万美元)的双边流动性


20: 31: 10 - 20: 58: 18 期间将 36814 KOGE 换仓为 ZKJ,价值 226 万美元;
20: 35: 15 - 20: 37: 34 期间抛售 100 万枚 ZKJ,价值 194.8 万美元,平均卖出价格 1.948 美元。


该地址的“接力式砸盘” 终于推动 KOGE 币价出现暴跌,反应到 K 线,则是几根连续红色大阴线。


3、地址 0x6aD 于 20: 41: 55 收到地址 0x 078 (即第二个砸盘地址)转移的 772759 枚 ZKJ,价值 150 万美元;20: 42: 28 - 20: 50: 16 期间清仓 77.2 万枚 ZKJ。看得出来,第三个地址主要用于打配合,在 KOGE 币价崩盘后进一步催化 ZKJ 的下跌,完成对两个代币 LP 和持币者的收割。

KOGE、ZKJ一夜收网,Binance Alpha被迫成长


ZKJ K 线图

KOGE、ZKJ一夜收网,Binance Alpha被迫成长


KOGE K 线图

至于为何收网行动从 ZKJ 开始,据链上分析师 AI 姨分析,或因 ZKJ 有 CEX 合约,幕后人在交易所开空的同时可以在链上砸盘;其次从流动性角度看,ZKJ 的流动性会更好一些,砸盘也相对需要花费更多资金;此外,ZKJ 和 KOGE 的 LP 区间都极窄,大量砸穿这个区间后没有足够资金承接卖单,就会不可避免的闪崩。而 LP 看到币价下跌也会出现恐慌性出逃,恶性循环使得币价进一步崩盘;猜测 Alpha 交易量连续几天的下滑可能是诱因,巨额 LP 的退出也是“跑得快”的游戏。


此外,据加密 KOL 大橙子提醒,ZKJ 的 BSC 链上代币价格是 ETH 链上代币的一倍,币安 ZKJ 合约为 ETH 链上代币,Binance Alpha 上的 BSC 链上 ZKJ 代币居然是单机币,即 BSC 上的初始 LP 都是团队自己的币提供的,第一波砸盘砸的是 BSC 上的,然后有人跟着砸 Bybit 的把合约砸崩了,然后 ETH 链的现货价格也崩了。

KOGE、ZKJ一夜收网,Binance Alpha被迫成长


Binance Alpha 上的 BSC 链上 ZKJ 代币价格


Coinglass 数据,过去 24 小时全网爆仓量为 2.15 亿美元,其中多单爆仓金额高达 1.57 亿美元,仅 ZKJ 爆仓量就高达 1.02 亿美元,对于借助 KOGE/ZKJ 完成流动性退出的 KOGE 大户而言,堪称一场血淋淋的流动性盛宴。

KOGE、ZKJ一夜收网,Binance Alpha被迫成长


最大单币爆仓发生于 Bybit 


综合来看,ZKJ、KOGE 闪崩,是一场早有预谋的狩猎行动,Binance Alpha 积分则是看似可口、实则危险的诱饵。

被困在 Binance Alpha 围城里的交易员们:积分如考分,空投是馈赠也是代价
经历了 ZKJ、KOGE 闪崩风波之后,有关于 Binance Alpha 积分体制的讨论沸反盈天,不少人在这次事件中收获的只有“资产-80% 以上”的苦果,因而对 Binance Alpha 机制也产生了不少怨言。而币安官方第一时间的公告发言,也说明了这次事件的严重性。

Binance Alpha 空投难抵 ZKJ 闪崩损失


正如链上分析师 AI 姨所说,币安 Alpha 截止目前所有项目的空投价值,合起来没有 ZKJ 亏掉的市值多。其市值一度从 20 亿美元闪崩至 3.77 亿市值, 1 天不到约 81% 的市值蒸发。足见加密货币行业的高波动性与残酷性。不少人投入数千乃至数万美元,资产也随之缩水超 80% 。


而此前据 X 平台用户 Mingo 铭戈统计, Binance Alpha 5 月单月收益约为 1500 美元左右,对于很多人来说,辛辛苦苦忙碌一个月,这一波直接被收网就损失数千美元甚至数万美元,堪称得不偿失。

KOGE、ZKJ一夜收网,Binance Alpha被迫成长


Binance Alpha 5 月收益一览

Binance Alpha 积分成数字游戏,需改变思路


风波发生之后,币安官方也第一时间发布了公告,其表示:“已关注到 ZKJ 和 KOGE 近期出现显著价格波动,初步调查显示主要由于大户撤除链上流动性以及市场连锁清算所致。为维护市场公平与稳定,降低集中化带来的系统性风险,币安将于 2025 年 6 月 17 日 00: 00 (UTC)起,调整 Alpha 积分计算规则,届时 Alpha 代币之间的交易量将不再计入积分计算。”


后续,Binance Alpha 或许应该改变纯粹的数字游戏风格,具体而言,可供参考的思路包括:


1. 避免交易量集中于 KOGE、ZKJ 等少数代币的机制,确保交互磨损相对平均可控;
2. 增加 Alpha 积分来源,而不仅仅局限于代币交易,如社区传播、币安广场发帖等偏向于 InfoFi 的“嘴撸”或许也可以考虑作为 Alpha 积分交互途径;
3. 设立监察机制,避免 KOGE 大户操纵“代币发行-流动性池创建-Alpha 上币-Alpha 积分获取”等一系列链条的情况再次发生,当然,这一点高度理想化、难度巨大。


小结:流动性盛宴最终还是由散户买单


事情最后,受伤最深的还是市场散户,毕竟,币安作为平台还是收获了交易手续费等回报,ZKJ、KOGE 大户则完成了流动性收割,而市场散户们则成为了一茬又一茬被收割的“韭菜”。
但对于镰刀们来说,这样竭泽而渔的收割一旦速度过快、频率过高,又有谁会来持续接盘呢?

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