Прогноз цены BTC на 5 июня: смена структуры на бычью

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2023-10-04Last updated on 2025-06-04

Биткоин перешёл в бычью фазу после пробоя зоны медвежьего диапазона и переворота ордер-блока (OB) в bullish breaker на старшем таймфрейме. Ключевым уровнем поддержки выступает зона $104 800, где отмечается наложение breaker и FVG — здесь ожидается реакция, способная определить дальнейший вектор движения.

Ключевые уровни

Поддержка:

  • $104 813 – $104 531 — диапазон локальной поддержки, который также выступает потенциальным триггером для лонга при появлении сильного SFP (swing failure pattern).
  • $104 125 — минимальная поддержка, потеря которой приведёт к возобновлению нисходящего сценария.

Сопротивление

  • $106 312 — ключевой уровень MSB (market structure break) на H4. Пробой этого уровня стал сигналом о смене структуры на бычью.

Сценарии движения

Ожидается снятие ликвидности и формирование SFP на минимуме диапазона — это потенциальный триггер для формирования длинной позиции, если подтверждается на старших ТФ.

Переворот цены выше breaker + FVG даст дополнительное подтверждение бычьего сценария.

Пробой и закрепление ниже $104 125 отменяет бычий сценарий и возвращает рынок в фазу снижения.

Вывод

Рынок BTCUSDT перешёл в стадию бычьей структуры, но окончательное подтверждение сценария даст только реакция на ключевых уровнях в зоне $104 800. Формирование паттерна разворота (SFP) усилит сигнал к росту. Потеря $104 125 — возврат к нисходящему тренду.

Новостной фон

03.06.2025 — Сбербанк запускает облигации, привязанные к курсу биткоина

Сбербанк представил структурные облигации, доход по которым зависит от курса биткоина и пары USD/RUB. Инструмент доступен квалифицированным инвесторам через OTC, а с 4 июня стартуют фьючерсы на BTC в приложении SberInvestments.

28.05.2025 — Trump Media инвестирует $2,5 млрд в биткоин

Trump Media and Technology Group привлекла $2,5 млрд от институциональных инвесторов и направит средства на покупку BTC. Биткоин станет официальным казначейским активом компании, с хранением через Crypto.com и Anchorage Digital.

29.05.2025 — Норвежская K33 добавила биткоин в казначейство

Брокерская компания K33 из Осло приобрела BTC на сумму $6,2 млн, сделав его стратегической частью своего баланса. Это отражает растущий тренд среди европейских компаний по интеграции биткоина в финансовые резервы.

22.05.2025 — Биткоин обогнал Google по капитализации

Рыночная капитализация BTC достигла $2,16 трлн, превысив показатели Alphabet (Google) и приблизившись к Amazon. Инвесторы рассматривают биткоин как защиту от инфляции и нестабильности финансовых рынков.

16.05.2025 — Биткоин-ETF от BlackRock обошел крупнейший фонд по золоту

Объём активов в биткоин-ETF от BlackRock превысил $64,7 млрд, обогнав крупнейший золотой фонд. Институциональные инвесторы усиливают интерес к цифровым активам как альтернативе традиционным защитным инструментам.

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What is $BITCOIN

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What is $BITCOIN

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