多军撤退VS空军狂欢:10万美元已成BTC“马奇诺防线”?

Odaily星球日报Published on 2025-05-19Last updated on 2025-05-19

Abstract

巨鲸大户多空激战,从地址仓位看市场牛熊转换。

原创|Odaily星球日报(@OdailyChina

作者|Wenser(@wenser 2010 

多军撤退VS空军狂欢:10万美元已成BTC“马奇诺防线”?

北京时间今天凌晨,BTC 短时冲高至 107000 美元后回调,ETH 一度跌下 2400 美元,主流币也普遍开启回调模式。关于后市走向,巨鲸大户纷纷开始“用仓位说话”。有人豪掷千万美元开启自己的做空之旅,也有人多头仓位浮盈已接近 3000 万美元。Odaily星球日报将于本文对近期巨鲸大户相关仓位予以梳理总结,供读者参考。

巨鲸 Jams Wynn:多头浮盈一度近 3000 万美元,目前回撤至 1800 万美元左右

5 月 18 日,据链上分析师 @EmberCN 监测,巨鲸 @JamesWynnReal 在 Hyperliquid 上使用 40 倍杠杆做多 3788.7 枚 BTC,仓位价值 3.91 亿美元,开仓价 103083 美元,爆仓价 96474 美元。随着 BTC 短时突破 105000 美元,James Wynn 的多头仓位浮盈已超 2770 万美元,其中 BTC 40x 多单浮盈 838 万美元,kPEPE 40x 多单浮盈 2026 万美元。

最新数据显示,巨鲸 @JamesWynnReal  BTC 多单浮盈回撤至 112 万美元;kPEPE 多单浮盈回撤至 1700 万美元左右;此外,其 XRP 多单浮亏 242 万美元左右。链上数据:https://d1x7dwosqaosdj.cloudfront.net/images/2025-05/08064ecd62b94a4383c34b6702bdf534.jpg

多军撤退VS空军狂欢:10万美元已成BTC“马奇诺防线”?

多头代表

ETH 做空派: 25 倍做空,仓位价值一度超 1 亿美元

昨日,沉寂四年的地址 0xcddf 以 25 倍杠杆做空 41851 枚 ETH,仓位价值 1.03 亿美元,开仓价 2514 美元,爆仓价 2525 美元;随后,因 ETH 上涨,其最终亏损 246 万平仓;在平完 ETH 空后,其转头用剩余资金追多 BTC:以 106, 580 美元的价格 40 倍开多 166 枚 BTC,仓位价值 1760 万美元,最终仅耗时 45 分钟就亏掉  17.5 万美元。但其后来又再度 25 倍开空 ETH,浮盈后再度滚仓,目前仓位已逐步增加至 4136 枚 ETH。最新数据显示,该地址 25 倍杠杆做空仓位已降至 980 万美元左右,目前浮盈约 18 万美元。

链上数据:https://d1x7dwosqaosdj.cloudfront.net/images/2025-05/0a04be70377b4bf18cb0afc271d67ff4.jpg

多军撤退VS空军狂欢:10万美元已成BTC“马奇诺防线”?

两头挨打代表

ETH 做空派: 20 倍做空,仓位一度达 7000 万美元

地址 0x2258此前以 20 倍杠杆做空 28248 枚 ETH,仓位价值 7000 万美元,开仓价 2561 美元,爆仓价 2694 美元。7 小时前,其将全部空头仓位平仓,目前该地址已清仓。

链上信息:https://d1x7dwosqaosdj.cloudfront.net/images/2025-05/8f217e9bc31648bab286533b2cafdf12.jpg

多军撤退VS空军狂欢:10万美元已成BTC“马奇诺防线”?

平仓完毕

SOL 做空派: 20 倍做空,持仓量超 20000 枚 SOL

5 月 16 日,据 OnChain Lens 监测,某鲸鱼向 Hyperliquid 存入 170 万枚 USDC,以 20 倍杠杆开设 SOL 空头头寸。最新数据显示,该地址目前持仓量约为 20336 枚 SOL,累计浮盈约 19.74 万美元。

链上信息:https://d1x7dwosqaosdj.cloudfront.net/images/2025-05/f046bdf4831f44fb9ddea70ab1628e91.jpg

多军撤退VS空军狂欢:10万美元已成BTC“马奇诺防线”?

做空还在继续

主流币做空派:此前 Hyperliquid 盈利超 1500 万美元,做空 5 个代币

据 Lookonchain 监测,一位在 Hyperliquid 平台盈利超过 1500 万美元巨鲸开始大举做空 ETH、BTC、AVAX、SOL 和 USUAL。该交易员同时在 2460-2480 美元区间设置了 100 个限价订单,准备持续做空 ETH。

最新数据显示,该地址所有空单均已盈利,其中,ETH 20 倍空单持仓量为 3034 枚 ETH,浮盈约 18.2 万美元;BTC 20 倍空单持仓量为 38 枚 BTC,浮盈约 8.4 万美元;AVAX 20 倍空单持仓量约为 5 万枚 AVAX,浮盈约 3.8 万美元;SOL 20 倍空单持仓量约为 1935 枚 SOL,浮盈约 9000 美元;USUAL 5 倍空单持仓量约为 18.5 万枚 USUAL,浮盈约 2000 美元。

链上信息:https://d1x7dwosqaosdj.cloudfront.net/images/2025-05/389849261fe047388652784c84c1387f.jpg

多军撤退VS空军狂欢:10万美元已成BTC“马奇诺防线”?

20 倍做空 ETH、BTC、AVAX、SOL, 5 倍做空 USUAL

HYPE 做空派: 5 倍做空,持仓量超 187 万枚 HYPE

此前,据链上分析师余烬监测,某鲸鱼在 Hyperliquid 上开仓 5 倍做空 187.5 万枚 HYPE;17 日,其浮亏金额高达 1206 万美元,随后,其再次从币安提取 300 万枚 USDC 作为保证金,清算价格为 31.6 美元。最新数据显示,该地址目前已浮亏约 955 万美元。

链上信息:https://d1x7dwosqaosdj.cloudfront.net/images/2025-05/9e00a0ea0da147de9a03acffc2741762.jpg

多军撤退VS空军狂欢:10万美元已成BTC“马奇诺防线”?

坚定空头

除了以上合约多空的巨鲸以外,也有巨鲸在此前的 ETH 超跌之中抄底现货,最终实现了数百万的利润。

ETH 抄底巨鲸:抄底买入 6700 余枚 ETH,获利超 426 万美元

据链上分析师余烬监测,一名鲸鱼在过去 4 小时内将 6, 384.5 枚 ETH 转入币安,获得 1, 554.9 万 USDT,卖出均价约为 2, 435 美元。该鲸鱼约一个月前从币安提出 6, 710 枚 ETH,当时价格为 1, 768 美元。粗略估算,其在本轮操作中共盈利超 426 万美元。

链上信息:https://d1x7dwosqaosdj.cloudfront.net/images/2025-05/11fc761823f347d1a77ad3415245b6cb.jpg

多军撤退VS空军狂欢:10万美元已成BTC“马奇诺防线”?

已获利了结

小结:空军暂时领先,但多军永不言败

经历了短暂的周线收高之后,BTC、ETH 均迎来了不同程度的回调,目前空军占据领先优势地位。此外,此前抄底 BTC、ETH 的巨鲸们也纷纷选择了获利了结。但包括 James Wynn、Arthur Hayes 在内的行业人士及分析师普遍认为,BTC 价格很难跌至 10 万以下,多军仍然满怀期待。短期而言,或许空军占据上风,但多军永不言败。

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517 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

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