Почему Ethereum (ETH) может упасть до $1 000 в апреле

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2024-10-09Last updated on 2025-04-09

Ethereum (ETH) за последние сутки потерял почти 6%, потери за неделю превысили 20% Аналитики все чаще задаются вопросом, может ли ETH упасть до $1 000 в апреле

Курс ETH быстро приближается к критическим уровням, на которых возможных масштабные ликвидации. Общее состояние тревожности на рынке и медвежьи технические индикаторы усиливают опасения. Разбираемся, чего ждать от Ethereum в ближайшее время.

ETH грозят массовые ликвидации

Ethereum с трудом удерживает ключевые уровни поддержки на фоне общего падения крипторынка. Недавно аналитики Standard Chartered предположили, что XRP может обогнать ETH по капитализации к 2028 году.

Ситуация действительно рискованная: ETH уже упал минимумов марта 2023 года, и если цена опустится ниже $1 200, на рынке начнется каскад ликвидаций стоимостью около $342 млн. Такие ликвидации происходят, когда трейдеры, торгующие с кредитным плечом, не могут поддерживать необходимое обеспечение из-за падения цены.

Ликвидации Ethereum. Источник: DeFiLlama.

Питер Шифф считает, что Ethereum может упасть ниже $1 000 — до уровней января 2021 года — уже в ближайшее время. Массовое закрытие позиций только усилит падение, создавая дополнительное давление на рынок.

TVL для Ethereum упал на 43% с декабря

Объем заблокированных средств (TVL) в Ethereum снизился на 43% — с рекордных $86,6 млрд в декабре до $49,34 млрд сейчас. Такого низкого уровня не было с середины 2022 года.

TVL показывает, сколько денег вложено в децентрализованные финансовые протоколы (DeFi) сети. Этот показатель помогает оценить состояние экосистемы: его рост говорит о повышении спроса на DeFi-сервисы, падение — о снижении активности.

Общая стоимость заблокированных активов (TVL) в Ethereum. Источник: DeFiLlama.

Резкое снижение TVL указывает на отток капитала из протоколов Ethereum и может негативно повлиять на цену ETH.

Прогноз цены Ethereum

Ethereum торгуется ниже $2 000 с 26 марта, и технические индикаторы говорят о том, что падение продолжится. Краткосрочные скользящие средние находятся ниже долгосрочных — это классический сигнал медвежьего тренда.

Если давление продавцов сохранится, ETH может упасть к поддержке $1 400. Если этот уровень не удержит цену, в апреле токен рискует опуститься до психологически важной отметки $1 000.

Анализ цены ETH. Источник: TradingView.

Для разворота вверх Ethereum нужно сначала преодолеть сопротивление $1 749. После этого путь будет открыт к $1 954, а затем, возможно, и к $2 104.

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