比特币回升至 97,000 美元以上,还能再跌吗?

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-02-11Last updated on 2025-02-11

Abstract

2 月 10 日,大约 14,000 个比特币,这些比特币已经沉寂了七到十年,突然被转移。

比特币 [BTC]的价格上周持续下跌,一度跌至 94,000 美元,此后其势头发生了显著转变。

2月10日凌晨,BTC开始回升,价格突破97000美元,较前一天上涨2.3%。

虽然这种上升趋势是一种积极的发展,但对底层指标的更深入分析可以揭示加密货币未来的潜在走向。

CryptoQuant 最近的分析强调了比特币网络的重大变动。2 月 10 日,大约 14,000 个比特币,这些比特币已经沉寂了七到十年,突然被转移。

重要的是,这些货币没有被发送到交易所,这表明它们不是为了立即清算。

报道此事的 CryptoQuant 分析师特别写道:

“值得注意的是,这些货币的平均收购价格相当低,这可能会影响持有者未来关于潜在销售的决定。”

比特币当前 MVRV 比率及其影响

更重要的是,MVRV 比率还为比特币的市场健康状况提供了宝贵的见解。

MVRV(市场价值与实际价值)比率衡量比特币的市值与其实际价值(即所有货币在区块链上最后一次变动的价格的总价值)的比率。

该比率可作为资产在当前价格水平上是否被高估或低估的指标。

CryptoQuant 的最新数据也显示,比特币的 MVRV 比率呈下降趋势,与其近期的价格下跌一致。

1 月 21 日,MVRV 比率为 2.52。然而,随着 BTC 市场价格的下跌,截至 2 月 9 日,该比率已降至 2.23。

从历史上看,当 MVRV 比率下降时,它预示着长期投资者的潜在切入点。然而,如果该比率继续下降,则可能表明市场疲软或投资者持谨慎态度。

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