Эксперт говорит, что Ethereum перед взрывом до $10 000, ссылаясь на корреляцию с S&P 500

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2024-05-05Last updated on 2024-11-05

Наблюдатели за рынком пристально следят за Ethereum (ETH), а аналитик Али Мартинес отмечает возможность роста до $10 000.

С марта Ethereum демонстрирует нисходящую тенденцию, что порождает предположения о его способности восстановиться и достичь существенного прироста на следующем бычьем рынке. Аналитик высказался в пользу потенциала роста Ethereum, особенно при сравнении с рыночными тенденциями S&P 500.

Корреляция Ethereum с S&P 500

Аналитик рынка Али Мартинес выделил связь Ethereum с S&P 500 (SPX) как интересный момент. Мартинес поделился сравнительными графиками, показывающими Ethereum (ETH/USD) рядом с индексом S&P 500. Оба актива достигли дна в конце 2022 года и демонстрировали восходящую траекторию в течение 2023 года.

Тенденция иллюстрировала восходящий треугольник, который часто считается бычьим сигналом. S&P 500 заметно вырвался из этой модели, достигнув пика около $5900 перед незначительной коррекцией примерно до $5728 во время анализа Мартинеса.

Это сходство тренда между Ethereum и S&P 500 подогрело дискуссии о том, может ли Ethereum пойти по аналогичному пути.

Мартинес предположил, что текущий нисходящий тренд Ethereum может стать последним падением перед потенциальным ралли до $10 000. В частности, Ethereum необходимо будет подняться примерно на 312,36% от текущей цены в $2425, чтобы достичь $10 000.

Показатели цепочки отражают нерешительность

Данные цепочки от IntoTheBlock предоставили более глубокое представление о состоянии рынка Ethereum. По последним данным за год (YTD) 96 660 адресов, представляющих 22,93% активных кошельков, в настоящее время являются прибыльными или «при деньгах».

Это говорит о том, что значительная часть держателей видит прибыль, что указывает на базовую поддержку актива. Однако 248 920 адресов, или 60,83% от общего числа активных адресов, классифицируются как «при деньгах», удерживая ETH примерно на уровне безубыточности.

Эта группа отражает нерешительность рынка с потенциалом для дальнейших инвестиций или давления продаж в зависимости от движения цены.

Между тем, 64 410 адресов (16,24%) находятся «вне денег», удерживая ETH в убытке. Этот сегмент может добавить давление продаж, если цена продолжит слабеть.

Контрастные взгляды на перспективы Ethereum

Опытный трейдер Питер Брандт занял иную позицию относительно движения цены Ethereum. 1 ноября Брандт повторил свой медвежий прогноз, заявив, что графики Ethereum не показывают признаков изменения импульса.

Анализ Брандта указал на медвежий флаг, который формировался с августа. Он подчеркнул, что нарушение этого паттерна может привести Ethereum к более низкой цели.

Брандт подчеркнул вероятность обвала Ethereum до $1551. Он указал, что на графике Ethereum доминируют медвежьи сигналы, что предполагает продолжение нисходящего движения, если только не появятся новые модели.

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