Трейдер-легенда рассказал, почему BTC рискует упасть ниже

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2024-06-03Last updated on 2024-10-03

Известный в криптосообществе трейдер Питер Брандт, которому неоднократно удавалось верно прогнозировать движения крипторынка, увидел на графике биткоина паттерн «три слепых мышки». Его появление на графике криптовалюты может указывать на перспективы дальнейшего падения курса

Прогноз Питера Брандта идет вразрез с ожиданиями участников крипторынка. Многие надеялись на старт буллрана в октябре 2024 года.

О том, что на графике биткоина просматривается паттерн «три слепых мышки» легендарный трейдер рассказал своим подписчикам в соцсети X (бывший «Твиттер»).

Твит Питера Брандта

С точки зрения технического анализа такой паттерн обычно рассматривают, как модель «продолжения» тренда. То есть в каком бы направлении ни двигались «слепые мыши», в таком и продолжит движение курс актива. В случае с биткоином паттерн указывает на вероятность дальнейшего снижения.

Предположения о том, что BTC продолжит погружение, подкрепляет его предыдущий пост. Второго октября трейдер обратил внимание на то, что криптовалюта продолжает двигаться в канале, в котором у нее снижаются локальные максимумы. Локальные минимумы монета — напротив регулярно обновляет. Такое поведение BTC может говорить о том, что криптовалюте не удается вырваться из нисходящего канала, а значит есть вероятность дальнейшего снижения.

Ранее Питеру Брандту уже удавалось верно спрогнозировать поведение биткоина при помощи «трех слепых мышек». Например, он увидел на графике BTC такой паттерн 16 декабря 2022 года. На фоне публикации поста биткоин действительно продолжил снижение. BTC вышел в рост только в январе 2023 года.

Читайте также: Ветеран крипторынка Питер Брандт дал 8 советов начинающим трейдерам

Напомним, биткоин вышел в падение в начале октября на фоне обострения на геополитической арене. Несмотря на плохой старт многие участники криптосообщества по-прежнему видят перспективы для роста BTC в октябре. Дело в том, что четвертый квартал года по статистике может быть лучшим.

Также оптимисты обращают внимание на приближение выборов президента США, на которых может победить сторонник криптовалют Дональд Трамп. А еще рост крипторынка в конце года может поддержать решение ФРС перейти к снижению ключевой процентной ставки. Изменения повышают привлекательность таких высокорискованных активов как крипта.

Ранее редакция BeInCrypto собрала в одном обзоре прогноз биткоина на октябрь от опытных аналитиков.

Trending Cryptos

Related Reads

A Decade of Change: The Demise of Crypto Startups

"The Decade-Long Transformation: The Demise of Crypto Startups" The article traces the dramatic evolution of the cryptocurrency industry from its anarchic beginnings to its current highly regulated and institutionalized state. In the early days (circa 2017), launching a crypto startup was remarkably simple: a whitepaper, a GitHub repository, and a Telegram group could attract thousands of retail investors via an Initial Coin Offering (ICO). Founders operated anonymously with near-zero regulatory and financial barriers, enabling rapid, global innovation but also widespread fraud. By 2026, the landscape is fundamentally different. To operate in major markets like the US, EU, and Asia, crypto businesses must now navigate a complex web of regulations akin to traditional finance. Compliance costs are prohibitive: estimates for a US multi-state operation range from $750,000 to $1.2 million in the first three years, with annual costs exceeding $2 million thereafter. Regulations like MiCA in the EU and New York's BitLicense have created high capital and operational hurdles that act as barriers to entry. Simultaneously, venture capital investment has shifted dramatically. Following the collapses of Terra and FTX, funding has concentrated in later-stage, established companies, creating a "barbell market." Early-stage and seed funding has shrunk significantly, while mega-funds like Andreessen Horowitz's $15 billion pool dominate. Most capital now flows to trading platforms, lending infrastructure, and B2B services. This environment favors mergers and acquisitions as the primary path for growth. Companies like Coinbase and Ripple are acquiring firms like Deribit and Hidden Road not for their technology, but for their licenses, banking relationships, and institutional trust—assets far more valuable than code. Distribution channels, compliance, and brand reputation have become the new moats, overshadowing pure technical innovation. The industry's maturation brings benefits: reduced scams, increased institutional participation, and clearer regulatory frameworks. However, it comes at a cost. The low-barrier, experimental ethos that defined crypto's first decade is fading. Entrepreneurs without substantial capital, pre-existing licenses, or institutional connections face immense challenges. Funding for exploratory fields like decentralized social media or novel governance models is drying up. Ultimately, the crypto industry is replicating the consolidation pattern seen in banking and tech after the 2008 financial crisis. While this brings stability and legitimacy, it raises a critical question: in this new, resource-intensive reality, is there still room for the disruptive, from-scratch innovation that gave birth to the sector?

Foresight News38m ago

A Decade of Change: The Demise of Crypto Startups

Foresight News38m ago

Trading

Spot

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

627 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片