Рост или падение: куда двинется биткоин (BTC)

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2021-03-11Last updated on 2024-09-11

Вот уже долгое время биткоин движется в боковике. Анализ ончейн-метрик главной криптовалюты выводит на повестку дня вопрос о том, куда же двинется BTC после затишья: к $64 500 или к $49 500

Биткоин на развилке

Ончейн-метрика NUPL, которая отслеживает общее настроение инвесторов и уровень их прибыли/убытков, сейчас показывает значения 0,45. Это означает, что при продаже монет по текущим ценам инвесторы в среднем заработают 44% прибыли относительно цены их последней покупки.

Тем не менее, по данным CryptoQuant, текущее значение метрики также указывает на то, что держатели биткоина сомневаются. Они не уверены, стоит ли продавать активы именно сейчас.

Читайте также: В США вышли данные по инфляции: как реагирует биткоин (BTC)

Значения NUPL для биткоина. Источник: CryptoQuant

Тем временем многие долгосрочные держатели биткоина продолжают ходлить криптовалюту. Этот тезис подтверждает показатель BCD — его значения свидетельствуют о том, что сейчас долгосрочные держатели не перемещают свои монеты.

На данный момент показатель равен 0,28, что говорит о вере рынка в стабильность биткоина.

Читайте также: Сальвадор спустя 3 года после легализации биткоина

Показания BCD для биткоина. Источник: CryptoQuant

В целом же настроения комьюнити в отношении BTC на данный момент можно охарактеризовать как умеренно позитивное. Инвесторы хоть и опасаются падения цен, но желание не упустить возможные выгоды удерживает их от продаж.

О том, почему не растет биткоин (BTC), редакция BIC ранее уже рассказывала в специальном обзоре. Все подробности читайте по этой ссылке.

Прогноз BTC: к $60 000 или до $49 000?

На момент написания этого анализа BTC торгуется по $57 тыс., за последние сутки не показав никакой ярко выраженной динамики.

Основатель и генеральный директор Quantum Economics Мати Гринспан придерживается пессимистичной точки зрения. По его мнению, говорить о новых максимумах для биткоина пока рано.

«Цена BTC уже более полугода не меняется и неясно, когда она начнет расти. Такая стабильность может помочь в признании BTC, так как предсказуемость цен важна для его роста и надежности», — отметил он в комментарии для BeInCrypto.

При благоприятных макроэкономических условиях спрос на биткоин может увеличиться. Тогда его цена получит шанс достичь уровня поддержки на $64 520. В случае успешного преодоления этого рубежа BTC сможет устремиться к $68 599.

Читайте также: Питер Брандт и Bernstein — биткоин (BTC) может опуститься ниже $40 000

Ежедневный анализ Bitcoin. Источник: TradingView

Тем не менее, если будут преобладать медвежьи макроэкономические тенденции, цена криптовалюты рискует опуститься до $49 516 — минимума, который последний раз был зафиксирован пятого августа.

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