何时反转?盘点山寨币们即将面临的 10 大催化剂事件

深潮Published on 2024-09-03Last updated on 2024-09-03

看跌因素正在消退。

作者:DeFi Warhol

编译:深潮TechFlow

我已经在加密货币领域工作了7年,现在我们正处于我见过的最乐观的市场环境之一。以下是未来几个月可能导致山寨币价格飙升的10个因素:

1.FTX 160亿美元的赔偿

最近,FTX 正在分发总计160亿美元的资金,其中120亿美元为现金。预计许多获得这些资金的人会重新投资市场,从而引发新一轮的买入潮。

2.全球流动性指数

加密货币市场与全球流动性之间的相关性非常明显。每当这个指数达到当前水平时,市场通常会随之迎来一波强劲的反弹。

3.以太坊 ETF

虽然目前以太坊 ETF 的发展较为缓慢,但我坚信它们很快会迎头赶上。这只是时间问题。

4. BlackRock 的 BUILD 基金

除了 ETF 之外,作为全球最大资产管理公司的 BlackRock 对区块链技术持有非常乐观的态度。BUILD 基金再次证明了这一点,这仅仅是一个开始。

5. 高盛拥抱代币化

你以为只有 BlackRock 在行动吗?再想想。各大机构已经加入了这个行列。

6. 美国大选

特朗普的总统任期对加密货币来说是一个积极因素,因为他的政府支持这一行业。目前,他在竞选中稍微领先,所以值得关注。

7. 降息

目前市场预期今年可能会有三次降息,9月份25个基点的降息概率高达90%。

8. 普通投资者仍在观望

关于“加密货币”和“比特币”的谷歌搜索量仍然处于熊市水平。此外,Coinbase 应用的排名仅为第416位。

9. 美元指数

DXY 在过去几个月中持续下跌,目前处于关键支撑位。如果这一支撑位被突破,可能会对加密货币产生极大的利好影响。

10. 看跌因素正在消退

市场抛售的主要原因,包括 MtGox 事件、德国抛售比特币、Jump Trading、经济衰退担忧和战争等,似乎正在逐渐平息,这些因素正在减弱。

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