错过再等四年,btc大周期进度现在走到哪儿了?

币界网Published on 2024-08-22Last updated on 2024-08-22

币界网报道:

大牛周期进展,根据标准减半周期进度条看目前进度约为42.7%

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牛市的六个阶段第一个阶段-不相信会涨第二个阶段-相信会补跌第三个阶段-涨到不相信第四个阶段-涨到肯相信第五个阶段-不涨不相信第六个阶段-不相信不涨

从btc牛市特征和目前市场看,我们现在处于第二阶段。

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前三次减半数据

通过复盘前三轮的历史曲线我们不难发现三个特点:1、每一轮的上涨倍数在降低,以上一轮牛市顶点计算

2013年牛市大约100倍,

2017年19倍,而2021年仅仅3.5倍。2、每一轮牛市的底对上一轮牛顶是越来越低

2015年的底是上一轮牛顶的10倍,

2018年底是上一轮顶的3倍,

而2022年这一次,15500底相对上一轮牛顶19496已相差无几了。3、熊市持续时间似乎越来越短了

第一轮2015年8月份见底,历经两年8个月

第二轮2018年12月份见底,历经1整年

第三轮2022年12月份见底,即历经11个月。

4、比特币几乎是以美股的形态永恒牛市的姿态在上涨,而且周期上看牛长熊短

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这与我大A股截然不同,根据第3条的统计,熊市持续时间不断的缩短。

排除312和519的黑天鹅事件,比特币总是在减产前500天触底开启慢牛,减产后500天见顶。

2011-2013年、2015-2017年、2019-2021年,均在减产的第三年走熊

即熊年为2014年、2018年、2022年。

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2016年

➜ 在减半后突破之前高用了170天

2020年

➜ 在减半后突破之前高用了197天

2024年

➜ 本次减半时间已过120天继续盘整在。。。

如果刻舟求剑历史本轮是相对重复的话,比特币大突破之前高还需要约60天左右。

比特币经历三起三落,却从未一蹶不振,本轮大周期还有大半时间。

主升浪还未正式开启,准备好子弹,列车正在进站。。

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What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

520 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

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