比特币需求在价格暴跌中跌至负值

币界网Published on 2024-08-21Last updated on 2024-08-21

币界网报道:

链上分析平台Cryptoquant最近的一份研究报告指出,对比特币(BTC)的需求已降至负值。该平台还强调了长期持有者的坚定信念,这对旗舰加密货币无疑是一个积极的因素。

比特币需求下降

Cryptoquant表示,自4月以来,对旗舰加密货币的需求有所下降,自本月初以来已降至负值。该报告进一步显示,BTC的表观需求已从4月份的30天增长49.6万BTC下降到本月的负增长2.5万BTC。

来源:CryptoQuant

Cryptoquant解释说,表观需求是指每日比特币区块补贴总额与一年或更长时间内BTC不可变动供应量的每日变化之间的差异。这一关键指标表明BTC的需求增长疲软。对比特币的需求疲软也很明显,大型比特币投资者的总持有量从3月份的每月6%放缓到1%。

因此,对旗舰加密货币的需求下降影响了其价格,BTC从3月份的历史高点(ATH)73000美元跌至8月初的低点49000美元。由于需求仍然很低,加密货币的价格也继续在5万美元左右。

Cryptoquant表示,BTC需求的放缓可能是由于美国现货比特币ETF。这些基金的平均每日购买量从3月份的12500 BTC下降到上周的1300 BTC。美国这种缓慢的现货需求也与Coinbase上BTC的较低溢价相吻合。在这些基金于1月推出后,Coinbase的比特币溢价已升至0.25%。

来源:CryptoQuant

Cryptoquant表示,比特币需求增长的激增,主要是通过现货比特币ETF,对于比特币价格的复苏以及在这个市场周期中达到新高的可能性至关重要。

长期持有者对比特币持看涨态度

尽管对比特币的需求下降,但长期持有者仍然看涨,并利用较低的价格将更多的比特币添加到他们的头寸中。据Cryptoquant称,这些BTC持有者继续以“前所未有的水平”积累BTC,其持有量以创纪录的月增长率39.1万BTC增长。

有趣的是,这些长期持有者的需求增长速度比今年第一季度快,当时BTC在ATH附近交易,这进一步突显了这类投资者是如何认真对待“买入下跌”的。NewsBTC最近报道称,尽管价格下跌,但这些长期持有者持有的75%的BTC供应在六个多月内没有转移。

根据CoinMarketCap的数据,在撰写本文时,比特币的交易价格约为59400美元,在过去24小时内下跌了2%以上。

BTC价格超过59000美元|来源:Tradingview.com上的BTCUSD

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517 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

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