历史上最短的牛市还是比特币的大反弹?分析师讨论BTC的现状

币界网Published on 2024-08-19Last updated on 2024-08-19

币界网报道:

比特币的每周蜡烛收于牛市支撑带以下,这是连续第四周出现这种情况。

正如分析师Benjamin Cowen在8月19日X的一篇文章中所描述的那样,58748美元的收盘价使该资产低于关键移动平均线。

此外,最近三周的蜡烛已经被压缩,其中两支呈陀螺形,这表明波动性爆发可能很快就会到来。

分析师怎么说

HODL15Capital在8月19日报道称,“比特币空头在多个交易所变得非常激进”,24小时空头交易量激增119%。

然而,根据CoinGlass的数据,加密货币清算似乎已经恢复到更稳定的水平,该公司报告称,7852名交易员清算,清算总额为7634万美元。

与此同时,Web3研究员Stacy Muur观察到比特币的社交和搜索情绪,并指出我们现在处于2023年11月的水平。

然而,根据hodl-Wave图表,Glassnode的数据表明,长期hodl情绪正在增强,过去六个月,近四分之三的BTC供应仍处于休眠状态。

分析师Rekt Capital研究了之前的周期,指出比特币现在距离减半约125天。

他补充说,比特币在减半约160天后往往会进入周期的抛物线阶段。

“如果历史重演,比特币距离突破可能只有一个多月的时间。那是9月下旬。”

牛市峰值前一年的波动很常见,在之前的所有周期都会发生,因此当前的市场模式并不是什么新鲜事。

BTC下一步在哪里?

美国总统大选必然会对市场产生影响,特别是如果唐纳德·特朗普获胜,但这要到11月才能实现。

美联储9月份降息几乎是不可避免的,市场已经将其考虑在内。

在上周的一份报告中,FxPro高级市场分析师Alex Kupcsikevich表示,一个重要的基本因素仍然是美国政府钱包中的BTC销售。

他补充道:“必须考虑心理影响,导致买家等待抛售结束或猜测监管收紧的风险。”。

在撰写本文时,BTC当天下跌1.7%,至58454美元,此前周日未能突破60100美元的阻力位。

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363 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

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