BONK: после падения на 23% снижение может продолжиться

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2021-06-19Last updated on 2024-08-19

Цена BONK стремится вырваться из бычьего паттерна, в котором она сейчас находится, но этого может не произойти

Рассказываем, почему пессимизм инвесторов перечеривает технический потенциал BONK для разворота, так как они ожидают снижения цены популярного мемкоина.

Инвесторы выбирают темную сторону

BONK быстро слабеет, это подтверждает индекс направленного движения (Average Directional Index, ADX). Индикатор превысил критический порог 25,0. Повышение значения ADX указывает на то, что нисходящий тренд становится более выраженным. Цена, скорее всего, продолжит падать, что усилит пессимизм и объем продаж.

ADX. Источник: TradingView

Об этом же говорит и отрицательное значение ставки финансирования. Это механизм, который обеспечивает баланс между длинными и короткими позициями на рынке бессрочных фьючерсных контрактов. Положительные значения указывают на доминирование длинных контрактов и говорят о том, что цена контракта превышает спотовую цену. Это значит, что больше трейдеров покупают монету в надежде продать по более высокой цене. Между тем отрицательная ставка финансирования означает, что больше трейдеров покупают актив в ожидании падения цены, а не ее роста.

Сочетание усиливающегося нисходящего тренда и отрицательной ставки финансирования поддерживает растущий медвежий настрой инвесторов. Если эти факторы сохранятся, давление на монету может увеличиться. Это затруднит восстановление актива в краткосрочной перспективе.

Что такое мемкоины и стоит ли в них инвестировать: читайте в специальном материале BeInCrypto

Ставка финансирования BONK. Источник: Coinglass

Прогноз BONK: пока без прорыва

BONK, скорее всего, останется в нисходящей траектории, так как общие сигналы рынка не поддерживают восстановление. Мемкоин упал на 23% за последние десять дней и может утратить важную поддержку $0,00001732.

Это может отправить цену к еще одной критической поддержке на $0,00001375. Потеря и этого уровня создаст сильное медвежье давление и приведет к дальнейшему снижению.

Анализ цены BONK. Источник: TradingView

Впрочем, если поддержка $0,00001732 устоит, BONK может отскочить. Это даст монете шанс подтвердить бычий паттерн в форме нисходящего клина. Для этого ей потребуется преодолеть сопротивление на уровне $0,00002748.

До такого прорыва еще далеко, но медвежий сценарий может быть отменен, даже если актив пробьет отметку $0,00002153.

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