评估18.6亿美元比特币的影响,以太坊期权到期

币界网Published on 2024-08-17Last updated on 2024-08-17

币界网报道:
    在8月16日期权到期之前,价格波动性飙升价格趋势可能会从这里稳定下来,但空头仍占上风

8月16日星期五,比特币[BTC]和以太坊[ETH]期权到期的数据很有启发性。8月14日星期三,BTC价格在短短一天内从61.8万美元跌至57.9万美元。

由于期权到期,可以看到市场价格趋势有所稳定。即便如此,技术指标和流动性图表显示,可能会向南移动。

期权到期数据的市场前景

Deribit(通过Coingape)的数据显示,比特币和以太坊的市场前景都倾向于看跌。对于BTC,在周五到期之前,未平仓合约的名义价值为14.14亿美元。

0.83的看跌/看涨比率表明,市场情绪略有看涨,但倾向于平衡的市场情绪。最大痛点为59.5万美元,突显出大多数期权到期后将一文不值。

周四跌破58.5万美元的价格没有逆转。

以太坊期权到期金额为4.767亿美元,与BTC类似的看跌/看涨比率意味着市场只略微看涨。ETH仍低于2610美元,最大痛点为2650美元。

周五,在大规模期权到期后,BTC和ETH分别上涨了0.8%和0.4%,这导致了周四晚些时候的波动和价格小幅下跌。

加密货币市场的下一步是什么?

下一个预期是波动性将有所缓解,但两位领导人的趋势仍然看跌。比特币具有看跌的市场结构,OBV在6小时图表上显示出持续的抛售压力。

缺乏上升势头符合这种结构,并不意味着会出现逆转。以太坊似乎也有类似的看跌前景。

事实上,清算热图显示,下行目标更接近,价格更容易向它们靠拢。

对于比特币,最接近的流动性池为55.1万美元,规模相似的流动性库也为53.9万美元。在北部,7万美元的区域虽然充满了清算水平,但可能不会很快达到。

截至发稿时,以太坊最近的口袋是2.4万美元。上行目标虽然不太可能,但在2.8万至2.9万美元之间。CPI数据显示,7月份环比增长0.2%,但与市场预期持平。


你的投资组合是绿色的吗?查看比特币[BTC]价格预测2024-25


随着美联储大幅降息的可能性降低,技术、流动性和宏观环境似乎都有利于下个月的熊市。

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363 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

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