分析师Jamie Coutts表示，历史上导致比特币大规模反弹的催化剂正在获得动力

币界网Published on 2024-08-16Last updated on 2024-08-16

币界网报道：

Real Vision分析师Jamie Coutts认为，基于历史上与看涨相关的一个因素，比特币（BTC）可能正处于大规模反弹的风口浪尖。

库茨表示，全球流动性的势头“开始加速走高”，为比特币提供了完美的看涨环境。

Real Vision分析师表示，这些情况与“交易所交易基金（ETF）推出的所有泡沫和过度杠杆”离开比特币市场相吻合。

“在过去十年中，比特币有在全球货币供应量触底前几个月触底的趋势。然后它撕裂，远远领先于流动性的变化，并在周期中期进行调整。”

来源：Jamie Coutts/X

库茨认为，全球货币供应量的增加是不可避免的。

“在以债务为基础的部分准备金金融体系中，货币供应量必须不断扩大以支持未偿债务。否则，一切都会崩溃。这是自然状态。”

来源：Jamie Coutts/X

Real Vision分析师表示，以美元指数（DX）衡量的美元的强弱也决定了比特币的价格走势。美元指数是衡量美元相对于一篮子其他广泛交易的全球货币价值的基准。DXY呈上升趋势表明美元走强，而DXY呈下降趋势表明美元走弱。

“当美元跌破时，BTC经历了最高的上行速度。如果DXY从这里开始走弱，它将由美联储协调，并注入全球流动性。”

来源：Jamie Coutts/X

DXY目前为102.55，比4月份达到的2024年高点下降了约4%。

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