以太坊:大崩盘即将来临?分析师称 ETH 为何会跌至 1652 美元

币界网Published on 2024-08-16Last updated on 2024-08-16

币界网报道:

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  • 在跌破 5 个月矩形模式后,以太坊面临阻力。

  • ETH 一直守住 2,611 美元的关键支撑位,但短期情绪仍然看跌。

8 月 14 日发布的美国消费者价格指数 (CPI) 数据利好,结果却成为了抛售新闻事件,导致大多数加密货币出现亏损。

其中,最大的山寨币以太坊(ETH)在 24 小时内下跌了 4%,截至撰写本文时交易价格为 2,622 美元。

分析师Peter Brandt认为,在 8 月 4 日完成五个月的矩形模式后,ETH 将面临进一步的阻力。

ETH 的价格在五个月内一直处于区间波动,直至出现看跌突破,在 2,933 美元形成关键阻力位。

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8 月 14 日,ETH 试图突破这一阻力位,但未能成功。日内图上的上升楔形形态也显示出动能减弱和潜在的看跌反转。

在这些看跌指标的作用下,Brandt 预测价格将跌至 1,652 美元。此后,该分析师针对这一跌幅建立了空头仓位。他补充说,如果 ETH 突破 2,961 美元,看跌论点将失效。

以太坊即将大幅下跌?

技术指标显示 ETH 短期内看跌。Chaikin 资金流 (CMF) 为 -0.09,显示存在抛售压力。

CMF 也保持平稳,表明市场对 ETH 缺乏信心,买家不愿开设新仓位。

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布林线已经扩大,表明在下跌趋势中波动性上升。过去一天,价格已从上轨跌至下轨,此举表明出现急剧的看跌逆转。

以太坊的关键支撑位在 2,611 美元。如果跌破该水平,则可能会跌至 1.618 斐波那契水平(2,521 美元)。

截至发稿时,2,614 美元至 2,800 美元之间的水平至关重要,因为以这些价格购买的大量地址都是“平价”。

如果交易者选择出售并减少损失,跌破该水平可能会带来额外的抛售压力。

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进一步观察期货市场,可以发现交易者正在做空 ETH。截至发稿时,多头/空头比率为 0.90,这表明更多交易者正在做空并放弃多头仓位。

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期货交易者对 ETH 价格不太确定的另一个迹象是未平仓合约 (OI) 下降了 3%。

根据Coinglass 的数据,OI 一直从本月初的 140 多亿美元稳步下降至目前的 100 亿美元。

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