BCH 波动性加剧,行情能稳住吗

币界网Published on 2024-08-13Last updated on 2024-08-13

币界网报道:

BCH 是点对点电子现金系统比特币现金的原生货币,目前波动性正在加剧。这使得该山寨币容易受到任一方向的剧烈价格波动的影响。

v2-3585ea0e12f91b03e9673ba1fdc8043e_720w.webp

截至发稿时,BCH 交易价为 345 美元,过去七天其价格一直维持在窄幅区间内。

比特币现金波动性较大

比特币现金 (BCH) 的价格最近引起了人们的关注,第一个值得注意的波动性指标是 BCH 的布林带 (BB) 指标。截至撰写本文时,该指标的上轨和下轨之间的差距正在扩大。

v2-4193ac561ed58ef37a235876a283cfb9_720w.webp

资产的 BB 指标衡量市场波动性并识别潜在的超买或超卖情况。上轨表示资产价格变动的较高范围,而下轨则跟踪较低范围。

当这些区间之间的差距扩大时,表明市场波动性增加。这通常发生在价格大幅波动之后。就 BCH 而言,在 8 月 5 日市场普遍低迷导致山寨币价格暴跌至七个月低点 309.90 美元后,差距开始扩大。

v2-a970bd218b31a4fd1f9ff654b2fc0ef9_720w.webp

此外,BCH 的布林带宽度(可帮助交易者衡量市场波动性并识别潜在的突破机会)自 8 月 5 日以来也大幅上涨。截至撰写本文时,BCH 的布林带宽度值为 42.08,在过去七天内上涨了 32%。

如此上升的带宽表明 BCH 的带宽相距较远,证实了市场波动性较高。

BCH 价格预测:死亡交叉意味着麻烦

几周前 BCH 日线图上出现了死亡交叉,增加了其价格向下突破的可能性。 当资产的短期移动平均线(50 天移动平均线)跌破长期移动平均线(200 天移动平均线)时,就会出现死亡交叉。这种交叉是看跌信号,表明市场或特定资产可能会进一步下跌。

此外,该代币继续受到看跌情绪的追捧,这一点从其抛物线止损和反转 (SAR) 指标可以看出。截至撰写本文时,该指标的点位于 BCH 价格上方。

v2-70563087be98aef007154accf4af3d70_720w.webp

该指标跟踪资产的价格趋势并识别潜在的反转点。当其点位于价格上方时,市场处于下行趋势。这是一个看跌信号,表明抛售活动激增。

如果抛售压力增强,BCH 可能跌破七个月低点 309.90 美元。它可能在 272.70 美元换手。

v2-8a11074e29b67f180ff92087cc314b36_720w.webp

然而,市场趋势的积极转变可能推动代币价格升至 378.10 美元,从而推翻上述看跌预测。

简而言之

目前 BCH 的波动性有所增加,在最近的市场低迷之后,布林带有所扩大。同时死亡交叉和看跌抛物线转向指标的出现预示价格可能进一步下跌。如果未来抛售压力持续,BCH 的价格可能跌至 272.70 美元,但也可能升至 378.10 美元。

综上所述,目前比特币现金正处于关键时刻,随着市场抛售压力增加呈看跌情绪,BCH的波动性加剧。我认为短期内其价格一直维持在窄幅区间内盘整修正。长期来看如果后续市场回暖反应积极,BCH 将会很快达到 400 美元,但其目前波动性加剧容易受到任一方向的剧烈价格波动的影响。所以投资者也要随时了解市场趋势,以便做出明智的决策并利用潜在机会同时预防潜在的市场波动。

Trending Cryptos

Related Reads

Second Half of U.S. Crypto Policy: The Clarity Act Aims for 60 Votes, CFTC's "One-Person Commission" Becomes Biggest Variable

In a pivotal year for US crypto policy, the "CLARITY Act" is advancing in the Senate but faces a high hurdle, needing 60 votes to pass. Key challenges include bridging partisan divides on ethics and swaying undecided Republican senators within a tight legislative calendar of only about 40 working days. The policy "second half" involves intense negotiations on a broader framework for Web3 and DeFi, including crypto tax reforms and the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act. A significant uncertainty is the understaffed CFTC, operating with four commissioner vacancies, which complicates regulatory clarity. Meanwhile, the departure of key "crypto champions"—SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce and Senator Cynthia Lummis—will impact ongoing policy efforts. Industry experts are cautiously optimistic but realistic. Sara K. Weed notes that while progress is being made, CLARITY is unlikely to pass this Congress, pushing agencies like the SEC and CFTC to provide more guidance. Sulolit Mukherjee suggests meaningful crypto tax legislation is more likely to be attached to larger must-pass bills. Rashan Colbert discusses the jurisdictional debate over prediction markets, emphasizing the need for a regulatory framework that fosters their development as financial tools rather than treating them broadly as gambling. The clock is ticking, but opportunities remain for substantive progress through continued bipartisan dialogue and pragmatic efforts.

marsbit24m ago

Second Half of U.S. Crypto Policy: The Clarity Act Aims for 60 Votes, CFTC's "One-Person Commission" Becomes Biggest Variable

marsbit24m ago

Research Report Analysis: Morgan Stanley Details SanDisk SNDK, The Truth About Cloud Data Center Pricing Power and AI Inference Benefits

Morgan Stanley raised its price target for SanDisk (SNDK) from $1100 to $1750 on June 22, maintaining an Overweight rating. The upgrade is driven by AI inference demand reshaping the NAND market, particularly for KV Cache and context window storage in cloud data centers. These cloud clients exhibit price inelasticity and sign long-term contracts, granting SanDisk significant pricing power. SanDisk's New Business Model (NBM) agreements, covering over one-third of FY27 bit shipments with 3-5 year terms and fixed price/price collar structures, are crucial. They are projected to sustain gross margins around 80% even at floor prices, providing a buffer against cyclical downturns. Morgan Stanley forecasts gross margins to surge from 30.3% in FY25 to 86.7% in FY27e. With NAND supply expected to remain tight into 2026/2027 and cloud/data centers becoming the largest end-market, SanDisk holds supply-side pricing power. The company targets 15-19% bit growth via technology transitions, not capacity expansion. Revenue is projected to grow ~6.6x from FY25 to FY27, with EPS rising from $2.74 to $14.73, driven by high-margin cloud business. Key upside catalysts include faster enterprise SSD adoption and edge AI growth. Downside risks involve slower industry growth, competitor capex increases, market share loss, and competition from Chinese players like YMTC. The investment thesis rests on AI-driven structural demand, NBM's margin protection, and sustained supply tightness. The $1750 target implies ~28x FY27e P/E.

marsbit1h ago

Research Report Analysis: Morgan Stanley Details SanDisk SNDK, The Truth About Cloud Data Center Pricing Power and AI Inference Benefits

marsbit1h ago

A Threefold Performance Leap! NEAR Achieves 200ms Physical Block Time Limit with SPICE

NEAR's core development team, Near One, has announced its next major protocol evolution: SPICE (Separation of Consensus and Execution). Currently in development, SPICE represents the most significant upgrade before the full implementation of Nightshade 3.0. Its core innovation is decoupling the consensus layer, responsible for ordering transactions, from the execution layer, which processes them. This allows the consensus layer to run at full speed without waiting for transaction execution to complete. Once deployed, SPICE is projected to triple NEAR's block production speed, achieving a 200ms block time, which is considered the physical limit due to the speed of light and network latency. This leap will dramatically reduce transaction latency and finality, with transactions confirming in roughly 0.4 seconds—faster than a typical card payment. The upgrade also enables more complex, long-running transactions and significantly improves user experience for applications like NEAR Intents and near.com. Beyond raw speed, SPICE enhances network scalability and security. It enables deeper parallelism, efficiently distributing workload across shards and improving resource utilization. The simpler block structure and lighter contracts also facilitate formal verification and security auditing. Furthermore, SPICE lays the critical groundwork for future Nightshade 3.0 features, most notably atomic cross-shard transactions, which would simplify complex contract logic and eliminate development hurdles caused by asynchronous execution. The Near One team is actively developing SPICE, targeting deployment in the coming months.

Foresight News2h ago

A Threefold Performance Leap! NEAR Achieves 200ms Physical Block Time Limit with SPICE

Foresight News2h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

How to Buy BCH

Welcome to HTX.com! We've made purchasing Bitcoin Cash (BCH) simple and convenient. Follow our step-by-step guide to embark on your crypto journey.Step 1: Create Your HTX AccountUse your email or phone number to sign up for a free account on HTX. Experience a hassle-free registration journey and unlock all features.Get My AccountStep 2: Go to Buy Crypto and Choose Your Payment MethodCredit/Debit Card: Use your Visa or Mastercard to buy Bitcoin Cash (BCH) instantly.Balance: Use funds from your HTX account balance to trade seamlessly.Third Parties: We've added popular payment methods such as Google Pay and Apple Pay to enhance convenience.P2P: Trade directly with other users on HTX.Over-the-Counter (OTC): We offer tailor-made services and competitive exchange rates for traders.Step 3: Store Your Bitcoin Cash (BCH)After purchasing your Bitcoin Cash (BCH), store it in your HTX account. Alternatively, you can send it elsewhere via blockchain transfer or use it to trade other cryptocurrencies.Step 4: Trade Bitcoin Cash (BCH)Easily trade Bitcoin Cash (BCH) on HTX's spot market. Simply access your account, select your trading pair, execute your trades, and monitor in real-time. We offer a user-friendly experience for both beginners and seasoned traders.

5.8k Total ViewsPublished 2024.03.29Updated 2026.06.02

How to Buy BCH

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BCH (BCH) are presented below.

活动图片