比特币6万美元盘整 V型暴跌再现?以太坊危机四伏?

币界网Published on 2024-08-11Last updated on 2024-08-11

币界网报道:

比特币在昨日(9日)清晨一度攀升至62,745美元后,开始震荡回落,昨晚10点半曾下探至59,535美元,目前持续在6万美元附近波动。截止发稿时,比特币报60,661美元,过去24小时内下跌1.01%。

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以太币目前在2600美元附近盘整。其走势与比特币相似,尽管今早8点15分一度攀升至2,644美元,但整体仍在2,600美元附近波动。截止发稿时,以太币报2600.3美元,过去24小时内下跌2.26%。

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据Coinglass数据显示,过去24小时内,加密货币市场全网爆仓金额超过1.11亿美元,其中多单爆仓7,048万美元,空单爆仓4,115万美元,超3.7万人遭遇清算。

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比特币将迎来V型复苏?

随着比特币在本周一跌至49,000美元后,不到五天就反弹至60,000美元,许多分析师对其未来走势持乐观态度,认为比特币有望形成V型复苏。

V型复苏是一种看涨形态,通常在资产经历急剧下跌后迅速反弹时出现。当价格反弹至V形顶部的颈线位置(即阻力位,例如比特币的70,000美元)时,V型复苏即告完成。

MN Capital 创办人Michaël van de Poppe 发文指出,比特币确实展现了V 型复苏的迹象,并将此次因Jump Trading 出售加密资产引发的调整和崩盘,与COVID-19(黑天鹅事件)相提并论。他认为:

只要比特币保持在57,500 美元以上,我们将在9 月或10 月迎来新的历史高点。

技术分析师@CryptoCon_ 在今日凌晨发文,指出比特币的「斐波那契延伸」准确地预测了本轮周期中的每个局部高点。他表示:

接下来的52% 涨幅和0.618 延伸将推动价格突破100,000 美元大关,达到109,236 美元。

如果「落后1 个月的2023 年」趋势持续,年底前突破10 万美元看起来并非不可能。

图片Source : @CryptoCon_ X

然而,并非所有加密货币分析师都持相同观点。有些分析师认为,在比特币触及新高之前,可能还会经历进一步下跌。分析师Peter Brandt在9日发文指出,「比特币在减半周期的后半段结束前,有50%的机会跌破40,000美元。」

另一位分析师Marco Johanning在9日凌晨表示,比特币当前的关键阻力位在62,300美元,这可能是投资者需要关注的一个重要价格水平。

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