风险和机遇永远并存 BTC SOL 暴力反弹能否持续？这波抄底需要清楚的几个问题

金色财经Published on 2024-08-06Last updated on 2024-08-06

风险和机遇永远并存 3.12  5.19 还有昨天，抓住了就是暴富，大盘反弹后，山寨也紧跟其后强烈反弹，目前比较强势的有 AI 赛道的 TAO , 还有比特币生态的 SATS ，以及老DEFI AAVE 等具有收益模式的币。

BTC  SOL 暴力反弹能否持续？

保守操作压力位建议减仓

线下走势叠加外部黑天鹅酿成昨天的极端行情，连跌加速之后昨天市场出现超跌反弹，BTC 价格处在短期均线5日均线下方，20日均线方向向下，抄底资金今明会兑现利润离场，反弹不会持续，价格又到了相对便宜的地步，但这里所需要修复的时间会比较长

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目前的反弹暂时当短线上的超跌反弹对待，这次扎到48888都未形成底部

从目前行情走势来看，大盘短期会再 54000-57000 区间，而以太整体会在 2400-2600区间在走，至于 sol 则相对强势些，短期整体会在 130-143 区间在走。

如果说过错过了昨天的抄底，那么接下来1周左右也是不错的机会。

这波抄底需要清楚的几个问题1. 反弹目标：BTC起码30%涨幅，回64000之上，ETH回3000之上，至少是一段周线的反弹，也有一定概率创历史新高，开启新的周线主升浪

2.49000是底吗？即使不是底也离底不远，越大的行情底部越夯实，有可能二探甚至三探，甚至再略微创新低，如果昨天抄底的现货，安稳拿着，格局一点，合约的话即时止盈

3.买哪些币？BTC/ETH/SOL，少量配置ETH系/SOL系强势山寨，BTC昨日创牛市以来单日第二大爆仓，ETH创牛市以来单日最大爆仓，爆得越多，车越轻

行情是反复的，尤其是当下极端行情下

市场恐慌情绪得到缓解之后开始强烈反弹，目前比特币已经拉回55000美金上方，原本高位震荡想要尝试突破70000刀的盘面，被多重BUFF叠加的利空破坏了，那么接下来就需要更多的时间来调整和修复，这个时间我判断大概在1个月左右。耐心等待！！

如果昨天抄底了仓位，不格局，做波段为主

盘面瀑布式下跌，后续一定会继续震荡，甚至可能还有二探，所以把握住当下的利润是核心！

最后再强调一下，无论是牛市还是熊市，一定要远离杠杆，

除了远离杠杆之外，还有就是保持一定的现金流，无论是牛市还是熊市，现金很重要，因为不管任何周期，一定会有机会，等机会出现的时候你没有现金，那只能眼睁睁看着。

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