比特币价格分析:在每周暴跌10%之后,BTC的下一步是什么?

币界网Published on 2024-08-05Last updated on 2024-08-05

币界网报道:

比特币的价格在昨天跌破6.4万美元的支撑位后大幅下跌。价格现在处于一个关键领域,可能决定加密货币市场的中期命运。

技术分析

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每日图表

在日线图上,自在6.8万美元阻力位形成双顶模式以来,价格一直在下跌。6.4万美元的水平也已下跌,加密货币正在测试200天移动平均线。

如果它也未能保持价格,市场可能会进一步下跌至5.2万美元。由于RSI也显示值低于50%,这一势头表明看跌走势可能会持续下去。

来源:TradingView

4小时图表

从4小时图来看,比特币的情况似乎有点乐观。价格已从6万美元的支撑位反弹,目前交易价格在6.4万美元至6万美元之间。

与此同时,6万美元支撑区很可能再次测试,因为动量和市场结构都暗示了这种情况。6万美元的水平是保持还是突破可能会决定未来几个月的价格趋势。

来源:TradingView

链上分析

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比特币短期持有者SOPR

随着比特币再次未能创下新高,分析投资者的行为可以为更好地预测未来的价格走势提供线索。

该图表展示了短期持有者SOPR,这是一个衡量短期比特币持有者实现的利润/亏损比率的链上指标。值大于1表示实现利润,而值小于1表示实现亏损。

如图表所示,随着市场从5.5万美元的水平反弹,STH SOPR指标最近已回升至1以上。

然而,在最近的下跌之后,STH SOPR再次向1下跌,因为短期持有者只实现了边际利润。如果这一趋势持续下去,市场可能会因供应过剩而不堪重负,因为持有者试图以最小的损失出售他们的硬币。

来源:CryptoQuant

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