DOGE 有望实现黄金交叉、接下来会创下月度新高吗

币界网Published on 2024-07-30Last updated on 2024-07-30

币界网报道:

在未平仓合约增加至 50 亿美元以上的背景下,狗狗币价格楔形模式突破在可能上涨 70% 之前寻求第二次确认。

v2-bf3c835de08b086d798756e88aa77e01_720w.webp

DOGE 价格似乎已进入新的看涨阶段,多头渴望突破 0.2 美元的阻力位。随着情绪逐渐好转,投资者满怀希望看到更强劲的趋势逆转。

对当前技术和基本面前景的评估表明,各种因素都可能影响8 月份狗狗币的价格走势,包括本周的 FOMC 会议和投资者行为

DOGE 价格分析:有可能上涨吗?

在 7 月前几周防守并失败之后,多头终于占据了主导地位,催化了从 0.1 美元支撑位开始的趋势逆转。

狗狗币快速上涨至 0.14 美元,验证了下降楔形模式。尽管预计将推动 70% 的涨幅至 0.216 美元,但重新测试上行趋势线可能会提供独特的入场位置。

下降楔形是价格在两条倾斜趋势线之间滑动时形成的看涨反转形态。

v2-393be57c7c3761ec4dd8d0b8a5d6ed82_720w.webp

根据CoinMarketCap的数据,随着交易量降至 8 亿美元,多头可能已经失去动力。狗狗币必须维持 50 天指数移动平均线 (EMA) 和 200 天 EMA 建立的即时汇合支撑。

不能排除重新测试上方趋势线支撑的可能性,而 20 天 EMA 的存在将进一步增加 DOGE 价格恢复上升趋势的可能性。

移动平均线收敛散度 ( MACD ) 指标最近发出买入信号,鼓励交易者逢低买入。然而,多头必须努力才能在本周保持这一买入信号。

同时,DOGE 的 50 天 EMA(蓝线)即将突破其 200 天 EMA(黄线)出现黄金交叉。

资产的 50 日 EMA 计算的是过去 50 天内的平均价格。它被视为短期至中期趋势指标。当资产价格超过该 EMA 时,市场处于上升趋势.

另一方面,200 日 EMA 衡量的是过去 200 天内资产的平均价格。这是一个长期趋势指标,当价格上涨至该指标之上时,表明存在长期上升趋势。 当 50 日 EMA 与 200 日 EMA 交叉时,就会出现黄金交叉。

这种交叉是一个明显的看涨信号,确认了从下降趋势转向上升趋势。这表明资产价格将上涨,交易员通常将其解读为做多的信号。 DOGE 的 50 日 EMA 位于其 200 日 EMA 上。如果购买压力持续存在,则黄金交叉将完成。

领先的模因币狗狗币 (DOGE) 的价格可能在其 50 天指数移动平均线 (EMA) 突破其 200 天 EMA 时攀升至月度高点。

v2-a7a7c86d9b5b735e72ab516613c5919a_720w.webp

狗狗币期货未平仓合约可能如何影响本周的涨势

自上周末以来,狗狗币期货公开市场利息有所改善,已达到 50 亿美元以上。期货未平仓合约的增加表明市场兴趣增加。这意味着更多的交易者正在建仓,可能预示着价格趋势更加强劲。

v2-5dba736ac6f96db1a16815fdaf125e91_720w.webp

狗狗币交易者可以利用积极的 OI 数据来确认现有趋势为上升趋势,但也可以识别潜在的逆转(如果趋势开始下降)。

模因币的炒作也可能影响狗狗币在下半年的走势。狗狗币及其同领域的兄弟币(包括BOOK OF MEME)似乎准备跟随比特币的飙升,测试之前的历史高点。

我认为随着DOGE 的 50 天 EMA 将突破 200 天 EMA 形成交叉,并且期货市场未平仓合约的增加也在支持看涨结果。同时Meme 币的期货市场表现也出持续的看涨情绪,且融资利率为正。通过上述因素我觉得验证了下降楔形模式后其会找到独特的入场位置,价格会攀升至月度高点。或将被推动 70% 的涨幅至 0.216 美元。

Trending Cryptos

Related Reads

Standard Chartered Bank’s 50-Fold Fantasy: Predicting AAVE to Reach $3,500

Standard Chartered Bank has issued an optimistic research report predicting that the AAVE token could surge 50-fold to $3,500 by 2030. This forecast is based on the projection that the total value locked (TVL) in DeFi will grow 37x to approximately $2.7 trillion, driven by stablecoin expansion and the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA). The bank's model links Aave's potential valuation directly to its protocol revenue, which is primarily driven by net interest margins. The report highlights Aave's current dominant position, noting it captures over 80% of the net earnings ("protocol retained earnings") in the lending sector while holding only about half of its TVL. It also points to the recent launch of the Aave V4 architecture and a healthy revenue stream of $142 million in 2025 as positive fundamentals. Grayscale's separate analysis, applying traditional valuation metrics like DCF, concluded AAVE is currently undervalued. However, the article notes significant challenges. Aave's peer-to-pool lending model suffers from inherent capital inefficiency, with an estimated $52 million annual "deadweight loss" due to idle funds needed for liquidity buffers. This structural flaw was exposed during the April KelpDAO exploit, which locked a WETH pool at 100% utilization for days. Emerging protocols like Morpho, with more efficient point-to-point models, are cited as growing competitive threats. In summary, while institutional forecasts paint a macro picture of massive growth fueled by RWA adoption, Aave's path forward hinges on addressing its core structural limitations and competitive pressures within the evolving DeFi lending landscape.

链捕手19m ago

Standard Chartered Bank’s 50-Fold Fantasy: Predicting AAVE to Reach $3,500

链捕手19m ago

Tidal Investment: We Remain Bullish on the AI Industry Chain, But the Reasons Have Changed

Tidal Investment remains optimistic about the AI industry chain, but the rationale has shifted. The market narrative has changed. While recent large-scale IPOs (e.g., SpaceX) and major fundraising plans by tech giants like Alphabet and Meta have caused some nervousness, this isn't a sign of an AI peak. The focus has moved from the initial question of AI's viability to the sustainability of massive investment cycles. The key players—primarily the major cloud providers—are not slowing down; their capital expenditure (Capex) guidance for 2026 has been increased across the board (e.g., Alphabet to $180B, Amazon to $200B). This investment cycle is proving resilient and difficult to stop. Unlike traditional hardware cycles, current AI Capex is distributed across multiple physical layers—computing, memory, networking, and critically, power infrastructure. Bottlenecks are shifting from chips to elements like electricity, transformers, and cooling systems, which have much longer lead times and cannot be easily pre-built like fiber optics during the dot-com bubble. Supply chain data (e.g., Eaton's 240% YoY data center orders) confirms this broad-based, project-driven expansion. Market concerns are acknowledged but viewed differently. First, while Capex growth currently outpaces revenue growth, raising ROI questions, this mirrors the early scaling phase of cloud computing itself. A change in view would require concrete signals like downward Capex revisions or missed AI product targets, which haven't materialized by mid-2026. Second, comparisons to the 2000 dot-com bust are flawed. That crash was driven by a massive, parallel oversupply of cheap capacity (fiber). The current cycle faces *supply constraints* in critical, capital-intensive physical infrastructure that cannot be overbuilt as easily. In conclusion, the wave of fundraising reflects the next, more complex act of the AI story. Physical bottlenecks and sustained high Capex plans suggest this is not the finale but an ongoing, capital-intensive build-out phase. The script has changed, but the play is far from over.

marsbit1h ago

Tidal Investment: We Remain Bullish on the AI Industry Chain, But the Reasons Have Changed

marsbit1h ago

Tidal Investment: We Remain Bullish on the AI Industry Chain, But for Different Reasons Now

Tidal Investments remains optimistic about the AI industry chain, but the rationale has shifted. The market is concerned about massive concurrent fundraising by tech giants like SpaceX, OpenAI, Alphabet, and Meta, fearing an AI peak. However, the authors argue this signals the next act of AI development, not its end. Capital expenditure (Capex) from major cloud providers (Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, Oracle) continues to surge aggressively into 2026. This investment cycle is more resilient than past hardware cycles due to its scale and complexity. Bottlenecks have shifted from chips to critical physical infrastructure like power grids, transformers, cooling, and data center construction—areas with long lead times and limited capacity for rapid expansion. Supply chain data (e.g., Eaton's orders) confirms substantial, tangible progress. Key market concerns are addressed: 1. **ROI vs. Capex Growth**: While Capex growth outpaces revenue, the authors note cloud giants have historically overcome similar phases through scale. The cycle will only be in danger if Capex guidance is cut, orders are canceled, or AI product demand falters—none of which are currently observed. 2. **Comparison to the 2000 Dot-com Bubble**: Unlike the telecom bubble, where cheap, oversupplied fiber crashed prices, AI infrastructure (especially power) is constrained, customized, and subject to lengthy approvals, making a similar supply glut and crash unlikely. In conclusion, the wave of fundraising reflects the immense, ongoing capital needs for AI's next phase, constrained by slow-moving physical bottlenecks. The AI cycle is not over; the script has simply changed.

链捕手1h ago

Tidal Investment: We Remain Bullish on the AI Industry Chain, But for Different Reasons Now

链捕手1h ago

Grayscale: These 15 Profitable Crypto Protocols Are Severely Undervalued

Grayscale Research identifies 15 top-revenue crypto protocols trading at significant valuation discounts, with many at single-digit or even 1x revenue multiples. Protocols like Pump.fun, PancakeSwap, and Meteora have market capitalizations roughly equal to their annual revenue. The report argues these financially-focused protocols (DEXs, lending, staking) are fundamentally undervalued and could benefit from the potential passage of the CLARITY Act, expected as soon as next month. This legislation aims to clarify digital asset regulation, potentially reducing institutional barriers and driving on-chain activity. The analysis breaks down the protocols into three groups: the "1x Club" (market cap ≈ revenue), mid-tier protocols with 3-9x multiples (e.g., Aave, Lido, Jupiter), and high-multiple protocols like Hyperliquid (15x) and Uniswap (37x), where valuation reflects future potential rather than current cash flows. Grayscale applies a traditional DCF model to Aave, suggesting a one-year price target of ~$175, representing ~130% upside from current levels. The report notes a risk-off macro environment since the Iran conflict has further compressed valuations, creating a potential entry window. The conclusion highlights that while the valuation data presents an intriguing opportunity, the investment thesis is contingent on the CLARITY Act's passage and subsequent institutional capital flows. Investors are cautioned to consider Grayscale's inherent conflict of interest as a crypto asset manager with products tied to these assets.

marsbit1h ago

Grayscale: These 15 Profitable Crypto Protocols Are Severely Undervalued

marsbit1h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

What is DOGE M

Doge Matrix ($doge m): The New Breed of Community-Driven Cryptocurrency Introduction In the ever-evolving landscape of cryptocurrency, new projects constantly emerge, each aiming to capture the interest of investors and enthusiasts alike. One of the latest entrants to this domain is Doge Matrix, represented by the ticker symbol $doge m. This project has attracted attention thanks to its roots in the popular meme culture surrounding Dogecoin, establishing its place within the web3 space. This article aims to provide a comprehensive analysis of Doge Matrix, covering its overview, creator, investors, functionality, timeline, and notable aspects. What is Doge Matrix ($doge m)? Doge Matrix is a community-driven cryptocurrency project that seemingly builds upon the widespread appeal of Dogecoin, a digital currency known for its Shiba Inu mascot and its meme origins. While the overarching objectives of Doge Matrix are not extensively defined, it is characterized by a commitment to harnessing community involvement and support. Unlike traditional cryptocurrencies that often emphasize utility or intrinsic value through underlying technologies, Doge Matrix positions itself within a space that embraces the cultural phenomenon of cryptocurrencies, particularly appealing to those who resonate with the ethos of meme-based assets. Drawing on the strengths of the Dogecoin community, Doge Matrix operates as part of a broader ecosystem, inviting participation and engagement from users who share an interest in cryptocurrency and the digital landscape. Who is the Creator of Doge Matrix ($doge m)? The identity of the creator of Doge Matrix remains unknown. This lack of transparency is not an uncommon occurrence in the cryptocurrency space, where some projects are launched without revealing the identities of their founders. The absence of information regarding the founding team can raise questions among potential investors about the project’s accountability and direction. Who are the Investors of Doge Matrix ($doge m)? As it stands, there is no publicly available information detailing the investors or investment foundations that back Doge Matrix. The project appears to rely primarily on community support rather than institutional investment. This model aligns with the community-driven nature of the initiative, fostering an environment where the direction of the project is shaped by its participants rather than being dictated by a select few financial backers. How Does Doge Matrix ($doge m) Work? The specifics regarding the operational mechanisms of Doge Matrix are somewhat vague, reflecting a broader trend of projects in the meme coin space where innovative functionalities are not always clearly articulated. Nonetheless, Doge Matrix seems designed to tap into the existing cryptocurrency ecosystem by encouraging user participation while tapping into the familiar cultural references associated with Dogecoin. Its potentially unique characteristics derive from community interactions rather than technological advancements, emphasizing shared experiences and collaboration among token holders. While the exact innovations have not been explicitly outlined, the project appears to create a space where community members can engage, share ideas, and propel the project's potential forward. Timeline of Doge Matrix ($doge m) Reflecting on the project’s timeline reveals notable events that have defined its journey thus far: November 25, 2024: Doge Matrix reached its all-time high value, marking a significant milestone in its early history. January 1, 2025: Conversely, Doge Matrix hit its all-time low value, illustrating the volatility often associated with cryptocurrencies, especially in the early stages of a project's lifecycle. Ongoing: The project continues to be actively traded and supported by its community, although specific future milestones or objectives have yet to be disclosed. Key Points About Doge Matrix ($doge m) Community Focus At the heart of Doge Matrix is a commitment to community engagement. The project thrives on the premise of collaboration and shared objectives among its members, emphasizing the importance of collective effort. Unlike centralized projects that often have a defined leadership structure, Doge Matrix at present showcases a more fluid approach to governance, where every community member's voice matters. Volatility The cryptocurrency market is notorious for its volatility, and Doge Matrix is no exception. Its price history reflects significant fluctuations between high and low values, which is typical of many new cryptocurrencies but underscores the risks associated with investment in emerging tokens. Lack of Detailed Information One of the most striking features about Doge Matrix is the scarcity of detailed information regarding its technological underpinnings and operational mechanisms. This ambiguity necessitates that potential investors conduct thorough due diligence before engaging with the project. Conclusion In summary, Doge Matrix ($doge m) illustrates a new wave of cryptocurrency projects that lean heavily on community engagement and cultural relevance. While lacking in certain specifics—such as clear leadership, defined objectives, and detailed functionality—the project has managed to generate interest within the crypto community, leveraging the established appeal of meme culture. As with any investment in the cryptocurrency space, understanding the inherent risks and conducting comprehensive research is essential for potential participants. Doge Matrix stands as a reminder of the dynamic, sometimes unpredictable nature of the crypto industry, marked by constant evolution and enthusiasm for community-driven initiatives.

3.8k Total ViewsPublished 2025.02.03Updated 2025.02.03

What is DOGE M

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of DOGE (DOGE) are presented below.

活动图片